Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 08:52 AM Tuesday

One thing to keep in mind. He is term limited.

His ability to cow the GOP legislatures is limited. In 2 years he will be closing in on 81.
I doubt the dancing rallies will work. At his age and shape, it will become more macabre (if that is possible).

Importantly, he is a lame duck.

Looking at the swells in the GOP who want to run for POTUS in 2028. I don’t think any of them is wowed by the charisma of Vance. Certainly not enough to not want to try to be POTUS themselves. Each one of the “luminaries” of the GOP looks into the mirror and sees themselves as President.

It may be cold comfort but even for intelligent self controlled adults, a second POTUS term is not that great.

62 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
One thing to keep in mind. He is term limited. (Original Post) bronxiteforever Tuesday OP
We need to keep saying that every chance we get JCMach1 Tuesday #1
The concern is this may not be true. Irish_Dem Tuesday #2
No I agree it is not certain but it is all I have. bronxiteforever Tuesday #10
Even if he dies, they will probably prop him up in the Oval Office la "Weekend at Bernie's." I'm only half-kidding. LaMouffette Tuesday #18
Well, if they substituted for him with a corpse, at least the smell would be right Walleye Tuesday #37
Ha! (And: Ewwww!) LaMouffette 1 hr ago #61
Clinging on to fantasies may be all we have at this point. Irish_Dem Tuesday #27
He will NOT install himself as dictator. PoindexterOglethorpe Tuesday #26
We do not know that. Irish_Dem Tuesday #30
You mean the courts who rejected all his election lawsuits EdmondDantes_ Tuesday #31
What data do you have to support the idea Trump will follow the law and the rules? Irish_Dem Tuesday #35
Remind me again how successful the Coup of January 6 was. PoindexterOglethorpe Tuesday #48
J6 was a warm up act. And there is talk Trump will pardon them. Irish_Dem Tuesday #50
And of course every Democrat in the country PoindexterOglethorpe Tuesday #53
Can you seriously imagine the Supremes PoindexterOglethorpe Tuesday #32
I'm not sure Vance strikes the fear in his fellow Republicans that Trump does Walleye Tuesday #39
It is amazing how Joe Biden's age concerns bronxiteforever Tuesday #42
That assumes the rule of law. Eugene Tuesday #3
He can say nonsense like that all he wants, PoindexterOglethorpe Tuesday #28
You actually believe that? atreides1 Tuesday #4
I can't argue it's not bleak bronxiteforever Tuesday #8
Yeah but if he can get the DOJ to investigate publicly oldmanlynn Tuesday #5
True. I think DOJ is going to be a tougher nut for bronxiteforever Tuesday #12
There's a nightmare workaround Shrek Tuesday #6
Not sure that would be constitutional. SomewhereInTheMiddle Tuesday #14
In this scenario he isn't elected to the office Shrek Tuesday #22
But I would counter that age and nature work bronxiteforever Tuesday #15
Trump always follows the rules. Emile Tuesday #7
Fred trump was 94 when he died.. Omnipresent Tuesday #9
I am hoping that Fred did not eat as many Big Macs.. bronxiteforever Tuesday #17
Fred probably had just a little more self restraint. Omnipresent Tuesday #45
In Fred's earlier photos he sure seemed Not to Look That overweight. electric_blue68 Tuesday #59
Lame Duck Dictator bucolic_frolic Tuesday #11
Ha! I will give you that! bronxiteforever Tuesday #13
Well, SO FAR. Liberal In Texas Tuesday #16
I counter that so far he has talked about a great many things bronxiteforever Tuesday #20
He lies all the time. But probably not about a 3rd term. He wants to stay out of jail. n/t Liberal In Texas Tuesday #57
A lame duck DeepWinter Tuesday #19
Well that is the immutable past so not much there bronxiteforever Tuesday #23
If he was 65 instead of 78 Johnny2X2X Tuesday #21
There will be an election on Tuesday November 7, 2028 no matter what... LeftinOH Tuesday #24
Thank goodness. nt jfz9580m Tuesday #56
If they overturn the two-term limit so Trump can run again in 2028 ... Intractable Tuesday #25
Agree. Vance will not be a shoe in in 2028 bronxiteforever Tuesday #29
Vance might have incumbent advantage when running in 2028. Intractable Tuesday #38
Sometimes I wonder if he'll even make it through the first year Shrek Tuesday #33
I agree -- he doesn't actually want the job. Intractable Tuesday #36
I don't think Vance is that scary, he's a punk. Walleye Tuesday #41
Vance is indeed an over educated punk. He will not be able to control the MAGAs the way Trump does. Intractable Tuesday #43
JD is what they call us, smarty-pants Walleye Tuesday #44
I agree to a great extent with this save bronxiteforever Tuesday #40
This is what I was thinking OnionPatch Tuesday #54
We should threaten them with it. You run Trump again, he faces Obama! Intractable Tuesday #55
Assuming free and fair elections in 2028. Tommy Carcetti Tuesday #34
He's also health-limited. alarimer Tuesday #46
Only if the term limit can be enforced. n/t D23MIURG23 Tuesday #47
Putin was term limited as well. LisaL Tuesday #49
Exactly. LakeArenal Tuesday #51
People -- including GOPers -- will likely be sick of trump by end of this term. Whether another white winger will fool Silent Type Tuesday #52
But HE is not the root problem for our imperiled democracy Attilatheblond Tuesday #58
They're getting 12 years out of this, minimum. Arthur_Frain Tuesday #60
It's extremely likely that Vance will be the incumbent by the end of his term. Crunchy Frog 57 min ago #62

