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LiberalArkie

(19,779 posts)
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 03:52 AM Yesterday

The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it

The U.S. government is insolvent. That’s not hyperbole — it’s the conclusion drawn directly from the Treasury Department’s own consolidated financial statements for fiscal year 2025, released last week to near-total media silence. The numbers: $6.06 trillion in total assets against $47.78 trillion in total liabilities as of September 30, 2025.

Importantly, the $47.78 trillion in reported liabilities does not include the unfunded obligations of social insurance programs like Social Security and Medicare — those are disclosed separately in the off-balance-sheet Statement of Social Insurance (SOSI).

The government’s consolidated balance sheet position, excluding the SOSI, deteriorated by nearly $2.07 trillion between FY 2024 and FY 2025, reaching a staggering negative $41.72 trillion. Total liabilities are now nearly eight times the value of reported assets. The largest drivers were a $2 trillion increase in federal debt and interest payable (now $30.33 trillion) and a $438.8 billion increase in federal employee and veteran benefits payable (now $15.47 trillion).

The off-balance-sheet picture is even more alarming. The 75-year unfunded social insurance obligation surged by $10.1 trillion in a single year, rising from $78.3 trillion in FY 2024 to $88.4 trillion in FY 2025 — driven primarily by a $6.9 trillion jump in projected Medicare Part B shortfalls and a $2.5 trillion increase for Social Security. The Treasury’s Statement of Long-Term Fiscal Projections shows the 75-year fiscal gap widening from 4.3% of GDP in FY 2024 to 4.7% in FY 2025.

Snip

https://fortune.com/2026/03/23/us-government-insolvent-fiscal-crisis-fix/#

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it (Original Post) LiberalArkie Yesterday OP
good news! lapfog_1 Yesterday #1
If only there was a tax schedule that would solve the problem LiberalArkie Yesterday #2
You wouldn't purchase stock if a company's prospectus, etc. no_hypocrisy Yesterday #3
China India Brazil actively reducing their holdings kkmarie Yesterday #4
The country is insolvent but Wall Street is Baitball Blogger Yesterday #5
Because the paper (stock) has no relationship to reality. Want to see weird, look at silver LiberalArkie Yesterday #6
Sure it is. Sure it is. valleyrogue Yesterday #7

lapfog_1

(31,893 posts)
1. good news!
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 04:08 AM
Yesterday

A 20 year payment schedule at 6.5% ( do YOU trust us to not default? ) means that every person ( man, woman, child, camera TV) owes an additional $1029.37 every month for the next 20 years.

$4,117 for a family of four!

on top of the current tax bill.

If only there were some really rich bastards we could get to help us middle class people to pay down the debt.

LiberalArkie

(19,779 posts)
2. If only there was a tax schedule that would solve the problem
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 05:13 AM
Yesterday

Like the one that stopped the depression. And put people on the moon and created the public health system and interstate highways. If only we knew what did all that before Reagan started creating billionaires.

no_hypocrisy

(54,881 posts)
3. You wouldn't purchase stock if a company's prospectus, etc.
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 05:32 AM
Yesterday

showed this kind of gap.

Does this Statement indicate a sudden sale of Treasuries?

kkmarie

(340 posts)
4. China India Brazil actively reducing their holdings
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 06:05 AM
Yesterday
Several countries, led by China, Brazil, and India, have reduced their holdings of U.S. Treasury securities, often driven by efforts to diversify reserves, stabilize their own currencies, or respond to geopolitical risks. Despite these reductions, overall foreign demand remains high, with Japan remaining the largest foreign holder at over $1 trillion.
Morningstar

Key Countries Reducing U.S. Treasury Holdings (2025–2026 Trends):

China: Has been a consistent, long-term seller, reducing its holdings by over $250 billion over the past decade and reducing its stake by roughly $85.9 billion in the year ending Nov 2025.

Brazil: Reduced its holdings by approximately $60.8 billion between Nov 2024 and Nov 2025, according to Visual Capitalist.
India: Reduced its holdings by over $47 billion during the same period.

British Virgin Islands: Actively reduced holdings by $38.9 billion.
Fortune

Key Reasons for Selling:
Diversification & Exchange Rate Management: Countries like China sell Treasury bonds to purchase their own currency, thus increasing its value and reducing reliance on the US dollar.

Geopolitical Concerns: Sanctions, such as those imposed on Russia, have prompted some nations to reassess their dependency on U.S. dollar assets.

Market Trends: Concerns over rising U.S. debt levels, along with trade policy shifts (e.g., tariffs), have prompted some nations to reconsider their investment in U.S. Treasury bonds, which are generally deemed safe, according to this YouTube video and a China Daily article.
Atlantic Council

Contextual Factors:
Record Holdings: Despite selling by some nations, total foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries actually hit a record $9.4 trillion in November 2025, notes Bloomberg.

Largest Holders: As of late 2025/early 2026, Japan is the top holder ($1.1T+), followed by the UK and China, based on data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Morningstar

LiberalArkie

(19,779 posts)
6. Because the paper (stock) has no relationship to reality. Want to see weird, look at silver
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 09:53 AM
Yesterday

The silver exchange (COMEX) has it now a little higher today at $72. If you want to buy 1 ounce of silver it will cost you $93+. Even more anywhere else in the world. A terrific shortage in the world and the price drops from over $114 to $70 in 3 months.

valleyrogue

(2,701 posts)
7. Sure it is. Sure it is.
Wed Mar 25, 2026, 11:06 AM
Yesterday

This is just an excuse to further cut into social programs benefiting the public to give more to the rich.

"Insolvency" is bullshit when talking about a country that prints money.

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