She's doing better than I thought she would.

Green won it by 20%

Im almost ready to call it TBH

Helluva drug

Thats worth ..but if its less than 10% Michael Steele says its a wrap on the midterms...it might be much closer than that

She just crashed to 1-2% after briefling climbing to over 20% odds.

if its less than 10% Michael Steele says its a wrap on the midterms

That (along with a silly hit piece on his wife this morning) were what dashed my hopes. Losing by single digits would be arguably a good sign nationally... but moving the goalposts like that was a sign that we knew we wouldn't win

Counties

It looks like Rep. Behn will perform extremely well, but it does not look like she is on track to win outright.

Still a big if.

The other posts say the trends make a win possible.

It isn't a lock. Lots of variables.

Stealing / losing / not counting votes is a time honored GOP tradition. Use the GOP "stolen election" meme and demand a recount..

weren't enough......Democrats winning (or even getting close) in this district should be a five alarm fire for Republicans.

Unless she ends up simply losing the remaining votes in Nashville...

Closer to 49 for Behn and 51 for Van Epps.

Which given the current results, he would need more than that to win. And the estimation is quickly favoring towards Behn.

Thats probably closer to 65% or so.

Van Epps is even more behind Green in his margins in those deep red counties than when the counting started.

2 of 14 counties in.

It’s a dead heat!

R- 45,764
D- 45,287

Returns live:
https://elections.tn.gov/categories/us-house/offices

Davidson County.... only 55% in.

I'm certainly not calling you out... but I'd like to see Davidison totals.

Projected to lose by six.

The early votes and same day votes were like night and day

Winning by a quarter of a percent in a district that Dumpster Fire won by over 20 points and that is so reliably red that they don't really have to campaign??? That is gonna rattle cages in red circles. There WILL be fallout from this one. If they didn't believe the results in the other elections, no matter how much they deny it publicly, this scares the hell out of them. It isn't a shot across the bow warning, it is a direct hit scoring serious damage. It didn't sink their battleship, but the motherfuckers FELT this one big time!!!!

I was just hoping she could keep it between 5-10 to show that anything below R+12-15 might be in play. Honestly these numbers even in defeat would be fantastic

And had almost the same overperformance.


I think if she raised at least another couple mil she wouldve won. She had a good message that was drowned out by the GOP superpac cash cows.

NYT’s 78% of votes in….Van Epps 52%…… Behn. 46%. Shy’s NOT gonna win this election. But DAMN, SHE DID HER BEST IN AGAWD DAMN RED AREA.

shame on them

This state cares more about funneling money into the pockets of crooks who will strip their healthcare, ruin their environment, and keep them in poverty.
At least they are “owning the libs…”

Which is a 14% overperformance?

Rs are on track to turn as many of their red state districts into R+10-15%.

Midterms will be fun.

and overperformed. The message is, the democratic party needs to run left nationwide.

Democrats need to take note.