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Dennis Donovan

(27,453 posts)
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 03:24 PM Dec 1

John Pavlovitz: I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I do not believe this election rslt would hold up to a forensic audit

Last edited Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:21 PM - Edit history (1)

John Pavlovitz
‪@johnpavlovitz.bsky.social‬
I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I do not believe this election result would hold up to a forensic audit or single swing state recount, and the fact that no efforts were made by the Dems to do the smallest due diligence is and will always be extremely disappointing.
December 1, 2024 at 12:43 PM


There's quite a few people on Bluesky that believe this. I haven't seen convincing proof that this wasn't anything but the fact that we lost.

https://bsky.app/profile/johnpavlovitz.bsky.social/post/3lcb5wlzmuk2f
70 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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John Pavlovitz: I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I do not believe this election rslt would hold up to a forensic audit (Original Post) Dennis Donovan Dec 1 OP
Believe you are correct. republianmushroom Dec 1 #1
There wont be any proof unless it is investigated. hadEnuf Dec 1 #2
They would appear to be just like Republicans if they contested the election bucolic_frolic Dec 1 #3
We learned in 2022 Trump's team DID breach the Georgia election over a period of days. A group of computer scientists pnwmom Dec 1 #22
We got suckered Cirsium Dec 1 #4
"And when we fight, we win" ??? MagickMuffin Dec 1 #5
"And when we don't, we lose." Kid Berwyn Dec 1 #6
We almost never do when it matters most, and it's fucking infuriating. Karasu Dec 1 #10
Nothing ever happens Seeking Serenity Dec 3 #69
Count swing state ballots now !!!!!!!!!! Do it. Trueblue1968 Dec 1 #7
"We need to look Forward, not Backwards" Shipwack Dec 1 #8
It wasn't a "shellacking" by any metric, whether one accepts the results or not. Karasu Dec 1 #9
I corrected it. Dennis Donovan Dec 1 #12
sounds no different than the loonies on the right in 2020. WarGamer Dec 1 #11
Yes, they successfully trained us not to question election results no matter how sketchy pnwmom Dec 1 #21
What's sketchy about it? HereForTheParty Dec 1 #29
The Trump team breach of the voting system in Georgia which was discovered in 2022 has given them 4 years pnwmom Dec 1 #44
were they all 'loonies on the left' stillcool Dec 3 #52
"but every Presidential election since at least 2000 has had questionable results" Polybius Dec 3 #58
how many people were purged from the rolls stillcool Dec 3 #67
But then... GiqueCee Dec 1 #13
The bullet ballots SickOfTheOnePct Dec 1 #28
How does the vote count prove that? nt pnwmom Dec 1 #45
Simple math SickOfTheOnePct Dec 1 #48
Post removed Post removed Dec 1 #14
I feel a recount would be good Sea A Chell Dec 1 #15
Someone would have to pay for the recounts though Polybius Dec 3 #59
I believe Democrats are too afraid oldmanlynn Dec 1 #16
Is there like a head Democrat or something who we think is going to see one of these recount posts and think.. Fish700 Dec 1 #17
A simple hand recount would assure either way ... aggiesal Dec 1 #18
Why should "convincing proof" be needed before an audit is done? In my state we ROUTINELY as part of the NORMAL process pnwmom Dec 1 #19
Don't know which state you are in, but... reACTIONary Dec 1 #25
What we need to dig into is... FoggyLake Dec 1 #20
Because the election wasn't close? Polybius Dec 3 #64
That's right, The Democratic Party and it's Army of lawyers are just too stupid to see what is Wiz Imp Dec 1 #23
Thanks! reACTIONary Dec 1 #26
So... the answer is to allow a dictatorship to take hold.... FoggyLake Dec 3 #49
Thanks for proving my point Wiz Imp Dec 3 #56
I wonder - DeeDeeNY Dec 1 #24
How to tell everyone you are a conspiracy theorist.... reACTIONary Dec 1 #27
Im not a conspiracy theorist but i do not believe 911 happened the way the government says ColinC Dec 1 #32
Too many "nots" for me... reACTIONary Dec 1 #39
I dont not not-believe it. ColinC Dec 1 #40
You've tied me in knots. reACTIONary Dec 1 #42
I have not tied you in knots! But perhaps i have not not tied you in nots? ColinC Dec 1 #43
Don't not stop! reACTIONary Dec 1 #46
I believe in a couple myself, such as the JFK conspiracy with LHO not acting alone Polybius Dec 3 #60
I'm not an x, almost inevitably is followed by x EdmondDantes_ Dec 3 #65
Stating it doesn't make it true biophile Dec 4 #70
PA had a recount. ColinC Dec 1 #30
I don't know about a recount, but PA... reACTIONary Dec 1 #35
I was wrong. There was not a recount... ColinC Dec 1 #41
Casey stopped it Polybius Dec 3 #61
Yeah that seems to be the case. I think it is more than clear that Casey would have likely lost more votes in a recount ColinC Dec 3 #68
We lost. I'm not wasting time on this bullshit. themaguffin Dec 1 #31
Thanks! Me either, except... reACTIONary Dec 1 #36
I think many Democrats may be a little quick in thinking that Trump would not and did not cheat... kentuck Dec 1 #33
Oh he "cheated" alright. But all the ways he did were pretty much legal ColinC Dec 1 #34
Right On !!! reACTIONary Dec 1 #37
So where is our forensic audit? Meowmee Dec 1 #38
choose a state stillcool Dec 3 #54
I am with Pavlovitz. hamsterjill Dec 1 #47
I'm right there with you. lees1975 Dec 3 #57
Why did he tell his voters they would not need to vote again? Dem4life1234 Dec 3 #50
You're correct. You sound like a Conspiracy Theorist! Fish700 Dec 3 #51
Doesn't matter Bettie Dec 3 #53
I believe this. phylny Dec 3 #55
Why? Polybius Dec 3 #62
Yours is a good question. phylny Dec 3 #66
This message was self-deleted by its author tenderfoot Dec 3 #63

