Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

malaise

(274,655 posts)
Sat Jul 27, 2024, 06:39 AM Jul 27

The experts are saying this will be Debby by the end of next week

Too early to know its intended path - just keep an eye on developments

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Some development of this system is
possible while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early
to middle part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward
near the Greater Antilles towards the latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The experts are saying this will be Debby by the end of next week (Original Post) malaise Jul 27 OP
thanks malaise, that blessed recent quiet rampartc Jul 27 #1
Cracking up with laughter malaise Jul 27 #3
I'm guessing the low chance of forming duncang Jul 27 #2
The low chance is for now malaise Jul 27 #4
The many tropical waves will scatter the dust malaise Jul 27 #9
More Here: Rubyshoo Jul 27 #5
Thanks from SW Florida, malaise. wordstroken Jul 27 #6
Check this malaise Jul 27 #7
Ouch! wordstroken Jul 27 #8
Up to 40% chance of formation now malaise Jul 28 #10
Appreciate the update, malaise. wordstroken Jul 28 #11
The CONvicted felon better get out his sharpie malaise Jul 28 #12
Yes, if it comes this way, wordstroken Jul 28 #13

rampartc

(5,835 posts)
1. thanks malaise, that blessed recent quiet
Sat Jul 27, 2024, 06:48 AM
Jul 27

has allowed my attention to wander.

sahara dust. if we could only put a giant solar powered fan at timbucktu to keep that dust blowing.

duncang

(2,649 posts)
2. I'm guessing the low chance of forming
Sat Jul 27, 2024, 06:49 AM
Jul 27

Is due to the Saharan dust still coming out of Africa and the upper atmosphere winds.

malaise

(274,655 posts)
4. The low chance is for now
Sat Jul 27, 2024, 07:30 AM
Jul 27

By Wednesday or Thursday we’ll see high chance. Lots of factors will come into play - many way beyond my pay grade😀

malaise

(274,655 posts)
9. The many tropical waves will scatter the dust
Sat Jul 27, 2024, 05:30 PM
Jul 27
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Development of this system is possible
while it approaches the Lesser Antilles during the early to middle
part of next week and moves generally west-northwestward near or
over the Greater Antilles towards the latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

———-
Too early to know where this ends up but looks like some countries/islands will be hit

————-
Notice now 30% chance of formation in a week up from 20%

malaise

(274,655 posts)
10. Up to 40% chance of formation now
Sun Jul 28, 2024, 07:11 AM
Jul 28
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a
tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is
near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

wordstroken

(541 posts)
13. Yes, if it comes this way,
Sun Jul 28, 2024, 09:53 AM
Jul 28

praying that it touches down on 17 acres in Palm Beach, renders dozens of black sharpies forever unusable, bounces back into the Atlantic, heads ENE, and is never heard from again. 🌀

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The experts are saying th...