General Discussion

Polybius

(18,365 posts) Mon Nov 4, 2024, 11:20 PM Nov 4

How confidant are you that Democrats retain their Senate seats in Ohio and Montana?

In Ohio, Democrat Sherrod Brown is running for reelection against Bernie Moreno. In Montana, Democrat Jon Tester is running against Tim Sheehy. Who do you think wins? One? Both? None?

52 votes, 4 passes \| Time left: Unlimited
	We win both Ohio and Montana
	27 (52%)
	We win Ohio, but lose Montana
	19 (37%)
	We win Montana, but lose Ohio
	0 (0%)
	We lose both Senate seats
	6 (12%)
	4 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

How confidant are you that Democrats retain their Senate seats in Ohio and Montana? (Original Post) Polybius Nov 4 OP

🤔 ColinC Nov 4 #1

Bumping Polybius Nov 5 #2

Honestly, I just don't know. Elessar Zappa Nov 5 #3

I was afraid that Tester was done for a long time, but one recent poll Jack Valentino Nov 5 #4

I can't tell you how embarrassed I will be if Moreno gets in. Boomerproud Nov 5 #6

Do you have a link? Polybius Nov 5 #7

I thought I read it somewhere on my phone app--- I may be mistaken, Jack Valentino Nov 5 #8

Ok, here's something from Daily Kos, citing a poll with Tester up by 4! Jack Valentino Nov 5 #11

I'm hoping Kamala will get people voting straight Dem down the line! Initech Nov 5 #5

Well, tough one I think, since Trump sucks all of the energy out of election coverage. lees1975 Nov 5 #9

Eyeball report from Garnet-Red Flathead County Montana: I see plenty of Jon Tester signs every day on my way Maru Kitteh Nov 5 #10

ColinC

(10,945 posts)

1. 🤔

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Mon Nov 4, 2024, 11:46 PM

Nov 4

Polybius

(18,365 posts)

2. Bumping

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:02 PM

Nov 5

Elessar Zappa

(16,080 posts)

3. Honestly, I just don't know.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:04 PM

Nov 5

It’s a crapshoot, imo.

Jack Valentino

(1,510 posts)

4. I was afraid that Tester was done for a long time, but one recent poll

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:48 PM

Nov 5

came out and showed him winning, I think, and one tied--- so he has a chance. Hopefully Democratic turnout and the fact that his opponent is a complete joke will save him.....

But I'm not going to vote in this poll.

Brown should win ok.

Boomerproud

(8,474 posts)

6. I can't tell you how embarrassed I will be if Moreno gets in.

Reply to Jack Valentino (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:59 PM

Nov 5

Sherrod ran a good campaign but let the transgendered lies go on for too long before responding. IMWO.

Polybius

(18,365 posts)

7. Do you have a link?

Reply to Jack Valentino (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:27 PM

Nov 5

I haven't seen Tester winning in eons.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/montana/sheehy-vs-tester

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/montana/general/

Jack Valentino

(1,510 posts)

8. I thought I read it somewhere on my phone app--- I may be mistaken,

Reply to Polybius (Reply #7)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:34 PM

Nov 5

or mixed it up with Brown..... I just went hunting for it on the aggregators, but can't find anything. Dammit.

(May have been a little-known pollster)

Jack Valentino

(1,510 posts)

11. Ok, here's something from Daily Kos, citing a poll with Tester up by 4!

Reply to Polybius (Reply #7)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 03:50 PM

Nov 5

(Not sure if that was the same one i thought I read about previously, or not)
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/11/5/2282964/-Hopeful-News-in-Montana?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

Initech

(102,511 posts)

5. I'm hoping Kamala will get people voting straight Dem down the line!

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:57 PM

Nov 5

There's too much at stake and I'd love to see the Dems retain the senate. I'm also seriously hoping that Texas flushes Ted Cruz too! It's way past time to fire that glorified Fox News employee!

lees1975

(6,101 posts)

9. Well, tough one I think, since Trump sucks all of the energy out of election coverage.

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 02:41 PM

Nov 5

Democrats had a fortune to spend on their candidates, and the GOP spent most of the campaign doling out dollars whenever a poll dropped somewhere or another. Then there are those danged, independent polls that don't get in line and use the same methods everyone else does, and they show us with a Republican senator coming from Texas, and maybe from Florida. Remember, these folks have had a ton of money to outspend their opponent and run a ground game too.

Maru Kitteh

(29,233 posts)

10. Eyeball report from Garnet-Red Flathead County Montana: I see plenty of Jon Tester signs every day on my way