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CaptainTruth

(7,095 posts)
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 03:44 PM Sep 6

FL Senate: Rick Scott 46%, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 45%

Poll: Rick Scott and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in heated race to win Florida Senate seat.

WASHINGTON - Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., and former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, D-Fla., are in a contentious neck to neck battle to win Florida’s Senate seat in November, according to a new poll released Friday.

The Hill/Emerson College poll, conducted between Sept. 3 and Sept. 5, found that 46% of likely Florida voters choose Scott while 45% choose Mucarsel-Powell. Nine percent said they were undecided.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/06/florida-senate-scott/75099632007/

35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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FL Senate: Rick Scott 46%, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 45% (Original Post) CaptainTruth Sep 6 OP
Woo Hoo!!! C'mon Debbie you can do it!!!!! Fla Dem Sep 6 #1
The tide is rising! Omnipresent Sep 6 #2
Oh, well - he still has his Medicare millions to fall back on peppertree Sep 6 #13
two things the campaign should be talking about imo: barbtries Sep 6 #3
One More - Sunsetting Social Security and Medicare Rhiagel Sep 6 #11
Rick Scott's original "Rescue America" plan called for all federal legislation to sunset Seinan Sensei Sep 6 #16
Great news! LFG!! ColinC Sep 6 #4
This is old.... but FANTASTIC..... sound up! IcyPeas Sep 6 #5
👏 Our population is exploding here with new residents coming every day Deuxcents Sep 6 #26
I'd said it over and over... appmanga Sep 6 #6
O please, o please, o please lindysalsagal Sep 6 #7
She's close. Her FL win will be from the 3,535,426 independent voters. ancianita Sep 6 #8
Thank you for posting that data! CaptainTruth Sep 6 #19
Most welcome! ancianita Sep 6 #20
And contrary to some who argue women were oversampled in this poll Wiz Imp Sep 6 #33
I am reminded of David Sedaris' thoughts about undecided voters... GiqueCee Sep 6 #9
Heaven's Waiting Room? 3 other states have bigger waiting rooms than Florida. ancianita Sep 6 #18
I hope you're right. nt GiqueCee Sep 6 #23
Right or not, I'd rather look at the reality of numbers than indulge cynical stereotypes. ancianita Sep 6 #25
Whatever you like... GiqueCee Sep 7 #34
Hope she takes the Medicare fraudster down surfered Sep 6 #10
And I hope you manage... GiqueCee Sep 6 #24
I'm voting for Debbie 💙. I can't stand Rick Scott TommieMommy Sep 6 #12
I read today that she's bilingual, BlueSky3 Sep 6 #14
Yes, she is! CaptainTruth Sep 6 #22
Yes, Rick Scott is bi-lingual. lpbk2713 Sep 6 #32
Methodology UhWhatNow Sep 6 #15
And how did they model the electorate? And adjust their data for it? CaptainTruth Sep 6 #29
Harris-Walz please go to Florida. Sneederbunk Sep 6 #17
FL polling can't be trusted madville Sep 6 #21
My advice? Ignore Crist. As a former Republican he didn't inspire... CaptainTruth Sep 6 #30
That's good news. lpbk2713 Sep 6 #27
Fucking why??? Initech Sep 6 #28
YES!!! CaptainTruth Sep 6 #31
Harris/Walz need to spend some time and resources in FL. Even if FL stays red for president, Persondem Sep 7 #35

peppertree

(22,579 posts)
13. Oh, well - he still has his Medicare millions to fall back on
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 06:23 PM
Sep 6

And lucky him - because his home planet sure as hell doesn't want him back.

Rhiagel

(1,711 posts)
11. One More - Sunsetting Social Security and Medicare
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 06:00 PM
Sep 6

I wonder if the senior citizens in Florida even know that was/is his plan. This should be playing 24/7 over the airwaves in the Villages.

Seinan Sensei

(588 posts)
16. Rick Scott's original "Rescue America" plan called for all federal legislation to sunset
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 06:32 PM
Sep 6

Is he actually capable of this?
Yes!
Have you ever seen Rick Scott and Skeletor in the same room together?
No!
Therefore I would contend that Rick Scott actually IS Skeletor!

Below are actual quotes of SKELETOR. I report. You decide.

“I could write a book about what you don’t know!”
“This is becoming a wonderful day for evil!”
“This planet, these people – They are nothing to me – the universe is power, pure, unstoppable power – and I am that force, I am that power!”
“I am not nice, I am not kind, and I am not wonderful!”
“Kneel before your master…for you are no longer my equal, I am more than man, more than life! I am a god!”
“I am completely and utterly evil. I live to be bad! I care for no one and no one cares for me.”



Deuxcents

(18,463 posts)
26. 👏 Our population is exploding here with new residents coming every day
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 10:31 PM
Sep 6

Most do not know the history of Rick Scott n his theft of Medicare funds n his policies for the benefit of the wealthy and his lack of policies for every day Floridians. I hope we can unseat this corrupt man

appmanga

(806 posts)
6. I'd said it over and over...
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 04:36 PM
Sep 6

...she can win this race. The only thing she lacks is money. I wish I could help more, but my limited resources are going to her and Colin Allred. Both of them are competing hard in expensive markets against two of the least popular Senators in Congress in states where women are going to make the GOP pay for what they're doing to them. If you can give them any amount of money, do it.