Irish_Dem

(57,339 posts)
2. The concern is this may not be true.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 08:58 AM
Tuesday

The concern is that Trump will install himself as dictator.

He has talked about a dictatorship style role as head of government.
He has said no one will need to vote again.

He also claimed his first term was stolen from him due to the impeachments, etc.
So he should get two more terms.

So nothing is certain.

LaMouffette

(2,265 posts)
18. Even if he dies, they will probably prop him up in the Oval Office la "Weekend at Bernie's." I'm only half-kidding.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:19 AM
Tuesday

With AI technology, they could probably keep up the appearance of him still being alive for a year or two. Sure, people would start to wonder why they never see him in public, but he could always claim he feared assassination attempts.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(26,727 posts)
26. He will NOT install himself as dictator.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:26 AM
Tuesday

He actually served the full four years of his first term. He can claim his re-election in 2020 was stolen, but he served his first term. It was not stolen from him.

The far, far bigger concern ought to be that he somehow doesn't finish this term, and Vance become President.

A few months ago that was a concern here, but it seems to have disappeared.

Irish_Dem

(57,339 posts)
30. We do not know that.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:29 AM
Tuesday

He has insisted otherwise and the courts continue to back him up.
And congress gives him what he wants.

Of course Vance is plan b.

EdmondDantes_

(51 posts)
31. You mean the courts who rejected all his election lawsuits
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:32 AM
Tuesday

Okay technically all but one.

Short of a constitutional amendment, which certainly isn't going to happen, he's not getting another term.

Irish_Dem

(57,339 posts)
35. What data do you have to support the idea Trump will follow the law and the rules?
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:37 AM
Tuesday

And that he is lying when he says he will be a dictator and no one will need to vote ever again?

The best predictor of future behavior of future behavior is past behavior.

Trump's past behavior shows us that he is a ruthless, brutal psychopath who will
break laws to get what he wants. He has a known history of criminal behavior.

This is science.

I will be happy to consider your hypothesis but I need data to back it up.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(26,727 posts)
48. Remind me again how successful the Coup of January 6 was.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 10:55 AM
Tuesday

And how not a single insurrectionist has been jailed.

Oh, wait. The coup didn't succeed? A whole bunch of the Jan 6 rioters have gone to jail? Guess those are perfect proof of how easily he will declare himself dictator.

Irish_Dem

(57,339 posts)
50. J6 was a warm up act. And there is talk Trump will pardon them.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 10:59 AM
Tuesday

Going after the foot soldiers made Garland look like he was actually doing something.

Not one of the J6 managers, planners, funders were ever investigated and they never will be.

The insiders who detached the Dem congress panic buttons, who gave detailed plans and maps out,
who even conducted tours for the J6ers.

It is easy to go after the low hanging fruit. Garland took the easy way out.
And pretended to give a damn about justice and our democracy.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(26,727 posts)
32. Can you seriously imagine the Supremes
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:32 AM
Tuesday

will conclude he didn't really serve his first four years.

Perhaps the actual text of the twenty-second amendment will prove useful:

No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once. But this Article shall not apply to any person holding the office of President when this Article was proposed by the Congress, and shall not prevent any person who may be holding the office of President, or acting as President, during the term within which this Article becomes operative from holding the office of President or acting as President during the remainder of such term.

Walleye

(35,658 posts)
39. I'm not sure Vance strikes the fear in his fellow Republicans that Trump does
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:42 AM
Tuesday

The fact is other Republicans are more afraid of Trump then we are

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
42. It is amazing how Joe Biden's age concerns
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:51 AM
Tuesday

don’t translate to our media to Trump. I get your point about Vance as an incumbent but he will have to run off the wreckage Trump has left us.

