General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCasey closes to .2% with votes still coming in
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-senate-resultsI know it's been called but I'm curious to see how close the final numbers are
onecaliberal
(35,789 posts)kirby
(4,477 posts)Just for the record. It hasn't been called 'officially', but neither have most other races until local boards of elections finish their work.
onecaliberal
(35,789 posts)SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)If the outstanding votes are from Philadelphia, it could be a literal dead heat at finish.
Omnipresent
(6,342 posts)It could be a tight, few hundred vote win, similar to Al Frankens first term.
MichMan
(13,160 posts)Some of those are smaller counties, but it doesn't look like all the outstanding votes are only from Philadelphia
Polybius
(17,798 posts)Let's say the remaining votes go 78% to Casey and 20% for McCormick. That's 19,500 for Casey, and 5,000 for McCormick. Let's add that to what we have so far:
McCormick: 3,395,784 + 5,000 = 3,400,784
Hyper close, but still not enough.
ColinC
(10,667 posts)I dont know if there's enough to get this into a range where the recount makes any difference.
Casey still behind 17k
SoCalDavidS
(10,599 posts)That we have a better ground game or GOTV effort than the other side. Even running a piece of garbage like T, they kicked our butt. Imagine what it would have been if they were running someone halfway decent or intelligent.
Casey is probably going to come up less than 5K votes short, is my guess. AP never should have called the race as early as they did, even if they ultimately turn out to be correct.
Sugarcoated
(8,099 posts)accusing Case, et al, of counting "disqualified ballots". Anyone have details? Is this just spin?
Amishman
(5,810 posts)Several blue counties (Bucks was first) are counting misdated and undated mail in ballots.
The law and the state scotus is clear, these should not be counted. But the date requirement itself is idiotic as the postmark should be all that matters
Sugarcoated
(8,099 posts)In his primary vs Oz
Polybius
(17,798 posts)And what's so hard about getting instructions right anyway?
Polybius
(17,798 posts)The 4-3 ruling, which was requested by the Republican Party and opposed by Caseys campaign, followed moves by elections officials in Democratic-controlled counties including Philadelphia, Bucks, and Montgomery to have the ballots counted despite the high court instructing them to exclude those votes earlier in the year. The ruling applies to all counties.
Democrats in those counties and elsewhere have pushed to include mail ballots with defects related to the dates voters are required to write on them because the dates are not used by election administrators to determine whether ballots are legitimate. Instead, they only count ballots that are received between when the ballots are distributed and Election Day, making it impossible for a vote to be counted outside of that timeframe regardless of what date a voter writes on the ballot.
Republicans have argued that those votes must be excluded from the count because state law requires voters to date their mail ballots. McCormicks campaign joined the GOP lawsuit after it was filed. While the ruling settles how these types of ballots are handled this year, the longer legal battle may not be over because the court has not yet weighed in on the underlying question of whether rejecting undated ballots on what Democrats describe as a technicality constitutes a violation of rights guaranteed to voters by the state constitution.
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/philadelphia/pennsylvania-supreme-court-undated-mail-ballots-senate-recount-20241118.html