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servermsh

(1,406 posts) Tue Nov 5, 2024, 07:57 PM Nov 2024

Please don't extrapolate from partial counties

Analysts are begging to wait for counties to be close to 100% complete before extrapolating, because early absentee ballots or blue-enhanced portions might be reporting first.

5 replies

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Please don't extrapolate from partial counties (Original Post) servermsh Nov 2024 OP

Or early voting numbers. Or mail-in numbers. Or hunches. Or your gut. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #1

Tell the analysts to bring more sedatives. n/t carpetbagger Nov 2024 #2

severmsh, there's gonna be 23-38 instances of "extrapolating" from now till 9pm, and then it's REALLY Leghorn21 Nov 2024 #3

Ok, I won't bet the farm Easterncedar Nov 2024 #4

Thank you Lulu KC Nov 2024 #5

TwilightZone

(28,835 posts)

1. Or early voting numbers. Or mail-in numbers. Or hunches. Or your gut.

Reply to servermsh (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 07:59 PM

Nov 2024

Or when a state is 2% reported. Or 20%. Or 95%, if it's a swing state.

carpetbagger

(5,180 posts)

2. Tell the analysts to bring more sedatives. n/t

Reply to servermsh (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:00 PM

Nov 2024

Leghorn21

(13,813 posts)

3. severmsh, there's gonna be 23-38 instances of "extrapolating" from now till 9pm, and then it's REALLY

Reply to servermsh (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:02 PM

Nov 2024

gonna start!!

I'm just sayin, that's how it goes in these parts!! (and lots of parts elsewhere!!)

Easterncedar

(3,966 posts)

4. Ok, I won't bet the farm

Reply to servermsh (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:03 PM

Nov 2024

But every bit of good omen feels sweet right now.

Lulu KC

(7,332 posts)

5. Thank you

Reply to servermsh (Original post)

Tue Nov 5, 2024, 08:50 PM

Nov 2024

My nerves are craving order. I am not conscious of much anxiety but chaos is tripping some wires.

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