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justaprogressive

(7,395 posts)
Thu Jul 2, 2026, 09:53 AM Thursday

Oracle outlines all the ways it could lose the farm it bet on AI - by Tobias Mann

Oracle is burning hundreds of billions to finance AI datacenters for the likes of OpenAI. Now, the company is admitting they may not pay off.

Amid the usual boilerplate, Big Red cited numerous risk factors related to its AI infrastructure investments in a regulatory filing published late last month.

“To grow our OCI business, which requires increased computing capacity, we must incur significant capital and operating expenditures to increase our existing data center capacity and to establish data centers in new geographic locations,” the filing reads, using the TLA for "Oracle Cloud Infrastructure."

These investments, the company notes, are tied to long-term commitments for infrastructure and datacenter capacity. Unlike the big three cloud providers, Oracle prefers to lease datacenter capacity from partners like Crusoe, rather than build them itself.

While the filing doesn’t mention OpenAI explicitly, Oracle’s success as an AI infrastructure provider is inextricably tied to the model dev and its cult-of-personality leader, Sam Altman.

In early 2025, Oracle joined OpenAI, SoftBank, and MGX to put its name on the so-called Stargate initiative, an ambitious project to pave the planet with half a trillion dollars worth of bit barns.

As we later learned, Oracle had signed up to provide $300 billion of capacity over five years as part of a long term agreement with OpenAI, which would also see the database provider manage the model dev’s flagship facility in Abilene, Texas. In addition to the OpenAI deal, Oracle claims to still have about $155 billion in remaining performance obligations from other customers.


https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/07/01/oracle-outlines-all-the-ways-it-could-lose-the-farm-it-bet-on-ai/5265438]
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Oracle outlines all the ways it could lose the farm it bet on AI - by Tobias Mann (Original Post) justaprogressive Thursday OP
is oracle "too big to fail?" rampartd Thursday #1
FOSS can replace Oracle in a heartbeat RainCaster Thursday #2
For smaller companies, yes, but if you're like a bank or big insurance company? AZJonnie Thursday #4
we must incur significant capital and operating expenditures to increase our existing data center capacity 3825-87867 Thursday #3
K&R! highplainsdem Thursday #5

RainCaster

(13,959 posts)
2. FOSS can replace Oracle in a heartbeat
Thu Jul 2, 2026, 10:05 AM
Thursday

Why people still use that expensive crap is beyond me. They have a truly expensive income model.

AZJonnie

(4,259 posts)
4. For smaller companies, yes, but if you're like a bank or big insurance company?
Thu Jul 2, 2026, 12:15 PM
Thursday

Free database platforms like Postgres or even Oracle's own MySQL (community version) are great for what they are (we use them all the time for client projects in our small shop) but they lack a lot of features that truly big companies need in a database system. In a nutshell, they only scale up to a certain point before they fall over on you or don't (fully) support a data format that you want to be able to store in your RDBMS.

This is not to speak to whether full-fat Enterprise-level Oracle should be considered overpriced (it does seem so to me as well), but it does scale up to support HUGE organizations with extremely complex and large-scale data storage needs in a way that the free stuff cannot

3825-87867

(2,061 posts)
3. we must incur significant capital and operating expenditures to increase our existing data center capacity
Thu Jul 2, 2026, 12:12 PM
Thursday

Golly gee Beav,
I can't imagine who will ultimately pay for all this so a few ultra rich won't suffer!
Do I need the sarcasm?

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