Vance is smarter but charisma wise, he is a cold fish. But, after this election I can truly say what do I know!

Eugene

(62,646 posts)
3. That assumes the rule of law.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 08:58 AM
Tuesday

Even during his first term, Dump said Democratic interference should entitle him to additional years in office.
He is already making the same noises again while trying to dismantle other checks and balances.

Constitutional term limits matter only if they are enforced (e.g. El Salvador).

PoindexterOglethorpe

(26,727 posts)
28. He can say nonsense like that all he wants,
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:28 AM
Tuesday

but he still served the full four years.

Can anyone here seriously imagine that he will be nominated again in 2028?

atreides1

(16,385 posts)
4. You actually believe that?
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 08:58 AM
Tuesday

What and who is going to stop him from remaining in office? He's only leaving office feet first, but he still leaves behind Vance and little Mikey Johnson and a SCOTUS majority with a moral compass so fucked up, that they couldn't find there way to the toilet!!!

That man plans to remain in office for as long as he can!

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
8. I can't argue it's not bleak
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:05 AM
Tuesday

Nor your points on the Supreme Court. I believe in biology and time passing.

I find his age, no longer discussed, matters. He did not win 50% of the Country. I may be wrong but then I will introduce myself to you in the reeducation camps as we will be fellow travelers.

oldmanlynn

(388 posts)
5. Yeah but if he can get the DOJ to investigate publicly
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:00 AM
Tuesday

Our candidate for presidency then it’s gonna be more difficult

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
12. True. I think DOJ is going to be a tougher nut for
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:13 AM
Tuesday

him to crack.that depends on the Courts because firing scads of Ivy League educated lawyers is most certainly going to lead to lawsuits. But I agree the DOJ could also be a disaster for us.

Shrek

(4,129 posts)
6. There's a nightmare workaround
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:01 AM
Tuesday

Republicans keep the House in 2028 and elect Trump speaker

Two of Trump's hand-picked toadies are elected President and VP

They both resign on January 21

Trump becomes the President

14. Not sure that would be constitutional.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:17 AM
Tuesday

No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.


That sounds like it would prevent someone that has been elected to office twice from serving part of someone else's term.

Not that that necessarily matters. It was how Putin kept power form many years - changing job titles without changing powers.

But we can hope some of the folk that have sworn to defend the Constitution would actually do so.

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
15. But I would counter that age and nature work
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:18 AM
Tuesday

both sides of the aisle. I am betting that he will continue his physical slide.If this is 81 for Jo Biden, who worked out and stayed fit, I don’t think 81 for TFG will be better.

Omnipresent

(6,342 posts)
9. Fred trump was 94 when he died..
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:07 AM
Tuesday

So if he lives a few more years after this term, he can expect incarceration for any past and future crimes he commits.
There has to be some sort of silver lining for all of his BS!

Omnipresent

(6,342 posts)
45. Fred probably had just a little more self restraint.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 10:02 AM
Tuesday

He probably never declared bankruptcy, for one thing.

Liberal In Texas

(14,492 posts)
16. Well, SO FAR.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:18 AM
Tuesday

He's talking about a 3rd term. They'll get the Supremes to say something like the 22nd Amendment only applies to consecutive terms.

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
20. I counter that so far he has talked about a great many things
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:21 AM
Tuesday

Such as being the father of IVF. His ability to cow other people is going to be limited. These people do not wish to be cowed forever because they themselves want power.

At least that is my hope.

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
23. Well that is the immutable past so not much there
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:24 AM
Tuesday

except facts. But my post wasn’t about what has been. I am looking to the future.

Johnny2X2X

(21,746 posts)
21. If he was 65 instead of 78
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:22 AM
Tuesday

He would be the President for the next 2 decades. No way would he leave in 2029. But he's going to be pushing 83 then and will be too old to be dictator.

LeftinOH

(5,413 posts)
24. There will be an election on Tuesday November 7, 2028 no matter what...
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:26 AM
Tuesday

and it will be the first time in sixteen years (since the 2012 election) that Donald Trump's name is not on the ballot. He won't be holding rallies in support of other candidates; if he isn't the center of attention, he isn't interested. GOP/MAGA candidates will be on their own to carry on his "legacy." It's unlikely that anyone else could cultivate a following like Trump has done. The right-wing noise machine may try to manufacture a successor, but the cult IS going to run out of steam...

Intractable

(541 posts)
25. If they overturn the two-term limit so Trump can run again in 2028 ...
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:26 AM
Tuesday

we can run Obama again!

