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HereForTheParty

(915 posts)
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 07:52 AM Mar 2025

"For the first time in the poll's history, congressional Democrats are now underwater with their own voters"

In 2023 Democrats in Congress were +54 with Democrats. Now, two years later, they are -9.

Waiting for the Schumer debacle to blow over and playing business-as-usual isn't flying with the base, nor should it.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/03/21/polling-data-democrats-primaries-grassroots-tea-party-00241769

35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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"For the first time in the poll's history, congressional Democrats are now underwater with their own voters" (Original Post) HereForTheParty Mar 2025 OP
And then there is the "The party needs less Bernies and more Schumers" crowd LiberalArkie Mar 2025 #1
Indeed. It is like talking to a wall for some to see how we got here. Passages Mar 2025 #2
... lapucelle Mar 2025 #8
perhaps because... mike_c Mar 2025 #26
What are you talking about? It was the voters who "kept Bernie out of the presidency", not the Democratic Party. lapucelle Mar 2025 #33
They should be, we have Hitler 2.0 and our leadership is stuck in the doc03 Mar 2025 #3
Really stuck in the 60's with the emerging liberalism that the nation gung ho for until it wasn't LiberalArkie Mar 2025 #4
I am done here for the time being. Democrats are so good at attacking their own and fighting among themselves. Going JohnSJ Mar 2025 #5
Imagine running around on a national tour lapucelle Mar 2025 #11
Bernie Sanders said the left should run as third party...oh yeah that would help not! Demsrule86 Mar 2025 #16
I know. There are folks who refuse to believe that he said it on the record to the NYT. lapucelle Mar 2025 #18
What are the numbers for their own members ? JI7 Mar 2025 #6
Usually low? Think. Again. Mar 2025 #10
The author of the opinion piece conflated three different polls lapucelle Mar 2025 #17
Did you read the story you linked to or the Gallup poll it cited? "45% wanted the Party to become more moderate". lapucelle Mar 2025 #7
Yes, a minority want the Dem Party moving further toward the right. Think. Again. Mar 2025 #9
Sorry, assertions predicated on faulty reasoning don't work on me. lapucelle Mar 2025 #13
As you (should) know... Think. Again. Mar 2025 #19
Ah yes, the fallacy of false alternative used in support of the fallacy of equivocation. lapucelle Mar 2025 #27
Wut? Think. Again. Mar 2025 #28
Rupert Murdoch and Vladimir Putin playing TRUMP 24/7/366 full blast. Kid Berwyn Mar 2025 #12
I am not happy with Schumer and the others...including Fetterman Demsrule86 Mar 2025 #14
Why do you say it's "them" or more republicans? Think. Again. Mar 2025 #20
By "other, more trustworthy (!) Democrats" lapucelle Mar 2025 #22
As I said, I'm saying "more trustworthy Democrats". Think. Again. Mar 2025 #23
Schumer's vote ensured that the federal courts and the Social Security Administration remain open. lapucelle Mar 2025 #21
Federal Judges are kept on during shut downs. Think. Again. Mar 2025 #24
Only for "mission critical, i.e. criminal cases. lapucelle Mar 2025 #25
I don't think it matters really Johonny Mar 2025 #15
Well said IrishBubbaLiberal Mar 2025 #31
A clear pluariaty want the Party to become more moderate Kaleva Mar 2025 #29
Find that extremely doubtful IrishBubbaLiberal Mar 2025 #32
Then this overall poll is doubtful. Kaleva Mar 2025 #34
Exactly IrishBubbaLiberal Mar 2025 #35
"I am not a member of any organized political party." elocs Mar 2025 #30

Passages

(3,986 posts)
2. Indeed. It is like talking to a wall for some to see how we got here.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 07:57 AM
Mar 2025

The path out is rather obvious and has been for quite a while.

lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
8. ...
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:29 AM
Mar 2025

One of the aspects of this tour is to try to rally people to get engaged in the political process and run as independents outside of the Democratic Party,” Mr. Sanders said in the interview on Wednesday.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/20/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democrats-independents.html

mike_c

(36,902 posts)
26. perhaps because...
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 02:22 PM
Mar 2025

...the democratic party has cut off its nose to spite Bernie? Even now I suspect there are dems who think Trump and the death of democracy are a fair price to pay for keeping Bernie out of the presidency. This thread is full of their rationalizations. "He's not a real democrat!" Neither is TSF.

lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
33. What are you talking about? It was the voters who "kept Bernie out of the presidency", not the Democratic Party.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 02:41 PM
Mar 2025

It sounds as if you're saying that Senator Sanders is so embittered by his losses that he's telling folks to abandon the Democratic Party. Do you have evidence for that claim?

Why on earth would anyone here say that there are Democrats who think "the death of democracy" is a fair price to pay" for anything whatsoever?

doc03

(38,823 posts)
3. They should be, we have Hitler 2.0 and our leadership is stuck in the
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 07:58 AM
Mar 2025

1980s. Sorry Jeffries may be a good man, but he has no communications skills or charisma. Chuck is
in the last century.