ETA: And Scott, the Senator from FL wants to cut Medicare and Social Security. That's either way too smug, or a political death wish. Either way, he can be beat. Don't let the presidential polls convince you FL is a lost cause for other offices.

Wiz Imp

(328 posts)
33. And contrary to some who argue women were oversampled in this poll
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 11:58 PM
Sep 6

Their percentage in the sample was right in line with their percentage of overall registered voters.

Sample: 53.6% women

Registered Voters: 53.4% women

https://voterrecords.com/charts/fl

GiqueCee

(1,183 posts)
9. I am reminded of David Sedaris' thoughts about undecided voters...
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 05:45 PM
Sep 6

... "To put them in perspective, I think​ of being​ on an airplane.​ The flight attendant comes​ down the aisle​ with her food cart and, eventually,​ parks​ it beside my seat.​ “Can I inter​est you in the chick​en?​” she asks.​ “Or would​ you prefer the platter of shit with bits of broke​n glass​ in it?” The undecided voter asks, "How is the chicken cooked?"

The malignant spawn of an unholy union between Lurch and Uncle Fester is the richest member of the Senate. He is also one of, if not the worst, member of the Senate. He is a disease whose only cure is expulsion from the Senate, if not from the Human Race.

I have only undying contempt for anyone that supports that putrid bag of rat excrement. And that support says nothing good about their judgement or their character. I mean, he's a Senator from Heaven's Waiting Room, and he has stated that, if given the chance, he will take away their fucking Social Security! They're either blithering idiots, just as evil as he is, or, most likely, both.

ancianita

(37,657 posts)
18. Heaven's Waiting Room? 3 other states have bigger waiting rooms than Florida.
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 07:02 PM
Sep 6

21.3% of Florida are over age 65, 78.7% are under.
https://www.prb.org/resources/which-us-states-are-the-oldest/

Leave out the juvenile demographic, you get 57.13% of voting Floridians under 65.
https://www.neilsberg.com/insights/florida-population-by-age/

Scott's got bad guy history and Mucarsel-Powell presents a clean break. If The Villages are nuts for Harris, add university towns, the Gen Z vote, and pro-choice Republican women hiding out as registered Independents, she's got a real shot.



GiqueCee

(1,183 posts)
34. Whatever you like...
Sat Sep 7, 2024, 08:43 AM
Sep 7

... I enjoy a nice, juicy cynical stereotype now and then, especially when applied to an evil piece of shit like Scott.

Have a nice day.

BlueSky3

(657 posts)
14. I read today that she's bilingual,
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 06:28 PM
Sep 6

speaking Spanish as well, and has launched her own channels on Whatsapp in both Spanish and English; that a great many Spanish speakers get their news this way and it’s a way to communicate directly with voters. I sent her more money today.

It sounds like we need to really support Debbie, Bob Casey, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown and Colin Allred to save the Senate.

CaptainTruth

(7,095 posts)
22. Yes, she is!
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 09:53 PM
Sep 6

Of course as a Republican Rick Scott is bilingual as well.

He's fluent in both Lies & Bullshit.

 

UhWhatNow

(16 posts)
15. Methodology
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 06:30 PM
Sep 6

As I posted in another thread, the Emerson polls for Texas and Florida oversampled women by 9 points. Hopefully resources won’t be wasted going to these states based on these polls alone.

CaptainTruth

(7,095 posts)
29. And how did they model the electorate? And adjust their data for it?
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 11:37 PM
Sep 6

When you say they "oversampled" women by 9 points that implies you know how they modeled the electorate & then deliberately didn’t follow their own model.
Any argument about "oversampling" needs to be supported by 1) detailed info on how the pollster modeled the electorate, 2) data supporting exactly why that electorate model is accurate (or not) to a high degree of certainty, & 3) how they statistically reconciled the respondent rate with their electorate model.

I'm not being negative here, I genuinely want to know how they modeled the electorate, including all the details "why," & I genuinely want to see evidence that, once they developed an electorate model that they had a high degree of confidence in, they deliberately disregarded it & made a grade school level mistake like including an oversampling of one particular group without statistically adjusting for it in their model. That's one of the most basic mistakes anyone can make, high school kids would fail a statistics test if they did that, but you're saying this pollster did that?

I'm all ears...

madville

(7,447 posts)
21. FL polling can't be trusted
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 08:54 PM
Sep 6

A majority of those 19% “undecided independents” just don’t want to admit they’re gonna vote republican. Crist was within single digits of DeSantis in some 2022 polls that had an undecided option and then lost by 20%.

CaptainTruth

(7,095 posts)
30. My advice? Ignore Crist. As a former Republican he didn't inspire...
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 11:42 PM
Sep 6

...Dems in FL, not like Kamala has.

Crist is not a good data point to use for comparison.

Initech

(101,101 posts)
28. Fucking why???
Fri Sep 6, 2024, 11:33 PM
Sep 6

Rick Scott is a piece of shit and we've long known he's a piece of shit. We have got to get rid of these people!

Persondem

(2,001 posts)
35. Harris/Walz need to spend some time and resources in FL. Even if FL stays red for president,
Sat Sep 7, 2024, 09:05 AM
Sep 7

having a chance at picking up a Senate seat is worth it .... (and also in TX and saving Tester in MT)

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