hadEnuf

(2,795 posts)
2. There wont be any proof unless it is investigated.
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 03:39 PM
Dec 1

But I guess the Dems "don't want to be like the right"?

bucolic_frolic

(47,610 posts)
3. They would appear to be just like Republicans if they contested the election
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 03:51 PM
Dec 1

and after telling the public the elections were secure and should be trusted.

But sometimes you have to go after the truth or you have no facts to back things up.

pnwmom

(109,638 posts)
22. We learned in 2022 Trump's team DID breach the Georgia election over a period of days. A group of computer scientists
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:53 PM
Dec 1

wrote Kamala about this -- and about the risk that breach posed for the 2024 election.

https://freespeechforpeople.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/letter-to-vp-harris-111324-1.pdf

Cirsium

(1,158 posts)
4. We got suckered
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 03:58 PM
Dec 1

Last edited Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:01 PM - Edit history (1)

For years Trump went on and on about rigged elections. Democrats obediently rose to the bait, and spent years and years saying that there are no problems with elections, zip, zero. We are against Republicans, right? So we must say the opposite of whatever they say, yes? While we were doing that, Republicans were busy purging voter rolls.

MAGA owns the issue now, and they can cheat as much as they like and we are in a very weak position.

Notice how the Republican success has much more to do with which issues they select to talk about and how they frame those issues than it does with the quality of their arguments.

MagickMuffin

(17,201 posts)
5. "And when we fight, we win" ???
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 04:41 PM
Dec 1


After the election I didn’t observe any fighting, so in conclusion We didn’t win, because we didn’t fight.

I don’t even know what that phrase was all about anyway.


