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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe American Tourist Industry Is About To Fall Off A Cliff -- Digby
https://digbysblog.net/2025/03/16/the-american-tourist-industry-is-about-to-fall-off-a-cliff/For good reason

The Washington Post reports:
International travelers concerned about President Donald Trumps trade policies and bellicose rhetoric have been canceling trips to the United States, depriving the U.S. tourism industry of billions of dollars at a time when the economy has started to appear wobbly.
Canadians are skipping trips to Disney World and music festivals. Europeans are eschewing U.S. national parks, and Chinese travelers are vacationing in Australia instead.
International travel to the United States is expected to slide by 5 percent this year, contributing to a $64 billion shortfall for the travel industry, according to Tourism Economics. The research firm had originallyforecast a 9 percent increase in foreign travel, but revised its estimate late last monthto reflect polarizing Trump Administration policies and rhetoric.
Theres been a dramatic shift in our outlook, said Adam Sacks, president of Tourism Economics. Youre looking at a much weaker economic engine than what otherwise wouldve been, not just because of tariffs, but the rhetoric and condescending tone around it.
Its pretty clear that Trump and his cronies and henchmen are hostile to all foreigners and they are not welcome here unless they are Russian oligarchs or white South Africans (and no Im not just talking about Elon Musk.). Thats it. I cant blame anyone else for staying away. Why take the chance?
Dan
(4,972 posts)Aside from the Tourist industry suffering, I think that Americans buying only necessities will have an impact. As soon as Trump was put into Office Ive quit buying anything except what I need. Helps my saving too
.
Roxi
(2,196 posts)Bought some of Costcos emergency food bins and am stocking up on non-perishables.
I dont know whats going to happen, and Im not willing to let my kids starve if s#it really hits the fan.
Ritabert
(1,995 posts)I'm hunkering down at home this year.
calimary
(89,041 posts)Aside from chocolate, of course, but we're cutting back on that, too. Stay home and hunker down. Hey, maybe it'll help me drop a few pounds!
Ritabert
(1,995 posts)Sequoia
(12,718 posts)and coffee!
calimary
(89,041 posts)AND coffee as well. Especially in the morning. Used to keep me standing up straight when I worked the morning drive news shift.
yellowdogintexas
(23,595 posts)and my sisters in Kentucky. At least I am still able to make those drives by myself. I am going to be a bit fearful of flying for a while. Meanwhile, I will accumulate miles on my airline cards in other ways
I enjoy a road trip on my own; my 2019 Rogue has a CD player so I can still play my favorite road music, plus I have the correct system to play podcasts etc from my phone.
Of course, Mr YD may go along with me, which will be fun. We have friends in Kentucky he has not seen in a long time.
Ritabert
(1,995 posts)Roxi
(2,196 posts)I would not want to come here. Its too dangerous.
Wounded Bear
(63,837 posts)Im right there with you.
tanyev
(48,662 posts)But that was before Trump's EO's and, as Digby so accurately put it, "Trump won't shut his trap".
The forecast data is driven by Tourism Economics' travel forecasting model.
Looking ahead: For 2025, total U.S. Travel spending is projected to grow 3.9% to $1.35 trillion, with additional growth to $1.46 trillion (inflation-adjusted) by 2028.
Deeper Insights:
A mega-decade of events could drive record visitation to the U.S. The FIFA 2026 World Cup, Americas 250th Anniversary, the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles, the Mens and Womens Rugby World Cups in 2031 and 2033 and the 2034 Winter Games in Salt Lake City have the potential to bring more visits than ever. U.S. Travel forecasts 8.8% growth for inbound international visits in 2025 and 8.9% growth in 2026.
Growth in international visits to the United States remains an important factor in re-establishing travel as one of our most important exports, with more than $200 billion in international spending projected for 2025.
https://www.ustravel.org/research/travel-forecasts
erronis
(22,660 posts)I can't see regular people from other countries wanting to visit the US.
Most of our National Parks will be understaffed and possibly being converted to oil fields.
Walking in some of our iconic cities will come with the dangers of being whisked into a black van without reason.
Of course, if you are a wealthy billionaire from a country such as Saudi Arabia, you don't have to worry.
yellowdogintexas
(23,595 posts)For one thing, we have tons of oil already and there is plenty of domestic production. Also, it costs a LOT to prospect for and complete a new wellsite and when we have plenty, there will not be enough profit to bother. In addition, there are already many leases acquired by Big Oil which have not been touched and may never be.
There are a lot of production sites which had slowed down and were producing a much smaller amount of oil. Many of these are being reworked using the horizontal drilling techniques which allow the rig to hit the secondary pool. These could not have been tapped previously because there has to be a certain amount of distance between rigs.