LiberalArkie

(19,296 posts)
4. Really stuck in the 60's with the emerging liberalism that the nation gung ho for until it wasn't
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 08:17 AM
Mar 2025
 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
5. I am done here for the time being. Democrats are so good at attacking their own and fighting among themselves. Going
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:03 AM
Mar 2025

around the country preaching to the choir or attacking other Democrats. Too many people want to "burn it all down". Well, that is what gave us 2000, 2016, and 2024, along with citizens united, and a Supreme Court with an extremist agenda for at least the next decade.

Elections have consequences, and perhaps it is time to pay the piper, and pay for the consequences of our collective actions.





lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
11. Imagine running around on a national tour
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:40 AM
Mar 2025

Last edited Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:15 AM - Edit history (1)

saying things like

"We need a Democratic Party that will fight"

instead of

"We are the Democratic Party, and we are fighting"


Imagine giving an interview to the New York Times and admitting on the record

"One of the aspects of this tour is to try to rally people to get engaged in the political process and run as independents outside of the Democratic Party,


No wonder there are politicians offering a joke-y apologies to Democrats who they badmouthed just a few years ago. They need to be more self-aware.


lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
18. I know. There are folks who refuse to believe that he said it on the record to the NYT.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:42 AM
Mar 2025

One of the aspects of this tour is to try to rally people to get engaged in the political process and run as independents outside of the Democratic Party,” Mr. Sanders said in the interview on Wednesday.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/20/us/politics/bernie-sanders-democrats-independents.html

JI7

(93,203 posts)
6. What are the numbers for their own members ?
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:18 AM
Mar 2025

Ratings for Congress as a whole are usually low but when asked about their own member it's much higher.

 

Think. Again.

(22,456 posts)
10. Usually low?
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:39 AM
Mar 2025

The excerpt above says:

In 2023 Democrats in Congress were +54 with Democrats. Now, two years later, they are -9.

lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
17. The author of the opinion piece conflated three different polls
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:40 AM
Mar 2025

(two of which didn't even ask the "approval" question) and devised the chart. Apparently the author thought that no one would read the fine print or research the actual polling dates and questions.

All of the data he sources comes from February polling. It has nothing to do with Chuck Schumer voting to keep the federal courts and the Social Security Administration open rather than closing them as an act of "resistance".

It turns out that the author owns the data company that devised the chart. No wonder he's flogging it.

=========================================

Interestingly, the author of the opinion piece does link to a Gallup poll (from February as well) that asked Democrats this question:

Partisans' Preferences for the Ideological Direction of Their Parties

If you had to choose, would you rather see the Democratic Party become more liberal, stay the same or become more moderate?



https://news.gallup.com/poll/656636/democrats-favor-party-moderation-past.aspx





lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
7. Did you read the story you linked to or the Gallup poll it cited? "45% wanted the Party to become more moderate".
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:25 AM
Mar 2025

The "data scientist" who wrote this opinion piece does not link to the February 2025 poll that he inexplicably cites under the screen shot of a chart that his own company (Split Ticket) devised as "net approval" based on the results of three different polls, two of which did not actually ask a "do you approve of your party" question.

Did anyone bother to go to the primary sources (i.e. the polls themselves and the author's company's website) to see whether the data were massaged or manipulated?

Unfortunately, there are politicians running around blaming Republicans and Democrats equally for Trump's abuses, working hard to convince voters that there is no difference between the two parties, and even encouraging potential candidates to run against Democrats as independents.

There are even politicians offering joke-y apologies to the Democrats they badmouthed a few years ago, finally admitting how very wrong they were now that's too late and the damage has been done.

Why on earth are politicians on tours saying things like "We need a Democratic Party that will fight". In what way does that help the Democratic Party? Who benefits from that kind messaging? Why aren't they saying things like "We are the Democratic Party and we are fighting"?

And of course the MSM is running with the "Democrats badmouthing Democrats" narrative. It's great for ratings.

Meanwhile, because the government was not shut down, the federal courts are still operating, the vast majority of federal workers have not been furloughed (with the remainder working without pay), and Social Security Administration continues to cut checks and process applications.

Yes, it may have been disappointing to be deprived of a moment to pump one's fist in the air and yell, "Resist!", but luckily cooler heads prevailed because there was no viable exit strategy for a hot-headed move.

And now, nothing that the Trump administration is doing can be blamed on "Democrats shutting down the government".



lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
13. Sorry, assertions predicated on faulty reasoning don't work on me.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:07 AM
Mar 2025


====================================

Pro tip: Conflating " more moderate" with "further to the right" demonstrates the type of flawed reasoning common and egregious enough to actually have a name in both formal and informal logic. It's a trifecta error in reasoning: it even has a Latin name.










 

Think. Again.

(22,456 posts)
19. As you (should) know...
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:48 AM
Mar 2025

...moving something from the left to the center moves it toward the right.

Luckily, more Democrats (and Americans in general) are leaning more toward liberal views than conservative, according this 2024 Gallup poll...