Karasu

(368 posts)
9. It wasn't a "shellacking" by any metric, whether one accepts the results or not.
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:14 PM
Dec 1

It was the smallest popular vote victory since Bush vs. Gore, and Trump fell below the 50% mark, meaning that technically more people voted against him than for him. Even if you choose not to question the results despite the stakes, people really shouldn't be legitimizing the fascists' "mandate" argument by claiming this was some kind of historic bloodbath. It wasn't.

pnwmom

(109,638 posts)
21. Yes, they successfully trained us not to question election results no matter how sketchy
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:49 PM
Dec 1

by filing repeated lawsuits when there were no issues.

pnwmom

(109,638 posts)
44. The Trump team breach of the voting system in Georgia which was discovered in 2022 has given them 4 years
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 09:01 PM
Dec 1

to figure out how to hack those voting systems -- which is used in multiple other states. Why are we assuming they didn't?

Why doesn't every state audit its results? My state does.

stillcool

(32,806 posts)
52. were they all 'loonies on the left'
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 01:03 PM
Dec 3

in 2000, or 2004? I mean those were provable, between Ohio and Florida, but every Presidential election since at least 2000 has had questionable results. People in some states cared enough to make their elections more secure, the counting more accurate, and access to casting a ballot easier. The other states do the opposite. Elections by their nature are always vulnerable to the steal. No conspiracy required

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
58. "but every Presidential election since at least 2000 has had questionable results"
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:23 PM
Dec 3

What was sketchy about 2008? The only surprise that I see was Indiana. Odd that they shifted so far back to the right in 2012.

stillcool

(32,806 posts)
67. how many people were purged from the rolls
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 05:05 PM
Dec 3

in multiple states? Why was Karl Rove all up in a dither on Fox news when Ohio was called? Indiana, I know nothing about. Perhaps it wasn't horrific enough to make the news? Nobody cares anyway....obviously. Afraid of being called a name.

GiqueCee

(1,519 posts)
13. But then...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:22 PM
Dec 1

... your only source of convincing proof would be mainstream media outlets that have already proven themselves to be in the tank for Trump, and are therefore, unreliable in the extreme.
The bullet ballots, documented instances of ballot mishandling by Republican-appointed election officials, and the long and sordid history of Republican dirty tricks, should give anyone grave doubts that there wasn't some foul play in critical swing states to sway that despicable abomination called the Electoral College.
Republicans have proven time and time again that they are congenitally incapable of honesty or decency in any endeavor; Christ, they brag about it!
So, yeah, I share Mr. Pavlovitz's extreme disappointment. Remember, every accusation is a confession when it come to anything that involves Trump. I wouldn't trust him, his minions, or any of his idiot supporters any further than I could throw my truck.

SickOfTheOnePct

(7,383 posts)
28. The bullet ballots
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:22 PM
Dec 1

are non-issues…the vote counts prove that whole is issue is actually a non- issue.

Response to Dennis Donovan (Original post)

Sea A Chell

(48 posts)
15. I feel a recount would be good
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:33 PM
Dec 1

I think the Repubs masterfully co-opted this issue earlier so that when we have legitimate questions, it looks like sour grapes. Frankly, I'm okay with anyone who wants a recount, regardless which side of the aisle. The difference is that we won't go down that dark path they did on 1/6. Yeah, I'm also disappointed that the "when we fight, we win" idea seems to have its limits.

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
59. Someone would have to pay for the recounts though
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:32 PM
Dec 3

They are only free if the election in that state was hyper close, and none were. I think the closest state that Trump won was Wisconsin, and that was by 0.9%, or about 29,000 votes. I believe it costs over a million for each state's recount.

oldmanlynn

(511 posts)
16. I believe Democrats are too afraid
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:39 PM
Dec 1

I believe the Democrats are too afraid to even go in and ask for a recount because they are afraid of looking exactly how the Republicans looked back in 2020. Or they know that the election was legitimate one of the two.

