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BumRushDaShow

(172,250 posts)
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 04:45 AM Jan 2026

US tariffs that are at risk of court-ordered refunds exceed $133.5 billion

Source: Reuters

January 6, 2026 4:20 PM EST Updated 11 hours ago


Jan 6 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's administration faces the possibility of having to refund more than $133.5 billion in tariffs to importers if the U.S. Supreme Court declares unlawful the duties he has imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, according to the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency.

That is the total assessed through December 14, when the agency issued its most recent statistical update on imports since the Republican president first imposed tariffs last February under the 1977 economic sanctions law meant to be used only during national emergencies.

The court, which in November heard arguments concerning the legality of Trump's IEEPA-based tariffs, is set to issue rulings in cases on Friday, but has not disclosed which ones. Online betting markets Kalshi and Polymarket give Trump a 30% and 23% chance of prevailing, respectively, versus around 40% on each platform prior to the arguments, when the justices signaled skepticism toward the tariffs. It is also unclear whether the court would order refunds if it deems the duties illegal or leave that issue to lower courts or to the federal government to sort out.

Trump falsely claimed in a social media post on Monday that the United States has collected or would soon collect $600 billion in tariffs. Total net customs duties reached a record $195 billion in fiscal 2025, which ended September 30, and monthly receipts have been in the low $30 billion range since then, according to U.S. Treasury data.

Read more: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-tariffs-that-are-risk-court-ordered-refunds-exceed-1335-billion-2026-01-06/

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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US tariffs that are at risk of court-ordered refunds exceed $133.5 billion (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Jan 2026 OP
I'm guessing this means we won't get those $2,000 checks. markodochartaigh Jan 2026 #1
Yeah...but you still have the DOGE refund check coming any day now Bengus81 Jan 2026 #8
Immediately following..... SergeStorms Jan 2026 #11
Uh oh, I see a go fund me account in somebody's future. Buddyzbuddy Jan 2026 #2
Did the orange pustulist claims IdiotsforPalin Jan 2026 #3
A couple of things: no_hypocrisy Jan 2026 #4
I know just how much extra I have paid out. Bohunk68 Jan 2026 #6
He screws up everything. I feel sorry for Venezuela, and anyone else he's put his sleazy hands into. C Moon Jan 2026 #5
the supreme fools will rule that the tariffs are illegal but the orange asshole Javaman Jan 2026 #7
Trump giving money back? twodogsbarking Jan 2026 #9
I think that anyone who thinks that THIS supreme court will rule against trump, is deluding themselves based on the lostincalifornia Jan 2026 #10
Ha ha Katcat Jan 2026 #12

SergeStorms

(20,811 posts)
11. Immediately following.....
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 10:31 AM
Jan 2026

Trump unveiling his low-cost healthcare plan. 😉 Any day now, right?

IdiotsforPalin

(211 posts)
3. Did the orange pustulist claims
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 05:25 AM
Jan 2026

Murderer we had trillions and trillions of dollars from tariffs….. where’s my fucking check

no_hypocrisy

(55,379 posts)
4. A couple of things:
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 05:31 AM
Jan 2026

1. Trump was/is delusional that giving those massive tax breaks would allow him to keep tariff revenues.

2. Companies/Importers can't keep those refunds. Generally, they didn't lose money on the tariffs as they passed along the expenses to their customers, unless they ate the costs.

3. How to calculate what we, the customers, had to pay since January, 2025?

Bohunk68

(1,455 posts)
6. I know just how much extra I have paid out.
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 07:18 AM
Jan 2026

I like brewing my coffee from fresh ground dark roast beans. Had been getting it in 2# bags from SF Bay coffee. 3 bags every 3 months. In April, my cost was $59.37. In July, it went to $75.57 and in Nov and Jan it was $83.67. therefore, I have already paid $64.80 in tariffs, aka taxes. Enough for another 6# is it were still at the old pricing. Not wealthy at all. Barely surviving on $1502 SS per month. thanks be, the house got paid off when my love died. 3 maybe 4 years ago, I got Survivor benefits when a case came up of 2 women, one of whom died before they could have been married. It was the same parameters as what happened with us. She won. I was notified by our local Dem County Chair the same day. 3 months later, I had it, plus back pay from 2006 when he died of pancreatic cancer. We had been together for 27 years. It has been 20 years soon, and I miss him terribly. Now, I am concerned that Putinfluffer is going to screw all of us out of it with the cooperation of SCOTUS.

C Moon

(13,737 posts)
5. He screws up everything. I feel sorry for Venezuela, and anyone else he's put his sleazy hands into.
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 06:32 AM
Jan 2026

Javaman

(65,978 posts)
7. the supreme fools will rule that the tariffs are illegal but the orange asshole
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 08:35 AM
Jan 2026

won't have to pay anyone back. "too complicated"

lostincalifornia

(5,526 posts)
10. I think that anyone who thinks that THIS supreme court will rule against trump, is deluding themselves based on the
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 10:13 AM
Jan 2026

history and makeup of the court.

It would be quite surprising if they actually ruled that Tariffs were under the umbrella of Congress, keeping in mind their past ruling on issues that encompassed the theory of unitary executive privilege.


Katcat

(610 posts)
12. Ha ha
Wed Jan 7, 2026, 07:47 PM
Jan 2026

Trump isn’t going to voluntarily give money back to anyone. Like everything else trump, it will be in the mil in a couple weeks.

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