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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCorrected - was: The FED bought $43.8 billion in U.S. treasuries this week...
Last edited Sat May 17, 2025, 10:54 AM - Edit history (1)
I took a harder look at this "report," and concluded it was misleading at best, and exploitive and manipulative at worst.
The recent auction activities of the FED have to attributed to roll-overs, as per their official position on such actions:
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_250319
This is what I love about DU, so many keen and patient minds here, sharing and helping each other
Sorry for the confusion friends.
Original post:
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"The buyer of last resort" has just acted, again.
Why ?
Foreign holdings (aka loans to us) of our debt is the lowest since the 90's
Domestic demand is down
Gold is at all time highs
Even bitcoin has been over $100,000 for a week now
( and Blackrock has been accumulating it non stop all month )
This is not going well
#MAGA !
Ref: https://deepnewz.com/economics/u-s-fed-buys-8-8-billion-30-year-bonds-totaling-43-6-billion-this-week-amid-qe-0ddb91b3
1WorldHope
(1,862 posts)Pluvious
(5,245 posts)It borrows the difference from anyone who will loan it to them
This is chiefly done by selling bonds (aka treasury notes)
Right now, the biggest foreign holder is Japan
In the past, the Federal Reserve has stepped in to buy them when others have failed to buy up all that is offered
The total treasuries held by Fed range from sub 1 trillion in 2004, to peak of 5.7 trillion in june 2022 - been going down ever since (chart goes to 14MAY2025)
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TREAST
(The auction Gregory is talking about is likely roll-overs, with no impact (up or down) on total held treasury assets, so it looks like his claim the Fed started buying again is in error)
Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)1) These auctions are held regularly.
2) The previous auction got an interest rate of 4.225 %.
3) This auction got an interest rate of 4.22 %.
Everything seems to indicate that there was nothing unusual about this auction. The rate changed much less than say the 5 year has changed in the last week: 4.178 % to 4.023 %.
On what are you basing your alarmist conclusion?
A HERETIC I AM
(24,846 posts)I'm just curious. It looks like you are referencing the 4 week paper that was sold yesterday. Am I right?
https://www.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/announcements-data-results/
Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)Pluvious
(5,245 posts)I took a harder look at this "report," and concluded it was misleading at best, and exploitive and manipulative at worst.
The recent auction activities of the FED have to attributed to roll-overs, as per their official position on such actions:
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/opolicy/operating_policy_250319
This is what I love about DU, so many keen and patient minds here, sharing and helping each other
Dreamer Tatum
(10,985 posts)The above shows that the Fed's holdings of Treasury securities is and has been on a rapid decline for three years.
Pluvious
(5,245 posts)roamer65
(37,817 posts)The Fed has all but stopped the shrinking of their balance sheet.
Dont worry. Massive QE is not far off on the long end to institute yield curve control.
Pluvious
(5,245 posts)Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)I really think you should choose a real site.
Especially since you are about to post your post # 5,000 next post.
Pluvious
(5,245 posts)... for pointing out my approaching milestone post
I would have totally missed that if not for your kind comment
Cheers
Bernardo de La Paz
(60,320 posts)DFW
(59,747 posts)From a dizzying $3450 about a month ago to under $3200 today (close to nudging $3200 again). That is a huge drop (what goes up, tis said) in such a short time.
If it were all so simple
..
roamer65
(37,817 posts)Has done it in the past. With it dropping now, I expect the recession will become a lot more obvious as it picks up steam.
Next month, Switzerland will again arrive at ZIRP and I expect another ECB cut soon. With the upward trend of the Euro against the dollar, they can cut further like the SNB.