Fish700

(148 posts)
17. Is there like a head Democrat or something who we think is going to see one of these recount posts and think..
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:42 PM
Dec 1

Oh yeah, we could totally do that? I am just wondering what the purpose is since Harris doesn't seem to think she was robbed.

aggiesal

(9,526 posts)
18. A simple hand recount would assure either way ...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:47 PM
Dec 1

If you think everything is ok, and the hand recount proves that, then no harm done.
If the hand recount actually does find issues, I'm sure you would think, "I'm glad we did a hand recount." Not trying to put words in your mouth, but if issues show Pendejo45/Musk ticket stole the election, wouldn't you want that corrected?

Why am I continually getting text messages from Harris/Walz campaign about funding some election fight, when I'm not seeing any contesting of the election.

pnwmom

(109,638 posts)
19. Why should "convincing proof" be needed before an audit is done? In my state we ROUTINELY as part of the NORMAL process
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 05:47 PM
Dec 1

perform audits. We have all paper ballots and they take a sample of them and recount them by hand. If the result didn't match the machine tabulation, then all the ballots would be recounted.

reACTIONary

(6,157 posts)
25. Don't know which state you are in, but...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:17 PM
Dec 1

.... what you describe is pretty routine. PA does a security audit before certifying the results.

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
64. Because the election wasn't close?
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:57 PM
Dec 3

The closest state was Wisconsin, and Trump won it by 0.9%. Not even close enough for an automatic recount.

Wiz Imp

(2,462 posts)
23. That's right, The Democratic Party and it's Army of lawyers are just too stupid to see what is
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:13 PM
Dec 1

so obvious to a bunch of conspiracy nutcases on the internet. Or maybe they were in on it?



This is a response to John Pavlovitz and not necessarily the original poster.

I'm pretty sure lawyers like Marc Elias and many others who worked for the Harris campaign are smart enough to follow-up on any realistic evidence of "cheating". And if you don't think the Democrats have done due diligence with respect to these crazy ideas, then you're nuts. Of course, they looked into these things. The fact that you haven't seen or heard any of them demanding recounts and the like is because THERE IS ABSOLUTELY ZERO EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT IT.

It's amazing that people here continue to make some of the same arguments that MAGA used in 2020 to say the election was stolen. Back then, I believe most of us in the reality based community laughed in their faces at how they were pathetic crybabies that couldn't accept the truth. But for some reason, when the Democrats lost the election, all of a sudden all those ridiculous arguments now MUST be investigated thoroughly and that will prove Trump stole the election. If you all could just realize how crazy you all sound....

FoggyLake

(104 posts)
49. So... the answer is to allow a dictatorship to take hold....
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 12:47 PM
Dec 3

to avoid being called crazy. PATHETIC.

DeeDeeNY

(3,582 posts)
24. I wonder -
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:16 PM
Dec 1

Why did Don Jr state a few days before the election that he would probably be moving after the election to a country with no extradition treaty with the U.S.?

ColinC

(10,952 posts)
32. Im not a conspiracy theorist but i do not believe 911 happened the way the government says
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:28 PM
Dec 1

I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I do not believe that aliens do not run our government.

reACTIONary

(6,157 posts)
39. Too many "nots" for me...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 08:24 PM
Dec 1

... to un-double-negate it. Do you believe aliens run our government or not?

ColinC

(10,952 posts)
43. I have not tied you in knots! But perhaps i have not not tied you in nots?
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 08:46 PM
Dec 1

Okay I'll stop... lol

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
60. I believe in a couple myself, such as the JFK conspiracy with LHO not acting alone
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:34 PM
Dec 3

But I'm not a conspiracy theorist either.

EdmondDantes_

(116 posts)
65. I'm not an x, almost inevitably is followed by x
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 03:11 PM
Dec 3

It's a weird thing that people do as if merely stating a thing makes it true.

reACTIONary

(6,157 posts)
35. I don't know about a recount, but PA...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 08:18 PM
Dec 1

... conducts "election security audits".

Counties are responsible for conducting the audits before the county certifies the results and sends them to the state. A few days ago, around five counties were still outstanding. Those that have submitted the results would have completed their audit.

