General Discussion

Polybius

(21,513 posts) Fri Sep 13, 2024, 12:29 PM Sep 2024

Senate predictions

In the Senate right now, there are 49 Republicans and 51 Democrats (I'm including the Independents who align with Democrats).

So what do you think it will be come January? They have one seat that is 99.99% certain to be a pickup for them (WV), but we can gain a couple as well to offset it. We have a chance in TX and FL. Unfortunately, they have a good chance in MT and a reasonable chance in OH.

23 votes, 1 pass \| Time left: Unlimited
	The same as it is now, 51-49 with us in the Majority
	0 (0%)
	We gain one seat
	5 (22%)
	They gain one seat
	8 (35%)
	We gain two seats
	6 (26%)
	They gain two seats
	3 (13%)
	We gain three seats
	1 (4%)
	They gain three seats
	0 (0%)
	1 DU member did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

16 replies

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Highlight:

Senate predictions (Original Post) Polybius Sep 2024 OP

I think JustAnotherGen Sep 2024 #1

I think Brown wins too Polybius Sep 2024 #3

I wonder in the polls in Montana - are they correctly Dan Sep 2024 #6

It's a very Red state Polybius Sep 2024 #9

Yes, but he's won before... what changed? Dan Sep 2024 #10

Trump's on the ballot this time Polybius Sep 2024 #11

His first run was in 2006. A blue wave election that was big! jimfields33 Sep 2024 #12

What's your prediction? Polybius Sep 2024 #14

I'm a wimp. I will say, if he wins this year, it's his jimfields33 Sep 2024 #16

Brown has been pretty much up the whole time, yes? Is anyone predicting we lose that seat? Hassin Bin Sober Sep 2024 #4

MT and WV are deep concerns with no clear cut takeaway States. WarGamer Sep 2024 #2

I think we pick up the Florida seat with abortion on the ballot. Hassin Bin Sober Sep 2024 #5

teddy cruzy loses !!!!!! Trueblue1968 Sep 2024 #7

Noone talks about Nebraska for obvious reasons, BUT Gaytano70 Sep 2024 #8

That would be a nice upset Polybius Sep 2024 #13

Don't know. I just hope it holds. JanMichael Sep 2024 #15

JustAnotherGen

(37,571 posts)

1. I think

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 12:31 PM

Sep 2024

Tester and Brown are going to win. Definitely Brown. I'm also not convinced we are losing Ohio.

Polybius

(21,513 posts)

3. I think Brown wins too

Reply to JustAnotherGen (Reply #1)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 12:33 PM

Sep 2024

But Tester is down in multiple polls by 5 or 6 points. It's worrisome.

Dan

(4,975 posts)

6. I wonder in the polls in Montana - are they correctly

Reply to Polybius (Reply #3)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 12:52 PM

Sep 2024

Identifying the female vote? The Native American vote?

Polybius

(21,513 posts)

9. It's a very Red state

Reply to Dan (Reply #6)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 01:21 PM

Sep 2024

Trump will win it by 15-19 points. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the polls on Tester are correct.

Dan

(4,975 posts)

10. Yes, but he's won before... what changed?

Reply to Polybius (Reply #9)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 01:24 PM

Sep 2024

Aside from his opponent having a shit-load of money.

Polybius

(21,513 posts)

11. Trump's on the ballot this time

Reply to Dan (Reply #10)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 02:04 PM

Sep 2024

Last time Tester won was 2018, in a very Democratic year. Will a certain percentage of Trump voters cross over? I don't know, but I hope so.

jimfields33

(19,382 posts)

12. His first run was in 2006. A blue wave election that was big!

Reply to Dan (Reply #10)

Fri Sep 13, 2024, 02:08 PM

Sep 2024

His second run was in 2012 a great President Obama year. His third run in 2018, a great mid term year for the Democratic Party. 2024 is a presidential election so it’s a mystery how it will turn out.