NY-22: Democrats' Best Shot at Flipping a House Seat Is in Upstate New York

When New York Democrats recently emerged from the scrum of redistricting with a map that largely did not tilt in their favor, there was one spot of consolation: a Republican-held district in Central New York that was redrawn broadly to the Democrats’ benefit.

The first-term incumbent there, Representative Brandon Williams, was already facing a dogfight: He had prevailed in 2022 by fewer than 3,000 votes.

But Mr. Williams has now become a distinct underdog in his new district, one that President Biden would have won by 11 points in 2020.

Mr. Williams, a conservative Republican who has praised former President Trump and celebrated the overturning of Roe v. Wade, is the only House Republican whose race is listed as “lean Democrat” by the Cook Political Report.




https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/24/nyregion/williams-mannion-house-swing.html