Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

IcyPeas

(22,625 posts)
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 03:05 PM Sep 2021

33 percent ballots returned or 7,311,750

From Paul Mitchell, Vice-President, Political Data:




A Berkeley IGS Poll just released as I’m about to hit “send” suggests that 70% of the in-person voters are pro-recall, which can be a bit of good news for proponents. But, all voting methods considered, they show the recall losing with 39% Yes, 60% no.
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1g8696rv

Get today’s PDF here: https://www.dropbox.com/t/FXog5Pnn6OLEO5Wb or check out the tracker on the website at https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-special-election-tracker/.

If you’re forwarding this to others, they can subscribe to receive these morning updates here: https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-election-tracker-email-signup/

Paul Mitchell
Vice-President
Political Data
5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
33 percent ballots returned or 7,311,750 (Original Post) IcyPeas Sep 2021 OP
I think this election may be a bellwether for 2022 JohnSJ Sep 2021 #1
7 million is greater than 1 million. onecaliberal Sep 2021 #2
I don't think the christofascists expect to win, they would be delighted if they did of course. Thomas Hurt Sep 2021 #3
Has anyone heard when they'll have results? Northern_Light Sep 2021 #4
Depends on how close it is Retrograde Sep 2021 #5

onecaliberal

(35,912 posts)
2. 7 million is greater than 1 million.
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 03:29 PM
Sep 2021

Those who want the recall struggled to get the signatures required. They were given several time extensions.

Thomas Hurt

(13,925 posts)
3. I don't think the christofascists expect to win, they would be delighted if they did of course.
Fri Sep 10, 2021, 03:38 PM
Sep 2021

I think the real goal is yet another big lie in the election fraud propaganda campaign. Recall fails and they start squealing. The trumpers in my family have already written it off as another unfair election. Newsome has the fix in...blah, blah, blah.

The lawsuits, the rallies, the AZ fraudit, OH, CA recall. There will be more of these running up to 2022 elections designed to the keep the big lie in the media, the cultists fired up.

Oh and of course another rallying cry for money.

Northern_Light

(24 posts)
4. Has anyone heard when they'll have results?
Mon Sep 13, 2021, 11:10 AM
Sep 2021

Does anyone know, have they been counting ballots as they are returned or will they start counting Tuesday?

Wondering if 8:01pm pst we'll heard it's over since latest poll shows 60% 'no'.

Looks like this was a giant waste of time and money.

Retrograde

(10,661 posts)
5. Depends on how close it is
Mon Sep 13, 2021, 01:40 PM
Sep 2021

Polls close at 8 PDT. The first totals - mostly from mail-in ballots - can be announced then. However, mail-in ballots postmarked by 8 on election day are counted as long as they're received within 3 working days (standard: it was increase to 17 days for the last election because of a combination of pandemic and post office delays). Then there are the provisional ballots, which are processed after election day. Officially the counties have about a month to finish all the counting and get their official results to the Secretary of State: that's when the election is finally certified. With only one issue, this will probably be quicker.

The media will have its usual race to see who can call the election first with only a fraction of the vote in, but if mail-in results are heavily skewed that can give an indication of how its going. Given the GOP whining, I'm hopefully optimistic.

FWIW, there have been close Congressional races recently where it took about 2 weeks to decide the results. I'm hoping this will go more quickly.

Latest Discussions»Region Forums»California»33 percent ballots return...