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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsApril 5 in perspective. The People will speak. From that point there are multiple branches
(I was asked to make this an OP. When I wrote "The People will speak" I am referring to April 5 as a beginning, a necessary step, but not the "from that point" point and not the end of the People speaking. The "from that point" comes later.)
The branches assume massive economic losses and pressure motivate millions to get into the streets at the same time as the oligarchy is wavering and the Republiconners in Congress are panicking.
It is said by some that 3.5 percent is all it takes to run a successful popular revolution. I think they point to the American one, you know when tRump patriots defended the airports against the redcoats, and others that I forget. But it seems reasonable if we consider that 3.5 percent of the US population is over ten million people.
The marches April 5 are great but there will need to be a series over time, ever-increasing. The early ones are necessary to train organizers and get people used to the idea.
Imagine if two weekends in succession ten million people march all over the country.
Imagine if ten million people buy only the absolute minimum to get by: healthy food, medications, rent/mortgage, utilities. Keep that up for the third quarter 2025, the summer of reclaiming democracy when millions of people are in the streets, and that makes a noticeable dent in the economy. That will be on top of many more people delaying major purchases to manage inflation at the same time as layoffs are happening from tariff taxes, contraction in trade which means layoffs from export jobs, severe government spending cuts rippling through the economy, huge government layoffs.
The people will speak. Timing indeterminate. The tipping point where enough key people have noticed enough destruction to take enough action can't be known till after the fact and maybe after historical analysis.
Then there can be several branches.
1) Twelve Republicon Senators go to the White House as articles of impeachment enter committee.
2) Vance sees his moment and convinces half the cabinet to 25A the dementia patient.
3) The stock market being down deep into bear territory and the economy in depression, tRump panics and decides to try to salvage his legacy by reversing course, reversing all the tariffs and putting in huge spending stimulation.
4) Republicans panic about 2026 or 2028 and Read the Riot Act to tRump. They tell him, either he completely reverses course or they will vote veto proof legislation with Democrats to do it themselves.
5) Trump reacts by bringing in a harsh Clampdown and invokes the military, which after much false starting and internal turmoil refuse to massacre civilians.This leads to one or the other of the first four options. This is the most risky one of all because it could go the other way resulting in lots of blood shed.
6) Persistence, sustained, and multitudinous court actions rise and the Supreme Court finds itself needing to maintain the judicial branch independence and face a series of cases they admit and rule 5-4, 6-3, and 7-2 against tRump, which neuters him and strips away powers like levying tariff taxes. I am a little cynical about the Court and recognize that this might be too little too late or not at all. But I do think if it comes to it, during a time when the wannabeking's destruction is plain for all to see and blame him for, they will also think of their reputations, their legacy, and their love of the rule of law. This option is also risky because it depends on some people doing the right thing at the right time and there might not be the right mix of critical cases to finally block tRump. I am not as cynical as many are about the Court, despite the mistakes they made with Citizens United and the limited immunity ruling, but I am not confident in them. It remains a possibility.
7) My imagination is limited, there are other ways.
Things which would make the branches less likely or less possible are violence and massive property damage. Organizers will have to ride herd on outbreaks by mounting large scale self-monitoring by the crowd, training on how to isolate provocateurs and detain them, and ubiquitous video making of all activity around all parts of crowds. I would suggest never go into the streets at night.
I don't know what will happen but I'm sure that at this point it will take massive public action and massive economic action and other forms of mass action to turn it around.
But it can be done and the doomers should just shut the fuck up, get out of the fucking way, and let the fucking people get the fucking job done.
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April 5 in perspective. The People will speak. From that point there are multiple branches (Original Post)
Bernardo de La Paz
Friday
OP
erronis
(18,768 posts)1. Great post. I hope many will read and rec and participate.