Actually, I am more worried about the woods/forests in the National Forests and on National Park Lands. That to me is likely to occur much sooner than oil. Some of the last original forests are on those properties.
erronis
(22,660 posts)Even if tfg doesn't lease the land to the timber companies we could become like the Amazon with rogue operators coming in and doing clear-cutting. No Park Service staff to stop them.
wolfie001
(7,087 posts)They're so cluelessly happy to have the fat liar back in the WH. I can't imagine blowing ANY $ now. I need to start putting some away for my granddaughter's college.
mwmisses4289
(3,232 posts)of last year, while there was still sanity in the country?
wolfie001
(7,087 posts)I should've been more specific. My bad
SheltieLover
(76,806 posts)Too old, sadly.
wolfie001
(7,087 posts)Pretty sure Canadians will be boycotting tex-ASS and flori-DUH this year.
SheltieLover
(76,806 posts)Ritabert
(1,995 posts)wolfie001
(7,087 posts)Just being stopped by one of those state troopers. No thanks.
SheltieLover
(76,806 posts)Ritabert
(1,995 posts)After being on the flight from hell.
Ritabert
(1,995 posts)Initech
(107,433 posts)Skittles
(169,558 posts)that is the quandary these fucking fascist repukes have put us in
FUCK EVERYONE who voted for that POS, you DISGRACED America
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)She has a book tour scheduled there, happening now to the end of the month. She's told me she would have cancelled, but she decided her readers mattered, and so she's now there.
My Son The Astronomer is almost done with his PhD. He's beginning to look at astronomy jobs out there. I keep on telling him to get a job in another country. I'd like it if he'd go somewhere that Mom can move to, but that's not the important part.
MissB
(16,340 posts)My oldest got his PhD in engineering in August and has a job that is federal-adjacent. Funding is a mix of public and private so its probably ok for now.
But hes looked. He said that PhDs are in demand in New Zealand and if you get a job, the process to move there is like 2 months.
I think its totally worth looking at options, just in case.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)He is, no surprise here, on the spectrum, so he's not as good about these things -- realizing he needs to get a job overseas, stuff like that -- as I wish he were.
I, the proud mom, think he's brilliant, likely to win a Nobel Prize eventually, you all get this. I have told him that if he does win the Nobel Prize, and I'm still alive, I get to go to the awards ceremony. And whether or not I'm around, he needs to say at some point, "I owe this all to my wonderful mother."
LisaM
(29,491 posts)One is from Scotland, I was looking forward to seeing her, and she won't come. And she's not alone. A lot of people she knows have chosen not to come.
Demovictory9
(37,113 posts)For Canadians Visiting Myrtle Beach, Trump Policies Make the Vibe Chillier
Canadians have long flocked to the South Carolina beach town. This year, many are offended by the president and threatening to stay away.
Patricia Cape, 80, a retired pharmacy worker from Hamilton, Ontario, said her children had been trying to persuade her and her husband, Gary, to cut their vacation short for patriotic reasons. She was giving it some thought. I am very disappointed by President Trump, she said. Why would he want to alienate Canada? I love the United States.
Arthur and Kathy Jadischke, of Mississauga, Ontario, had already changed their plans and were heading home early. Mr. Jadischke, 82, said he did not know if he would return to Myrtle Beach. He compared Mr. Trump with Hitler and Vladimir Putin. If this stuff keeps happening, I cant see myself coming, he said. Because Id be ashamed.
Wayne Gray, a Myrtle Beach native and former city councilman, said that Can-Am Days were more crucial for the local economy a few decades ago, when the influx of Canadians between January and April gave a boost to local businesses before the big crush of American visitors between Memorial Day and Labor Day.
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PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)I had hoped to attend this year and signed up with them. I would LOVE to go, but that probably won't happen. Sigh.
However, you could PM me about other cons and various science fiction things, if you'd like
alwaysinasnit
(5,549 posts)US. I am making this suggestion because re-entry to the US has now become riskier. If you meet up with a Customs agent who decides they have a problem with you, you may find yourself being detained for spurious reasons.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)While I understand why people want to visit family and friends in their other country, I have long thought that wasn't always a good idea.
William769
(59,147 posts)CaptainTruth
(8,048 posts)defacto7
(14,160 posts)Demobrat
(10,263 posts)and Im a white American. It was bad enough coming back in after 9/11. I saw things I wished I hadnt, and was powerless to do anything about. Not putting myself through that again.
Anyway, Americans are not popular right now. Better to stay home in my tourist dependent neighborhood and spend my money locally. Since the tourists wont be coming this year.
SunSeeker
(57,560 posts)Pas-de-Calais
(10,252 posts)stollen
(1,044 posts)to wake so many American cretins the hell up. We'll see.
IbogaProject
(5,619 posts)The bellweather will be advance bookings. Trips already paid for may well happen. I suspect (almost hope) is that new bookings decline drastically. But some vacation travel is to shop as our sales tax is much lower than the typical VAT and retail prices are lower than lots of Europe, so that demand will remain.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)travel plans. In my specific case, I'm wanting to do a cross country trip on Amtrak, from New Mexico to Chicago, then on to Seattle, and after that to Los Angeles, and on the final leg, back to New Mexico.
