Iowa? Is It the Farmers?
All of us are absolutely abuzz this morning about Kamala being up by 3-4 points in Iowa. And somewhat puzzled. Then I remembered something I posted about a couple of weeks ago: the Wisconsin Farm Bureau endorsed Tammy Baldwin for Senator, the first Dem theyve endorsed in 20 years. The reason I gave was that Tammy has a great reputation in rural communities for helping farmers and actually understands the Farm Bill, which her opponent said hed read... if he got elected...
But Iowa? Hmmmm...Oh yeah, one of the biggest EXPORTERS of grain and livestock in the country! (www.iowaeda.com/...) And if you follow that link, youll end up at a page at the Iowa Economic Development Association. And youll see how much ag stuff Iowa exports and how significant it is to the entire Iowa economy. And Trumps tariffs, which instigated a trade war, damaged the Iowa economy. And another round of Trump tariffs would do the same thing: hurt the Iowa economy.
Oh and youll see that two of their major buyers are China and Mexico.
If you go to states like Iowa, Minnesota, South Dakota, etc., you not only see huge farms, huge fields of crops, and huge grain and meat processing operations, but you see all of the small towns that dot the horizon, with small businesses that exist only because of the agricultural sector.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/11/3/2282099/-Iowa-Is-It-the-Farmers
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)If the swing in Iowa is real, the factors are likely more recent. Harris and the way she has run her campaign. Concerns about abortion rights. Trump's bizarre past couple months. It's difficult to know for certain.
The announcement of further tariffs could be a factor, but Iowans never seemed to blame Trump for the prior tariffs' impact on the agricultural industry and Iowa's economy, so I'm not sure they would be swayed en masse by the possibility of more. I could certainly be wrong.
JJ101
(51 posts)Is the current Sec of Agriculture and he and his wife have been campaigning. They understand the damage of tariffs on farmers.
mobeau69
(11,584 posts)tulipsandroses
(6,211 posts)I believe Selzer said, the increase is older female voters. Also that its a bigger pool of voters coming off sidelines vs people switching.
We are seeing the stories of women dying. We knew it would happen, but its staring us in the face now. It is not an abstract thought anymore.