I think this one stat shows a Harris win

According to Washington analysis.
In the bellweather Pennsylvania counties of Northampton and Erie.
Over 63 percent of donors registered to vote supported Harris compared to Trump.
Overall, donations in these two counties were in line with the national trend in medium-sized metro counties.
Following the money instead of the polls should show real world excitment and turnout. Nationally if medium sized metro counties break for Harris 60/40 it means women turned out in historic numbers and should be an easy win in the blue wall states. I would say that bids well for NC too