I've taken Amtrak in the past and I absolutely love it.
For me, it will happen.
ShazamIam
(3,037 posts)and loss of business for being American corporations. It is hurting all of us but it was their money and support that got him re-elected. They lost what was once a respectful reputation on the global commerce stage and are now the piranhas of global commerce.
Now they can look forward to the Trump rescissionm they bought.
DBoon
(24,739 posts)Whether from outsiders visiting the dictatorship, or their subjects traveling to other countries.
There is a reason North Korea is called the hermit kingdom.
patphil
(8,731 posts)And, I've been to Canada several times myself as a tourist.
Tourism is a major industry all along the Canadian/US border. All that's in jeopardy now.
When you look along the length of the border, you're looking at a multi-billion dollar industry that may just crash this summer.
Not to mention the fact that Canadian tourists travel all the way down to the Gulf Coast in winter time.
The collapse of the tourist industry is just one aspect of the incredible shit storm the Trump administration is inflicting on both countries.
But what do Trump and Musk care? They're going to get all the money and power they could ever want.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,454 posts)I grew up north of Utica, and relatives rented a place in Lake George. We visited them there. Wonderful experience.
patphil
(8,731 posts)A simple pleasure that left me with so many fond memories.
erronis
(22,660 posts)This is a pretty darn red area of NY, too.
SeattleVet
(5,832 posts)Spent 4 days in Central Vancouver Island a few weeks ago. Planning at least 2 trips to Victoria, and maybe one to either Whistler or Sun Peaks.
(On our last trip when Canada Customs/Immigration asked what the purpose of our visit was I told him, "To tour around Nanaimo and spend money in Canada." He waved us right through. We got through the border headed north in under 5 minutes. Coming back - it was exactly 2.5 HOURS in the backup to the border from 1km away, but only about 2 minutes when we finally got to the checkpoint.)
erronis
(22,660 posts)A priest(!) in a Nanaimo bookstore recommended it to me as a way of understanding that part of the country. Outstanding!!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Curve_of_Time
electric_blue68
(25,928 posts)IronLionZion
(50,819 posts)and why isn't the tourism industry pushing back against this idiotic behavior? Our economy is losing money in many areas and we're heading for recession fast.
Meowmee
(9,212 posts)PufPuf23
(9,708 posts)A drop of only 5% is magical thinking.
Johnny LaRue
(4 posts)American brands demand/status/sales will also drop globally .this is blind spot of those that think making Canada and others trade enemies is a good idea
LetMyPeopleVote
(174,961 posts)Hotler
(13,735 posts)Show some personal responsibility.
FirefighterJo
(442 posts)I for one would rather visit hell itself then dare to book a holiday in the US. Which is a pity as I used to live there for a while.
woodsprite
(12,541 posts)Something we do every 3 to 5 yrs. We've been paying on that for the past 2 years. Not sure how it's going to work out, but I told the family that this is probably the last big family vacation we're taking for awhile. We were looking forward to doing a cruise together the next time, but that next time might not be until we get rid of a lot of these 'royal commands' and the asshole-in-chief. With the exception of my MIL & SIL (both FL MAGAts), we all live within a 25min drive of each other.
Sky Jewels
(9,148 posts)of the USA. Good job, geniuses!
kimbutgar
(26,804 posts)And the cruise industry will be taking a big hit. A lot of international travelers come to Florida for cruises and Disneyworld. And if youre a senior who gets social security and have savings would you chance going on an international vacation?
Cha
(316,772 posts)it be any different Visiting here?
erronis
(22,660 posts)It's a long flight from the west coast. But taking a cruise is even longer (and more expensive.)
Enjoy your tourist-free life there, Cha!
(One of my ex's used to be a mucky-muck with American Hawaiian Cruises so I had a chance to spend some good time there. Unfortunately my northern European skin is now paying me back....)
Cha
(316,772 posts)from here to visit his dad.. who btw is a "fox screws Truther". Wonder how brainwashed he still is?
I hope Hawaii doesn't lose our Visitors.. it would be devasting. for all of us.
We sure have a lot for Spring Break.
stollen
(1,044 posts)were packed today. People were bagging rays, lots of impromptu singing in the Montmarte Square. Pepple drinking at outdoor tables. Spring and summer will be huge money makers in France.
erronis
(22,660 posts)The joie-de-vivre is of the essence. Enjoy life while we can.
calimary
(89,041 posts)I'm NOT a tourist from another country, but I feel this shame rather intensely. If this is allowed to continue and we DON'T fight it and fight it HARD, it'll be no one's fault but ours if the economy suffers noticeably, and things start falling apart.
This:
Youre looking at a much weaker economic engine than what otherwise wouldve been, not just because of tariffs, but the rhetoric and condescending tone around it.
The BAD GUYS (ie: trump and friends) are hellbent on tearing it all down. WE have to do everything we can think of to make sure they can't.