We don't know who he will choose to caucus - Dems or GOP.

Would love to win nonetheless.

Another option would be to caucus situationally depending on legislation being considered, or majority leadership vote considerations.

Whether Chuck Schumer has the gavel or not.

I'm not 100% certain of the Senate rules, but my impression would be that members can choose to vote for any leadership candidate regardless of party affiliation.

It's not like the House, where everyone votes.

That would make things really complicated if Osborn doesn't caucus with the Dems. If it's 50/49/1 (Osborn being the 1), that would seem to make the Rs the majority. I wonder if he can or would join the Dems for purposes of electing leadership.

Like this election needed another plot twist....

In the Senate, the caucuses choose their leaders. It's not like the House, where everyone votes for the Speaker.

That would make things really complicated if Osborn doesn't caucus with the Dems. If it's 50/49/1 (Osborn being the 1), that would seem to make the Rs the majority. I wonder if he can or would join the Dems for purposes of electing leadership.

But his record, which he insists is non-partisan, is probably at least slightly left-of-center, on balance. Supports abortion rights, but also gun rights. Speaks out again corporate power. Anti-school vouchers. Decriminalize marijuana. Remove the caps on SS contributions and anti-privatizing SS. Close corporate tax loopholes. Anti-discrimination and pro-Civil Rights. Wants crackdown on illegal immigration. Pro-border security.

He'd essentially be a wild card, but I think he'd be our wild card more often than not.

Jon Tester is in a tough race. I'm rooting for him obviously but he's facing quite an uphill battle. With each election cycle, Montana becomes more and more right-leaning. This is going to his toughest year and I hope he makes it.

I'm confident about the following 6 races:

Arizona
Michigan
Nevada
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

Even though Sherrod Brown is facing a tough race in Ohio, I have an inexplicable confidence that he can pull out a win.

I live in FL. I'm just not seeing a pickup opportunity here unfortunately. Again, I hope I eat my words. I hope I'm wrong.

For TX, I'll believe it when I see it. Surprise me.

For the Senate overall, I think our best case scenario is a 50-50 Senate with Kamala Harris and Tim Walz winning the election. I don't see us getting more than 50 seats. This map is tough.

Fischer cruised to reelection in 2018, winning by nearly 20%. That could be slightly misleading because Democrats in NE sometimes don't run full-tilt against incumbent Republicans who appear to be in safe seats, but it's still a pretty surprising turnaround.

Republicans are annoyed that they've had to dump money into the race.

My gut - and 15 years living in the state previously - thinks she probably pulls it out, but I'd be more than happy to be wrong.

Dems need only 7 of these 10 seats for a tie, assuming that West Virginia is the only D incumbent race that has been conceded to the Rs.

The map I was using as a basis prematurely flipped MT to Trump. My apologies. Fixed.