General Discussion

LonePirate

(13,947 posts) Wed Oct 30, 2024, 04:39 PM Oct 30

Gut Check - How confident are you about our chances in November?

Twenty days ago, I posted a Gut Check thread asking for everyone's opinion on how they feel about our chances in November. Then ten days ago, I posted a second Gut Check thread to see if opinions had changed. With less than a week to go, how do you feel about things now?

120 votes, 4 passes \| Time left: Unlimited
	Very confident we will win
	55 (46%)
	Somewhat confident we will win
	41 (34%)
	Not sure what to think
	17 (14%)
	Not very confident as things seem bad
	4 (3%)
	No confidence whatsoever as things look bleak
	3 (3%)
	4 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

14 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Gut Check - How confident are you about our chances in November? (Original Post) LonePirate Oct 30 OP

How we feel will have no effect. MineralMan Oct 30 #1

Yup Polybius Oct 31 #6

I am 100% positive we will win, and bigly. Bigger than bigly. mucholderthandirt Oct 30 #2

Somewhat confident again Polybius Oct 30 #3

I'm hopeful iemanja Oct 30 #4

"Somewhat confident", speaking conservatively--- but when I look at early voting, Jack Valentino Oct 30 #5

The last few days of data have given me a lot more confidence Johnny2X2X Oct 31 #7

No clue Mz Pip Oct 31 #8

Yeah it's so close in the battlegrounds dwayneb Oct 31 #9

Possible to be very confident and scared? mvd Oct 31 #10

I think that should be a bigger concern at this point. lees1975 Oct 31 #11

Agree completely mvd Oct 31 #12

Politics is tough Baggies Oct 31 #13

Nauseously Optimistic tinrobot Oct 31 #14

MineralMan

(148,150 posts)

1. How we feel will have no effect.

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 04:44 PM

Oct 30

What we DO might, though.

GOTV!

Polybius

(18,678 posts)

6. Yup

Reply to MineralMan (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:17 AM

Oct 31

I don't think a single member of DU (100 posts and over) won't vote. We all GOTV.

mucholderthandirt

(1,249 posts)

2. I am 100% positive we will win, and bigly. Bigger than bigly.

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 06:56 PM

Oct 30

It's going to make the best Dem win ever look like that team was standing still. I mean, seriously. If we get the vote out, we got this. HUGE. Yoooogh.

Polybius

(18,678 posts)

3. Somewhat confident again

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 09:45 PM

Oct 30

I was losing confidence fast, but I think the MSG rally really hurt Trump.

iemanja

(55,036 posts)

4. I'm hopeful

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 09:59 PM

Oct 30

Jack Valentino

(1,538 posts)

5. "Somewhat confident", speaking conservatively--- but when I look at early voting,

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Wed Oct 30, 2024, 10:24 PM

Oct 30

the continuous endorsements of our candidates by prominent members of the Republican party,
and all of the other election metrics which weigh in OUR favor and not theirs,
and the "garbage man in his garbage suit", for the love of God,

I don't see how we can possibly lose.

Johnny2X2X

(21,965 posts)

7. The last few days of data have given me a lot more confidence

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:21 AM

Oct 31

Early voting numbers are great for us. Polls of those who have voted are amazing for Harris and well beyond what we thought was possible. And I think abortion ballot initiatives will be a significant boost to beating the polls for Harris in NV, AZ, FL, and NE.

Mz Pip

(27,952 posts)

8. No clue

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:24 AM

Oct 31

One day I’m confident, the next day I’m not.

dwayneb

(903 posts)

9. Yeah it's so close in the battlegrounds

Reply to Mz Pip (Reply #8)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:58 AM

Oct 31

It's anyone's guess. We will find out in about 5 days.

mvd

(65,539 posts)

10. Possible to be very confident and scared?

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 11:22 AM

Oct 31

Because I’m 90% confident, but any chance of that creature winning makes my anxiety sky high. Plus not looking forward to Dump’s many court challenges and shenanigans. Harris could win 450 electoral votes and he’d still try something.

lees1975

(6,163 posts)

11. I think that should be a bigger concern at this point.

Reply to mvd (Reply #10)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 11:32 AM

Oct 31

It won't just be court challenges, there will be violence if she wins, lots of it, around state capitols where the real power exists when electoral ballots are cast and certified. That's where they are made legitimate, not in the ceremony in Congress, and that's where some real damage can be inflicted.

I've been saying since 2016, Congress must do something to make all election rules in all states standard, and make it impossible to overturn the will of the people by shenanigans. So far, the system has held, and maybe it will continue to do so, since evidence must be presented with charges of election fraud or attorneys get "Giulianied" and "Powelled".

mvd

(65,539 posts)

12. Agree completely

Reply to lees1975 (Reply #11)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 11:48 AM

Oct 31

It’s a good thing Biden will be President, unlike last time. Only saving grace.

Baggies

(666 posts)

13. Politics is tough

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 12:02 PM

Oct 31

A candidate has to keep one foot on the gas while keeping the other foot on their opponents throat. I said I’m not sure, and I’m truly not, but the low gas light is on which worries me.

tinrobot

(11,475 posts)

14. Nauseously Optimistic

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Thu Oct 31, 2024, 12:45 PM

Oct 31

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