General Discussion

JohnSJ

(95,452 posts) Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:18 PM Monday

So for all the hullabaloo over the NBC national poll that the media and pundits were hawking yesterday as showing

Harris has lost momentum, two other national polls showed her with 2 to 3 point lead

“In the latest CBS News/YouGov poll, Harris had a three-point lead over Trump (51% to 48%) among likely voters. And Harris also led in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll by two points (50% to 48%) among likely voters.
But Harris and Trump were tied in the latest NBC News survey (48% to 48%) among registered voters, with the former president erasing a five-point lead for the vice president last month.”

It will be hard to convince me that the illustrious MSM is not overtly trying to damp enthusiasm for VP Harris.

6 replies

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Highlight:

So for all the hullabaloo over the NBC national poll that the media and pundits were hawking yesterday as showing (Original Post) JohnSJ Monday OP

Dear autocorrect: the word he's typing is "hullabaloo."" It's a real word. mahatmakanejeeves Monday #1

Thank-you, and I will now correct. JohnSJ Monday #3

They know who will win bucolic_frolic Monday #2

NONE of the major network polls released yesterday showed Trump winning--- Jack Valentino Monday #4

I just remembered something about someone I know that had to be a Trump supporter LiberalFighter Monday #6

All three polls are within the margin of error Fiendish Thingy Monday #5

mahatmakanejeeves

(60,301 posts)

1. Dear autocorrect: the word he's typing is "hullabaloo."" It's a real word.

Reply to JohnSJ (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:21 PM

Monday

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/hullabaloo

I’ve been posting from my phone all day. I am amazed at what it comes up vs. what I was trying to say.

And good evening.

JohnSJ

(95,452 posts)

3. Thank-you, and I will now correct.

Reply to mahatmakanejeeves (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:27 PM

Monday

bucolic_frolic

(46,297 posts)

2. They know who will win

Reply to JohnSJ (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:23 PM

Monday

They are trying not to make this a watershed election comparable only to 1932. IOW trying to salvage the GOP brand.

Jack Valentino

(810 posts)

4. NONE of the major network polls released yesterday showed Trump winning---

Reply to JohnSJ (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:39 PM

Monday

and 'registered voters' are not 'likely voters'.

For months polls have shown Trump doing better among 'registered' voters than 'likely' voters, so this is not news. The thing about registered voters is, from one-third to one-half of them end up not voting at all-- so it isn't really relevant at this point.

Pollsters almost always show a narrowing of the margins at the end of the campaign, and they are now. The NBC results do not alarm me in the least.

NONE of the polls have a very accurate method of predicting who will ACTUALLY VOTE---
and I believe that advantage lies squarely with Democrats and Harris--Walz this year!
WE have "the hidden voters"!!!

LiberalFighter

(53,312 posts)

6. I just remembered something about someone I know that had to be a Trump supporter

Reply to Jack Valentino (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 09:33 PM

Monday

His FB posts all showed he was a nut and Trumper.

I checked his voting history and found he had last voted in either 2016 or 2018. Which meant he did not in 2020 or any other election after. He was still showing up as active this year.

He would be a registered voter but not likely voter. How many like him?

Fiendish Thingy

(17,780 posts)

5. All three polls are within the margin of error

Reply to JohnSJ (Original post)

Mon Oct 14, 2024, 08:46 PM

Monday

I think Harris will get over 50% of the popular vote, but polling is so broken, we won’t know until after November 5 for sure.

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