The delays are mainly due to litigation and the expansion of mail in and provisional ballots. These factors actually improve participation and the integrity of the election.

Article: "Pennsylvania election certification not complete at deadline, but close"
Link: https://www.wesa.fm/politics-government/2024-11-27/pennsylvania-election-certification

ColinC

(10,952 posts)
41. I was wrong. There was not a recount...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 08:35 PM
Dec 1

I assumed the senate automatic recount went through, but I guess not...

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
61. Casey stopped it
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:36 PM
Dec 3

The recount was automatic, since it was under .5%. However, under PA law, the person who unofficially lost can waive the recount. Casey chose not to, so the recount started. Before the recount finished however, Casey conceded.

I'm guessing that since he had the power to waive the recount before it started, once he conceded the recount was canceled.

ColinC

(10,952 posts)
68. Yeah that seems to be the case. I think it is more than clear that Casey would have likely lost more votes in a recount
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 06:18 PM
Dec 3

And McCormicks lead would be extended. I'm just basing this on the fact it appears they counted a lot of undated ballots (which would likely be challenged and thrown out in a recount). And I assume undated ballots would favor Casey (although I don't have a lot to support that assumption with)

kentuck

(112,957 posts)
33. I think many Democrats may be a little quick in thinking that Trump would not and did not cheat...
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:28 PM
Dec 1

...in the last election.

It's in his DNA. Even if he could win fair and square, he would not do so. He prefers to cheat.

ColinC

(10,952 posts)
34. Oh he "cheated" alright. But all the ways he did were pretty much legal
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 06:49 PM
Dec 1

He bought the election almost entirely. Billions in targeted ads and paid canvassing, keeping media from endorsing candidates, election suppression in swing states, Bibis electioneering (stopping a ceasefire deal, stopping an immigration deal, etc) -stuff that would have been completely illegal decades ago is completely legal now: and he did it all im broad daylight. The election was close enough for this stuff to make a huge difference for him.

If we want to win, we need to run on a loud, clear economic populist message that galvanizes support among all groups and prevents any semblance of closeness. So far Dems simply don't seem too interested in that.

hamsterjill

(15,525 posts)
47. I am with Pavlovitz.
Sun Dec 1, 2024, 10:09 PM
Dec 1

Do I have any proof? No, but I'm not in a position that I would have proof. There are people who are in that position, and need to pursue this so that we are all satisfied.

My reason for feeling this way? Just my gut, and I will tell you - in 65 years, there haven't been very many times that my gut was wrong.

lees1975

(6,103 posts)
57. I'm right there with you.
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:11 PM
Dec 3

There are things about this election that just don't seem to add up.

Dem4life1234

(2,004 posts)
50. Why did he tell his voters they would not need to vote again?
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 12:49 PM
Dec 3

Look at the way he was acting, like a person with no home training, he knew the fix was in.

Fish700

(148 posts)
51. You're correct. You sound like a Conspiracy Theorist!
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 01:02 PM
Dec 3

I don't know anybody who voted for Trump! Am I right?

Bettie

(17,390 posts)
53. Doesn't matter
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 01:07 PM
Dec 3

apparently, elected Democrats are unable to even put up a pretense of fighting for our nation.

Not all....but more than I thought.

BUT, they are VERY quick to criticize anything that anyone on our side does!

Polybius

(18,368 posts)
62. Why?
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 02:50 PM
Dec 3

Not trying to stir up anything, but just looking for reasons. Polls really weren't far off.

phylny

(8,608 posts)
66. Yours is a good question.
Tue Dec 3, 2024, 05:05 PM
Dec 3

I believe it because Elon Musk was very smug before the election, because Trump wasn’t really trying hard to campaign in the last few weeks, there were so many Republicans who did not want to vote for Trump, Democrats in several states won Senate races where Trump won, and they cheat ALL THE TIME.

Response to Dennis Donovan (Original post)

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