Democrats have become significantly more liberal since 1999: Gallup

BY MIRANDA NAZZARO - 06/10/24 10:31 AM ET

Source: https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4713508-democrats-liberal-identification-social-economic-issues-gallup/

Democrats have become much more likely to lean liberal in their social views over the past 25 years, according to a new Gallup analysis.

An analysis of a May Gallup survey found liberal identification has gradually increased since 1999, while conservative and moderate identification have each decreased slightly over the years.

When Gallup began asking Americans about their ideologies in 1999, survey participants were more likely to identify as socially conservative than liberal, researchers noted. From 1999 to 2008, a third or more of Americans each identified as conservative or moderate on social issues, while roughly a quarter said they were socially liberal.

In the latest survey, Gallup found Americans are now nearly equally likely to hold socially conservative, moderate or liberal views, with 32 percent each choosing the former two options and 33 percent choosing liberal.

-snip-




lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
27. Ah yes, the fallacy of false alternative used in support of the fallacy of equivocation.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 02:23 PM
Mar 2025


==================

As for the "Quick,! Look over here!" ploy, that doesn't work either.

It's hard to take someone seriously when they support flawed reasoning with flawed reasoning and think that the long term analysis of 25 years of polling data is the same thing as a poll.









Kid Berwyn

(22,931 posts)
12. Rupert Murdoch and Vladimir Putin playing TRUMP 24/7/366 full blast.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 09:59 AM
Mar 2025

Vs Democrats hold a press conference opposing their latest outrage America’s press corpse fails to cover.

Meanwhile most people don’t know or care because they are too busy finding a way to pay for rent, food and toilet paper.

Demsrule86

(71,492 posts)
14. I am not happy with Schumer and the others...including Fetterman
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:25 AM
Mar 2025

But, I would walk across broken glass to vote for them in the General...it is them or more Republicans. I don't think our Republic can survive if we don't take back the House at least at the midterm and maybe maybe we get the Senate. This is the most dangerous regime in our history. It is sort of like the 90's only much worse when everything had gone ultra-right for 12 years. Clinton ran as a centrist and stopped Bush I. It would have been 16 years of the GOP holding the presidency if Bush had won.

We won't last long a a country if we don't stop Trump and his merry band of Fascist scum....so I will vote for any any Democrat in the General=it is our only play I do hope we can primary some of the traitorous Democrats who voted with the GOP and helped pass the continuing resolution. But the bottom line is we have to stop the bleeding by electing as many Democrat as we can in the General. We can do nothing if we remain in the minority. Dividing the Party will only help Republicans. And a new party takes years to launch...we don't have years.

 

Think. Again.

(22,456 posts)
20. Why do you say it's "them" or more republicans?
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:53 AM
Mar 2025

Why can't it be other, more trustworthy Democrats?

lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
22. By "other, more trustworthy (!) Democrats"
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 11:06 AM
Mar 2025

do you mean Democrats who are not on tour saying

"We need a Democratic Party that will fight"

instead of

"We are the Democratic Party, and we are fighting"


or giving interviews to the NYT saying

“One of the aspects of this tour is to try to rally people to get engaged in the political process and run as independents outside of the Democratic Party”








lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
21. Schumer's vote ensured that the federal courts and the Social Security Administration remain open.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:55 AM
Mar 2025

Any shutdowns, slowdowns, or stoppages of services are solely and completely Trump's fault.

During the last shut down in a Trump administration, he closed the immigration courts.

Because those courts are open, Mahmoud Kahlil had a hearing this week, and federal judges are demanding answers on when and why the Trump administration disappeared people to El Salvador and reinstating fired federal workers to their jobs.

lapucelle

(20,947 posts)
25. Only for "mission critical, i.e. criminal cases.
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 12:55 PM
Mar 2025

And the federal courts postponed cases that the DOJ was party to.



Johonny

(25,435 posts)
15. I don't think it matters really
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 10:32 AM
Mar 2025

Democrats are engaged and understand the country is going to shit. Trump is in the glorious fucking around phase. But the find out is coming. There is no way the consequences of all the bad decisions are going to bear fruit.

And Democratic leaders really are powerless to do much. But I think their base is going to be very, very motivated in 2026. The 2026 primary and general is going to be interesting.

I would be shocked right now if any democratic voter answered a poll saying they're satisfied. Sure they hate Trump, but the general anger at the whole corrupt system is obvious.

Kaleva

(40,167 posts)
29. A clear pluariaty want the Party to become more moderate
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 02:29 PM
Mar 2025

The smallest group wants the Party to become more liberal

 

IrishBubbaLiberal

(2,561 posts)
32. Find that extremely doubtful
Sat Mar 22, 2025, 02:39 PM
Mar 2025

Lots of polls are relatively useless push polls,

BUT When the exact topic or govt issue is asked, guess what?
Voters AGREE with the progressives!

Far too long the idiot monied interests have skewed
BOTH political parties to the right.

When voters are asked specifically on most issues
It definitely shows a LIBERAL PROGRESSIVE slant.

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