Sadly, that means it is close enough for voter suppression and other forms of cheating. We've seen this movie before.

The margin of error means the results of this poll could be due to chance and do not reflect a true difference between the choices.

Unfortunately, people do give polls too much credence. So often they've turned out to be very wrong.

It’s bizarre that you don’t leave any room for that possibility.

If Democrats win, but it is with close margins, that gives republicans wiggle-room to disenfranchise/intimidate voters and cheat in other ways that we've seen in the past. They accuse us of cheating because that is what THEY do.

That said, I think that yes, there is a good chance that Talarico can and will win, but I am allowing for the reality that republicans will use every trick in the book to steal that victory. They've certainly have plenty of practice and they don't think there is anything wrong with it.......well, as long as they are the ones doing it.

looking for a solutions-focused voice in Washington. Talarico’s ability to attract support beyond traditional party lines suggests that many Texans are ready for a new road. While the race is still very close, it's notable to me that his message is resonating with independents and even some Republicans.

(and despite living in Texas, I genuinely welcome and enjoy hearing perspectives from people in other states... ideas and opinions aren't limited by state lines)

1) This gap will never get big.

2) O'Rourke never got close than 3.4% behind Cruz in 2018, final polling gap was 6.8%, and final margin was 2.6%. The state was a LOT redder in 2018. The undecideds should slowly break to the challenger, or they will stay home.

How interesting!

I expect talarico to slam the rural and suburban regions with ads while focusing on volunteer recruitment and strong voter engagement in the cities and bluer suburbs. As the election draws nearer, any increased support in the rural and redder suburbs will turn into GOTV efforts in October. This is going to be a massive operation for Talarico! GOP is terrified because his ads are incredibly persuasive and softening GOP support for Paxton.

They may get desperate so look out for dirty tricks!

I wonder if Paxton has the guts to debate Talarico, and how many times?