Larry Hogan
GOP
113,396 62.0%

Nope, too early for such!

Repugs very invested in NOT seeing a Dem win in the Senate.

of Maryland. First, Hogan has name recognition and is/was reasonably popular in this very Democratic leaning state. He can win here although I think he is still an underdog. What it is going to take to beat him is money for ads to tie Hogan to the national republican party. You can't really tie him to Trump as he has always been a vocal critic of Trump. I can see 100M in ad spending needed to beat Hogan.

Second, Trone, the other main Democrat Senate candidate is the multi-millionaire owner of Total Wine and More and has already spent millions of his own money to get his congressional seat and millions in this primary. He had previously said he would spend whatever he needed to win the Senate seat.

Third, assuming Trone closes his wallet, those 100M are going to need to be spent by the DSCC in Maryland to hold this seat, and that is 100M not available to them for helping in OH, MT and AZ.

Not that Alsobrooks is not a great choice, just a great choice that can't self fund her campaign ......

She leads Hogan 48-38% with 14% undecided.
That's according to an Emerson College poll which had Alsobrooks beating out Trone by 1 point.

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/maryland-2024-poll-alsobrooks-42-trone-41/
But I usually poo poo polls.

I hope Alsobrooks can hitch her wagon to Biden's infrastructure bill. If that helps with the FSK Bridge rebuild.

win. It will take DSCC $$$$$$ to make sure MD stays blue. DSCC $$$$$$ that are desperately needed elsewhere.

that suggests Hogan is an underdog. He may not be the worst of the absolute worst goobers, but these days none of them are to be trusted once in office.

considerations in voting for Trone, who has been a good Congressman and was also endorsed by Hakeem Jeffries!

As a Montanan by birth, I wanted for the DSCC to be able to contribute more to Jon Tester's Senate campaign in MT.

Both MD Senate candidates were good ones. But the ithe idea of not having to spend DSCC $$$ in a generally safe BLUE state like MD was a BIG nfluence on my primary vote. I will vote for Alsobrooks in the GE, of course,

In the end, the state's Dems - including Trone - will be solidly behind Alsobrooks. Yes, Hogan was a saner GOPer than most but that was in good part b/c the MD legislature also kept him in check.

But the use of DSCC $$ for MD could hurt other candidates in more vulnerable races.

The bad news is that this race will indeed cost us more than we want to spend on it, and it is vital that we hold it. Like Texas with us in recent years, even if we didn't win the seat, it cost the Republicans a fortune to hold it, and I'm sure that is exactly how the Republicans see this one.

The good news is that this remains an absolutely winnable seat for us. The gender and race of a Senate candidate is not as big a deal in a state like Maryland as it once was. The Republicans will drop their subtle hints in friendly districts, but this race will be won in Baltimore, Annapolis and the Washington suburbs, where racism doesn't play well.

Yes Hogan was popular here as Gov but one of reasons he won back then was the Dem candidate was weak. Angela is a much stronger candidate and will likely win in Nov.

Also this election will heve national implications regarding control of the Senate. Maryland Dem voters will know that and will vote accordingly regardless how they feel about Hogan.

GOP’s Hogan leads both Democrats in Maryland Senate race

Hogan’s surprise entrance into the race last month upended what had been largely seen as a contest between Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks (D). The Post-UMD poll finds that if the general election were held today, voters say they would support Hogan over Trone, 49 percent to 37 percent; and Hogan over Alsobrooks, 50 percent to 36 percent.

I live in Montana where Tester is a very strong candidate with genuine Montana roots. He has a very strong track record in the Senate on issues which resonate in Montana, such as healthcare and services to veterans and their families.
Sheehy is a rich GOP carpetbagger, a cowboy wannabe who owns a hobby ranch, and it now appears he's been caught in several significant lies.
While the majority of current voters here are registered Republicans they were also during previous campaigns which Tester won by meaningful margins. Sheehy may have the GOP funding but he's anti-abortion in a state with 75% voter approval of a woman's right to choose and a ballot initiative to support that choice as embodied in the state constitution.

While the money always matters, if it needs to be spent in Maryland there is reason to believe it will be worthwhile.

she got way more votes than Larry Hogan. He's popular but Maryland is still a blue state. We can win this.

But the current polling gives Hogan a 14 point advantage in actual voter preference. This is a great career move for Hogan, as he will emerge the top anti-Trump Republican in Congress.

The only problem is his winning would ensure pro Trump factions continue their stranglehold on Washington. A vote for Hogan is a vote for national dysfunction

Probably not the legacy he was looking for