General Discussion

Renew Deal

(85,262 posts) Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:27 PM Mar 4

How likely is it that Vance will be the republican nominee in 2028?

Assuming everything is "normal" about the cycle. Assume that the election will not be "cancelled" or Trump runs again.

24 votes, 0 passes \| Time left: Unlimited
	Definitely, it's happening 100%
	0 (0%)
	Very likely
	3 (13%)
	Somewhat likely
	3 (13%)
	Somewhat unlikely
	10 (42%)
	Very unlikely
	7 (29%)
	Definitely not happening 0%
	1 (4%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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8 replies

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Highlight:

How likely is it that Vance will be the republican nominee in 2028? (Original Post) Renew Deal Mar 4 OP

More likely Ayatollah Rubio leftstreet Mar 4 #1

I don't see how Rubio can win a Primary JI7 Mar 4 #5

I think they suspect they've lost that vote leftstreet Mar 4 #8

From what I can tell, even many/most MAGA see through him. His insincerity oozes hlthe2b Mar 4 #2

Look for an influencer Johonny Mar 4 #3

Answering myself Renew Deal Mar 4 #4

Depends on who else is running JI7 Mar 4 #6

I remember when Vance told Zelenski he was being disrespectful to Trump. everyonematters Mar 4 #7

leftstreet

(41,052 posts)

1. More likely Ayatollah Rubio

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:31 PM

Mar 4

Unless they can find an unknown "outsider" who expects to lose but make a lot of money

JI7

(93,732 posts)

5. I don't see how Rubio can win a Primary

Reply to leftstreet (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:43 PM

Mar 4

He only did well with latino voters last time around.

leftstreet

(41,052 posts)

8. I think they suspect they've lost that vote

Reply to JI7 (Reply #5)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 03:11 PM

Mar 4

Don't think they'll even try for it. So yeah, that's a very good point

But who knows. Can't imagine any GOPer actually wanting the nomination post-Trump.

hlthe2b

(114,166 posts)

2. From what I can tell, even many/most MAGA see through him. His insincerity oozes

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:34 PM

Mar 4

He is a poseur of the worst kind, but very uncomfortable "in his own skin" and that comes through loud and clear. Even to many/most MAGA.

Why did they LOVE Charlie Kirk? Well, he was far more clever at telling MAGA what they wanted to hear while likewise producing even more disgusting extremist content to disseminate outside his routine social media and internet content. And... he appeared to be "smooth" while doing so. Vance can't do that.

Johonny

(26,338 posts)

3. Look for an influencer

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:40 PM

Mar 4

They control the base these days.

Vance is unpopular with MAGA

Renew Deal

(85,262 posts)

4. Answering myself

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:42 PM

Mar 4

I think not at all. Too many people on the right don't like him. He's widely understood to be a liar. The incels including the Fuentes types don't like him.

JI7

(93,732 posts)

6. Depends on who else is running

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:45 PM

Mar 4

everyonematters

(4,200 posts)

7. I remember when Vance told Zelenski he was being disrespectful to Trump.

Reply to Renew Deal (Original post)

Wed Mar 4, 2026, 02:55 PM

Mar 4

Rubio was clearly embarrassed. Vance is endeared by the MAGA base. He will be the nominee.

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