I don't think either will happen.

Actually, I don't think Trump will make it through four years with his increasing dementia. We'll be dealing with Vance in 2028.

Shrek

(4,129 posts)
33. Sometimes I wonder if he'll even make it through the first year
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:33 AM
Tuesday

I have a nagging suspicion that he doesn't really want to be President; he just wanted to win a rematch against Biden to assuage his demented ego.

With that out of the way I halfway suspect he may get tired of the whole charade and just hand it over to Vance.

Intractable

(541 posts)
36. I agree -- he doesn't actually want the job.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:39 AM
Tuesday

He just wants the power to dismiss the cases against him, take revenge on his enemies, and intimidate world leaders into letting him build hotels in their countries.

We can start wagering as to when we'll be dealing with President Vance.

Walleye

(35,658 posts)
41. I don't think Vance is that scary, he's a punk.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:47 AM
Tuesday

And he’s already resentful of Leon getting so much attention.

Intractable

(541 posts)
43. Vance is indeed an over educated punk. He will not be able to control the MAGAs the way Trump does.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:54 AM
Tuesday

But, if Trump diminishes sufficiently or dies, there will be a MAGA power vacuum.

bronxiteforever

(9,402 posts)
40. I agree to a great extent with this save
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:44 AM
Tuesday

for 2 other priorities that he has(outside of grifting of course).

He has talked about tariffs for decades. He is single minded about tariffs.
The deportations of people. He couldn’t build the wall so he is going to build it out of us customs officers.

OnionPatch

(6,217 posts)
54. This is what I was thinking
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 01:24 PM
Tuesday

Was just talking about it with friends. Trump runs again somehow, we run Obama. Hopefully it won't come to that.

Intractable

(541 posts)
55. We should threaten them with it. You run Trump again, he faces Obama!
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 01:29 PM
Tuesday

Fun to think about! Especially Trump losing. (Losing it?)

Tommy Carcetti

(43,545 posts)
34. Assuming free and fair elections in 2028.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 09:33 AM
Tuesday

Which might sound wild for us 2024 folks, but he's already "joked" about wanting to serve more than 2 terms, just like he's "joked" about other things that turned out not actually to be jokes.

And yes, he might be an ancient dinosaur in 2028, but if he's sentient, he's going to want to hold on to power as long as he possibly can for all the perks and the glories of the job (including his perceived immunity thanks to the Supreme Court). Of course the actual responsibilities and duties of the job he couldn't care less about, but that's beside the point.

Or Ronald McDonald and Colonel Sanders finish the job before then. And Vance will be our reality then.

alarimer

(16,574 posts)
46. He's also health-limited.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 10:07 AM
Tuesday

But who's going to stop him from running again? I know it's in the Constitution, but what is the actual enforcement mechanism?

I'm just hoping for a heart attack, stroke or whatever to take him out.

Remember, Trump fans are fans of HIM only. They don't care or like Vance or any other Republican.

I just hope there is something left when he finally goes.

LakeArenal

(29,797 posts)
51. Exactly.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 11:06 AM
Tuesday

It’s like people don’t believe what he’s saying

Things like “you’ll never have to vote again “

I believe it.

Silent Type

(6,652 posts)
52. People -- including GOPers -- will likely be sick of trump by end of this term. Whether another white winger will fool
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 11:18 AM
Tuesday

voters again is an open question at this point.

Attilatheblond

(4,293 posts)
58. But HE is not the root problem for our imperiled democracy
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 02:02 PM
Tuesday

He's just the front man de jour, the marketer in chief, the clown to distract. So, the real threats will have another 4 years to get the rest of their ducks, and levers of power in hand.

So, no, I do NOT feel better knowing he is 'term limited'. There is no way he serves his full term this time. TPTB don't really like him. He's just a very useful idiot, for now.

Arthur_Frain

(2,187 posts)
60. They're getting 12 years out of this, minimum.
Tue Nov 19, 2024, 03:51 PM
Tuesday

4 with tfg, and 8 with his acolyte.

Long before that time we won’t be capable of holding elections.

Crunchy Frog

(26,974 posts)
62. It's extremely likely that Vance will be the incumbent by the end of his term.
Thu Nov 21, 2024, 09:04 AM
57 min ago

He'll then have the very powerful incumbent advantage and there may not be much of a primary.

Under Vance, they're likely to whittle down the election infrastructure enough that it will be impossible for them not to stay in power, and will probably figure out a way to get rid of term limits.

Worst case scenario, we could be looking at a 40 year Vance dictatorship.

We really are in uncharted territory.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»One thing to keep in mind...