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Pototan

(1,833 posts)
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 01:11 AM Monday

Good News inside the CBS poll numbers

I know we have had some pretty discouraging poll numbers lately, especially from NBC. However, CBS has a more encouraging poll, with Harris up 3 points. I think we can win the electoral college with a 3+ national plurality.

Now, before everyone jumps all over me about "don't believe the polls", I'm sorry, I do take them for what their worth, especially network news polls. They are a snapshot in time and have a wide range of MOE. Each poll could be off as much as 5 to 7 points, by their own admission (i.e. a 2.5% MOE means either way, in other words 5 points).

Having said that and informing my DU friends that I have done all I can for the Harris campaign from my retirement villa in the Philippines (contributed $500 and will cast an overseas ballot), let me finally get to my point.

Inside the CBS poll numbers that I have linked you to, it has an identical percentage for black voters for Harris as Biden received in the 2020 exit polls, 87% to 12%.

If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-how-information-beliefs-shape-tight-2024-campaign/

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Good News inside the CBS poll numbers (Original Post) Pototan Monday OP
God willing Mme. Defarge Monday #1
Breathe in and snap my fingers -- byronius Monday #2
❤️ littlemissmartypants Monday #8
If this number is accurate and it holds on election day, there is no way Harris can lose. Botany Monday #3
Yes, IMHO Pototan Monday #9
Biden got 92% Trump got 8% in 2020 Hamlette Monday #4
black men were 87 to 12, black women were 95 to 5 Hamlette Monday #5
This poll says 87% to 12% Pototan Monday #6
Obama has been targeting NJCher Monday #7
I was just imagining a scenario where they won the popular vote and we won the electoral. Talk about riots. Walleye Monday #10

Pototan

(1,833 posts)
6. This poll says 87% to 12%
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 03:03 AM
Monday

But the point is the same. If Harris can duplicate Biden's 2020 numbers for Black voters, she's a winner.

NJCher

(37,485 posts)
7. Obama has been targeting
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 03:05 AM
Monday

Black men with some convincing speeches. I saw him on television and it is real, real hard not to like him. Those speeches have to continue the momentum.

Walleye

(34,588 posts)
10. I was just imagining a scenario where they won the popular vote and we won the electoral. Talk about riots.
Mon Oct 14, 2024, 05:05 AM
Monday
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