General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhich party won your state in the 2020 presidential election
and by how much?
For purposes of this poll, the EC has been simplified as follows: Maine and Nebraska have each been changed to winner-take-all with 4 and 5 EV respectively, and DC is considered to be a state.
Percentages have been grouped as follows in an attempt to distribute EV as evenly as possible among the categories:
1. Dem win by 0-3% - 6 states, 79 EV
2. Dem win by 4-16% - 8 states, 66 EV
3. Dem win by 17-23% - 6 states, 75 EV
4. Dem win by 24% or more - 6 states, 86 EV
5. Rep win by 0-3% - 2 states, 44 EV
6. Rep win by 4-11% - 4 states, 65 EV
7. Rep win by 12-22% - 9 states, 64 EV
8. Rep win by 23% or more - 10 states, 59 EV
AL - Rep 25.5% - choice 8
AK - Rep 10.1% - choice 6
AZ - Dem 0.3% - choice 1
AR - Rep 27.6% - choice 8
CA - Dem 29.2% - choice 4
CO - Dem 13.5% - choice 2
CT - Dem 20.1% - choice 3
DE - Dem 19.0% - choice 3
DC - Dem 86.8% - choice 4
FL - Rep 3.4% - choice 5
GA - Dem 0.2% - choice 1
HI - Dem 29.5% - choice 4
ID - Rep 30.8% - choice 8
IL - Dem 17.0% - choice 3
IN - Rep 16.1% - choice 7
IA - Rep 8.2% - choice 6
KS - Rep 14.6% - choice 7
KY - Rep 25.9% - choice 8
LA - Rep 18.6% - choice 7
ME - Dem 9.1% - choice 2
MD - Dem 33.2% - choice 4
MA - Dem 33.5% - choice 4
MI - Dem 2.8% - choice 1
MN - Dem 7.1% - choice 2
MS - Rep 16.6% - choice 7
MO - Rep 15.4% - choice 7
MT - Rep 16.4% - choice 7
NE - Rep 19.1% - choice 7
NV - Dem 2.4% - choice 1
NH - Dem 7.4% - choice 2
NJ - Dem 15.9% - choice 2
NM - Dem 10.8% - choice 2
NY - Dem 23.1% - choice 3
NC - Rep 1.4% - choice 5
ND - Rep 33.3% - choice 8
OH - Rep 8.0% - choice 6
OK - Rep 33.1% - choice 8
OR - Dem 16.1% - choice 2
PA - Dem 1.2% - choice 1
RI - Dem 20.8% - choice 3
SC - Rep 11.7% - choice 7
SD - Rep 26.2% - choice 8
TN - Rep 23.2% - choice 8
TX - Rep 5.6% - choice 6
UT - Rep 20.5% - choice 7
VT - Dem 35.4% - choice 4
VA - Dem 10.1% - choice 2
WA - Dem 19.2% - choice 3
WV - Rep 38.9% - choice 8
WI - Dem 0.6% - choice 1
WY - Rep 43.4% - choice 8
Source: Wikipedia since this isn't a scientific poll
Purpose of the poll is to satisfy my curiosity! (I am not a cat, so hopefully it will be safe.)
| 71 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
| Dem - 0-3% | |
9 (13%) |
|
| Dem - 4-16% | |
16 (23%) |
|
| Dem - 17-23% | |
13 (18%) |
|
| Dem - 24% + | |
10 (14%) |
|
| Rep - 0-3% | |
5 (7%) |
|
| Rep - 4-11% | |
7 (10%) |
|
| Rep - 12-22% | |
6 (8%) |
|
| Rep - 23% + | |
5 (7%) |
|
| 0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
| Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
|
Bev54
(13,198 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)I'm fully aware that it's a new race.. Just curious to see how many we have from tossup states, leaners, and safe red or blue. Certainly not attempting to predict 2024 results based on 2020 results.
Zambero
(9,921 posts)Putting me on the " minority".
dsc
(53,321 posts)for what is likely to happen this time. It also provides benchmarks for us to look at in terms of national polling vs the EC. We know what Biden won by in terms of the popular vote and we know what that translated to in the EC. It is perfectly reasonable to look at both 2016 and 2020 to see what we might get now.
Enter stage left
(4,247 posts)But we're full-time rv-ers and spend very little time there.
I really like the Black Hills area of SD, the rest is just ok.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)Do you vote absentee or do you have to go back in November to vote?
Enter stage left
(4,247 posts)DeepWinter
(931 posts)Any good RV life websites you use? I'm considering that in about 5 years when I retire.
Enter stage left
(4,247 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)🦶
BlueTsunami2018
(4,854 posts)According to a certain asshole.
Bad things for him anyway.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)Won't happen this time.
Polybius
(21,508 posts)Only 30% of DU voters in this poll are in states that Trump won in 2020.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)Would love to get a couple hundred responses.. 49% of states went Republican.
Mz Pip
(28,348 posts)when Trumpers predict Trump will win California in 2024.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)At that point it will truly be over for this version of the Republican Party.
Trueblue1968
(19,077 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)Pretty sure you beat us to it.
Mz Pip
(28,348 posts)vote by mail in California.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)The Third Doctor
(448 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)have Wyoming or West Virginia ever gone Dem since the parties flipped?
The Third Doctor
(448 posts)Xavier Breath
(6,471 posts)However, since '64, West Virginia voted for Humphrey in '68, Carter in both '76 and '80, Michael Dukakis in '88, and Clinton in both '92 and '96. So, WV voted Democratic in six of the eight elections from from '68 to '96. I did not know that.
Zambero
(9,921 posts)In 1964, Barry Goldwater was about 5,000 votes shy of tipping Idaho in his favor. Has voted GOP for president ever since.
Elessar Zappa
(16,385 posts)Dems won by 10%.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)Go NM!
Elessar Zappa
(16,385 posts)But the results are interesting.
orthoclad
(4,728 posts)If the Reich Wing can plan for 50 years to overthrow Roe, we can do that. Somehow. No more of this "it's too haaaard" - billions of lives are at stake.
Forget all these byzantine "paths to victory". The EC is a global danger; the Reich Wing, aided by Big Tech, has figured out how to game it in any close election. Half the prezzes in this century have lost the popular vote.
A big turnout and heavy numbers worked in 2020, but that's a one-shot temporary fix to a major systemic problem.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)once Texas goes blue.
It will be so over for them otherwise.
But I agree, it sucks to know your vote doesn't directly affect the outcome.
BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)asuhornets
(2,427 posts)BWdem4life
(2,927 posts)I see no reason Kamala can't repeat the performance.