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BumRushDaShow

(142,249 posts)
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 03:36 PM Oct 19

Hurricane Oscar forms in the Atlantic with 'unexpected' strong winds

Source: USA Today

Published 11:45 a.m. ET Oct. 19, 2024 | Updated 4:20 p.m. ET Oct. 19, 2024


A storm system in the Caribbean rapidly escalated Saturday from a tropical storm into Hurricane Oscar, the 10th hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season.

Forecasters said Oscar's winds were much stronger than previously thought and declared the system a hurricane at 2 p.m. ET. Oscar's maximum sustained winds were about 80 mph with stronger gusts, which was "unexpected," forecasters said. It could strengthen more on Saturday before gradual weakening begins next week.

Oscar could bring indirect impacts to East Coast beaches in the U.S. from a long period swell in the coming days, according to the National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida. Oscar was also the eighth named storm to form since Sept. 24, breaking a record for most named storms formations between Sept. 24 and Oct. 19, set in 1950, Phil Klotzbach, a senior research scientist at Colorado State University, posted on X.

Hurricane warnings were issued for the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas, while Cuba has issued hurricane watches for the Guantanamo, Holguin and Las Tunas provinces.

Read more: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2024/10/19/storm-tracker-tropical-storm-nadine-oscar-path-spaghetti-models/75750812007/



That thing blew up from a "tropical rainstorm" to a tropical storm to a hurricane all today! It's been slowly drifting west for the past week.
19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Hurricane Oscar forms in the Atlantic with 'unexpected' strong winds (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Oct 19 OP
The Space lazer operators are on overtime. marble falls Oct 19 #1
The Goyim Squad of the Space Lazer Corps has been pulling out all stops during the holidays catrose Oct 19 #18
Oy vey! marble falls Oct 20 #19
Damn.................. Lovie777 Oct 19 #2
Perhaps Granny Blue Oct 19 #3
I told aunt mabel to turn that thing off before she left for the day.... getagrip_already Oct 19 #4
Good luck to all. So scary. mahina Oct 19 #5
I looked this morning and it was at 30% to form a storm in the next 48 hours. OnlinePoker Oct 19 #6
It's going to curve northeast away from land. ananda Oct 19 #7
if the big high that is sitting over the eastern CONUS moves east and south BumRushDaShow Oct 19 #8
I'm not sure what CONUS means. ananda Oct 19 #9
CONtiguous United States (I think) Ramsey Barner Oct 19 #10
LOL. It's a hobby. BumRushDaShow Oct 19 #11
Thank you! ananda Oct 19 #15
It will threaten Cuba, Turks and Caicos, and some of the Bahamas Wednesdays Oct 19 #12
That's what I saw on Zoom Earth. ananda Oct 19 #16
Aw geez irisblue Oct 19 #13
Hurricane map Shoonra Oct 19 #14
Is the power still down in Cuba? Mawspam2 Oct 19 #17

Granny Blue

(11 posts)
3. Perhaps
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 03:51 PM
Oct 19

the Goddess and the Democratic weather machine will aim it at Mar a Lago this time. Lets all think of a direct concentrated hit that spares the rest of Florida!

getagrip_already

(17,432 posts)
4. I told aunt mabel to turn that thing off before she left for the day....
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 03:54 PM
Oct 19

She must have forgotten again. You just cant get good help any more.

OnlinePoker

(5,833 posts)
6. I looked this morning and it was at 30% to form a storm in the next 48 hours.
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 04:38 PM
Oct 19

That was really fast to go all the way to hurricane strength.

BumRushDaShow

(142,249 posts)
8. if the big high that is sitting over the eastern CONUS moves east and south
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 05:09 PM
Oct 19

(and that is what it is sortof bumping up against), then it might stall and start heading more southerly and then to the SE.

Right now it's a big blob of convection!

BumRushDaShow

(142,249 posts)
11. LOL. It's a hobby.
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 05:35 PM
Oct 19


But it's also government-speak - "CONUS" = "Continental United States".

There is a strong flow from the high pressure system over the east that rotates clockwise meaning the wind currents would move from NE to SW.

These things need some kind of "steering current" (whether atmospheric or ocean) to move them along with their own spinning momentum. I had noticed between the "1 pm" and "4 pm" updates, it had slowed down and might not go that much further west before turning as it bangs up against the flow from that high that would want to push it to the SW.

It could even loop around too. Will have to see! If it moves far enough east away from the high, it could jump on the Gulf Stream for a trip to Europe!

Wednesdays

(20,313 posts)
12. It will threaten Cuba, Turks and Caicos, and some of the Bahamas
Sat Oct 19, 2024, 05:39 PM
Oct 19

But the models show it suddenly shooting to the northeast, and none of the U.S. mainland will be in its path.

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