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Latest aggregate swing state polls on 538 - NOTE that most of these have only one early Sept datapoint
Arizona tfg +.5
Florida tfg +4.2 (not really a swing)
Georgia Harris +.5
Michigan Harris +2
Minnesota Harris +7.6
Nevada Harris +.6
New Mexico Harris +7
North Carolina tfg +.6
Pennsylvania Harris +.8
Texas tfg +4.4 (not really a swing)
Virginia Harris +3
Wisconsin Harris +2.9
Kamala's favorability/unfavorability is essentially tied
tfg is nearly :+10 UNfavorable
Two months to go - the debates. And tfg and vance keeping up the hyperweirdness and worse.
Thinking Harris takes AZ in addition to those above she is leading in, tfg FL and TX - and NC is going to be really close.
But if the above holds...we will be celebrating.
I expect her lead to grow.
Overall polls - Guardian has Harris +3.6. 538 aggregate Harris +3.1 .
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