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underpants

(188,269 posts)
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 09:39 AM Oct 2024

DU predict - When will major news operations call the POTUS in two weeks?


48 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Time expired
Tuesday Nov. 5th
17 (35%)
0 dark 30 Wednesday Nov. 6th
9 (19%)
Daytime Nov. 6th
9 (19%)
Nighttime Nov. 6th
0 (0%)
Nov. 7th
2 (4%)
Option 6
1 (2%)
Nov. 8th
1 (2%)
Friday Nov. 9th
0 (0%)
Not until the weekend
1 (2%)
Beyond that.
8 (17%)
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DU predict - When will major news operations call the POTUS in two weeks? (Original Post) underpants Oct 2024 OP
When one of the 3 states go to Harris. And they are Ohio or Texas or Florida. Botany Oct 2024 #1
Your keyboard to god's monitor... Wounded Bear Oct 2024 #3
If those state turned blue, we would certainly know election night Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #9
arizona didnt call trump til about 3 am pacific time....or therabouts..i went to bed thinking trump had won samnsara Oct 2024 #2
Remember 78-3 underpants Oct 2024 #12
I think it will be at least a week. Happy Hoosier Oct 2024 #4
SO far DeepWinter Oct 2024 #5
Okay. Thanks. underpants Oct 2024 #6
Agreed... RustyWheels Oct 2024 #10
They won't have all their votes counted. But to make a call, that's not always necessary. lees1975 Oct 2024 #11
I think Friday the 8th JustAnotherGen Oct 2024 #13
These sound like new laws lame54 Nov 2024 #18
The networks won't call it until the weekend Fiendish Thingy Oct 2024 #7
If for no other reason, taxi Nov 2024 #19
by midnight Pacific Time WarGamer Oct 2024 #8
January 6th after the Republicans have voted and his next coup attempt fails or succeeds. Uncle Joe Oct 2024 #14
Without a doubt, not before midnight Polybius Oct 2024 #15
I'm clueless Beringia Oct 2024 #16
Well Newsmax and the like Arthur_Frain Oct 2024 #17

Botany

(73,018 posts)
1. When one of the 3 states go to Harris. And they are Ohio or Texas or Florida.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 09:52 AM
Oct 2024

Harris has been building a blue wall in PA, Wisconsin, Michigan, and North Carolina to get
to 270.



Blue Wave this year. Women are pissed and so are the men who love ‘em.

Wounded Bear

(61,165 posts)
3. Your keyboard to god's monitor...
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 09:58 AM
Oct 2024

We need the White House, the House, and the Senate this cycle. Some important shit to get done.



Fiendish Thingy

(19,023 posts)
9. If those state turned blue, we would certainly know election night
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:13 AM
Oct 2024

But they aren’t going to.

samnsara

(18,365 posts)
2. arizona didnt call trump til about 3 am pacific time....or therabouts..i went to bed thinking trump had won
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 09:53 AM
Oct 2024

cuz hubby said he 'counted the electoral votes' left and it was going for trump. at 330 am i couldnt stand it any longer so turned on the tv and biden had just won!

so who the eff knows?

underpants

(188,269 posts)
12. Remember 78-3
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:59 AM
Oct 2024

As you watch the numbers in election night remember that CA OR WA and Hawaii are a solid 78 EC votes for us. Alaska has 3 and those aren’t going to be ours. That’s 28.888% of the needed 270.

Happy Hoosier

(8,701 posts)
4. I think it will be at least a week.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:01 AM
Oct 2024

The GQP learned how to drag their feet last time, and that was a warm-up. They will do everything they can to delay results from key states.

DeepWinter

(770 posts)
5. SO far
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:01 AM
Oct 2024

Michigan says they won’t have vote totals on election night

Pennsylvania says they won’t have vote totals on election night
( under Pennsylvania law they can’t even START counting mail-in ballots until after the polls close at 8:00PM.)

Georgia says they won’t have vote totals on election night

Arizona says they won’t have vote totals on election night


So, We might have projections Election night, but no one will be calling it until at LEAST the 6th. IMO

RustyWheels

(168 posts)
10. Agreed...
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:14 AM
Oct 2024

But watch North Carolina and Virginia.

Virginia should go for Harris so the margin will be key... Larger margin than Biden's 2020 win will be the tell.

North Carolina, if it show signs of flipping blue to Harris, or even better does flip, things will be going in the right direction.

lees1975

(6,217 posts)
11. They won't have all their votes counted. But to make a call, that's not always necessary.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:52 AM
Oct 2024

If the networks and their decision desks see a trend or pattern, or exit polling that indicates what the remaining vote might look like, they may go ahead and call.

I don't expect to hear from Pennsylvania until at least two days out, since they can't count mail in ballots until the polls close on election day, and those ballots take time to open, verify and count. And they are expecting there will be something like 3 million of them, and they will contain Harris' winning margin, which I am guessing will be between 150,000 and 250,000 votes. If she is ahead before they start counting mail-ins, then that would be a bonus. Her margin in Georgia will be in Atlanta and its collar counties, which take a long time to count.

But, if she's far enough ahead on election night for decision desks to predict what the outcome will be, they can still call the state. And I think we will know, just after midnight on election day, where it's going.

If you want to feel good about this, watch Lawrence O'Donnell's show from last night. He had Sarah Longwell on last night, and she noted that, while the polls don't seem to be able to distinguish or note it, 11% of Pennsylvania Republicans are indicating they will vote Harris. Check the video, but I'm sure that's what she said. If polls are ignoring that, or can't factor that in, there's going to be a surprise on Nov. 5

JustAnotherGen

(34,221 posts)
13. I think Friday the 8th
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 11:59 AM
Oct 2024

I also think we are going to see a ton of energy from Marc Elias the moment the last poll closes through November 8th.

Fiendish Thingy

(19,023 posts)
7. The networks won't call it until the weekend
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 10:11 AM
Oct 2024

It will be clear that Harris is the popular vote winner on Election Night, but it’s likely that the EV winner won’t be clear for several days because of razor thin margins that may rely on the counting of military and overseas ballots to finalize.

But the courtroom chaos sure to follow will keep the nation in suspense until the safe harbor date in December.

Fasten your seatbelts.

taxi

(2,052 posts)
19. If for no other reason,
Sun Nov 3, 2024, 04:19 PM
Nov 2024

let's taunt the mind-game playing magat fools with a long and smug passive aggressive delay. Their futile efforts will bring joy, day after day.

Uncle Joe

(60,531 posts)
14. January 6th after the Republicans have voted and his next coup attempt fails or succeeds.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 12:06 PM
Oct 2024

Trump tells people to vote on January 5 – and social media users are all making the same joke

‘He mixed up his coup date and the election date,’ one X user quipped

https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-town-hall-january-5-election-day-b2629422.html

Thanks for the thread underpants

Polybius

(18,998 posts)
15. Without a doubt, not before midnight
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 12:44 PM
Oct 2024

I'm surprised that 42% believe that it';; be on Tuesday night. It hasn't happened since Obama.

Arthur_Frain

(2,210 posts)
17. Well Newsmax and the like
Wed Oct 23, 2024, 06:03 PM
Oct 2024

Are essentially already calling it for their guy. I expect the mainstream media will be somewhat reticent (for them anyway) to call anything close. If it’s close they’re going to delay, but if we get our supposed blue wave that we want so badly, I expect they will have to call it on Wednesday or be viewed as complicit.

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