Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Pluvious

(5,245 posts)
Fri May 16, 2025, 11:07 AM May 2025

Corrected - was: The FED bought $43.8 billion in U.S. treasuries this week...

Last edited Sat May 17, 2025, 10:54 AM - Edit history (1)

I took a harder look at this "report," and concluded it was misleading at best, and exploitive and manipulative at worst.

The recent auction activities of the FED have to attributed to roll-overs, as per their official position on such actions:
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_250319

This is what I love about DU, so many keen and patient minds here, sharing and helping each other

Sorry for the confusion friends.


Original post:
--
"The buyer of last resort" has just acted, again.

Why ?

Foreign holdings (aka loans to us) of our debt is the lowest since the 90's

Domestic demand is down

Gold is at all time highs

Even bitcoin has been over $100,000 for a week now
( and Blackrock has been accumulating it non stop all month )

This is not going well

#MAGA !

Ref: https://deepnewz.com/economics/u-s-fed-buys-8-8-billion-30-year-bonds-totaling-43-6-billion-this-week-amid-qe-0ddb91b3

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

Pluvious

(5,245 posts)
16. When the government spends more money than it collects in taxes...
Sat May 17, 2025, 12:06 PM
May 2025

It borrows the difference from anyone who will loan it to them

This is chiefly done by selling bonds (aka treasury notes)

Right now, the biggest foreign holder is Japan

In the past, the Federal Reserve has stepped in to buy them when others have failed to buy up all that is offered

The total treasuries held by Fed range from sub 1 trillion in 2004, to peak of 5.7 trillion in june 2022 - been going down ever since (chart goes to 14MAY2025)
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TREAST

(The auction Gregory is talking about is likely roll-overs, with no impact (up or down) on total held treasury assets, so it looks like his claim the Fed started buying again is in error)

Bernardo de La Paz

(60,320 posts)
2. I think you are drawing an erroneous alarmist conclusion and you don't indicate your reasoning
Fri May 16, 2025, 11:26 AM
May 2025

1) These auctions are held regularly.

2) The previous auction got an interest rate of 4.225 %.

3) This auction got an interest rate of 4.22 %.

Everything seems to indicate that there was nothing unusual about this auction. The rate changed much less than say the 5 year has changed in the last week: 4.178 % to 4.023 %.

On what are you basing your alarmist conclusion?

A HERETIC I AM

(24,846 posts)
4. Hey Bernardo, which bond were you lookiing at?
Fri May 16, 2025, 11:43 AM
May 2025

I'm just curious. It looks like you are referencing the 4 week paper that was sold yesterday. Am I right?

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/announcements-data-results/

Pluvious

(5,245 posts)
9. Thank you, friend
Sat May 17, 2025, 10:52 AM
May 2025

I took a harder look at this "report," and concluded it was misleading at best, and exploitive and manipulative at worst.

The recent auction activities of the FED have to attributed to roll-overs, as per their official position on such actions:
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_250319

This is what I love about DU, so many keen and patient minds here, sharing and helping each other

Dreamer Tatum

(10,985 posts)
3. You might consult some data and do some reading before you post misleading stuff
Fri May 16, 2025, 11:29 AM
May 2025
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TREAST

The above shows that the Fed's holdings of Treasury securities is and has been on a rapid decline for three years.

roamer65

(37,817 posts)
5. As some Treasuries come due, they roll them over.
Fri May 16, 2025, 12:16 PM
May 2025

The Fed has all but stopped the shrinking of their balance sheet.

Don’t worry. Massive QE is not far off on the long end to institute yield curve control.

Bernardo de La Paz

(60,320 posts)
7. Your source "DEEPNEWZ" is so bogus it doesn't even get noticed by the media bias accuracy rating sites
Fri May 16, 2025, 12:24 PM
May 2025

I really think you should choose a real site.

Especially since you are about to post your post # 5,000 next post.

Pluvious

(5,245 posts)
12. And thank you again...
Sat May 17, 2025, 10:58 AM
May 2025

... for pointing out my approaching milestone post

I would have totally missed that if not for your kind comment

Cheers

DFW

(59,747 posts)
8. Gold in the last few weeks has DROPPED a couple HUNDRED dollars an ounce
Fri May 16, 2025, 12:28 PM
May 2025

From a dizzying $3450 about a month ago to under $3200 today (close to nudging $3200 again). That is a huge drop (what goes up, ‘tis said) in such a short time.

If it were all so simple…..

roamer65

(37,817 posts)
15. Gold usually goes on a big bull run just before and leading into a recession.
Sat May 17, 2025, 11:50 AM
May 2025

Has done it in the past. With it dropping now, I expect the recession will become a lot more obvious as it picks up steam.

Next month, Switzerland will again arrive at ZIRP and I expect another ECB cut soon. With the upward trend of the Euro against the dollar, they can cut further like the SNB.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Corrected - was: The FED ...