U.S Rep. Steve King's re-election bid moved from 'safe' to 'likely' GOP by political handicapper

U.S. Rep. Steve King's campaign for re-election in Iowa's 4th Congressional District has been moved from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball, a nationally recognized political handicapper.

King, a Kiron resident serving his eighth term in Congress, is being challenged by J.D. Scholten of Sioux City, a former professional baseball player who has been barnstorming the district in a Winnebago campaign vehicle with his name on the sides.

The latest campaign finance reports filed with the Federal Election Commission — dated June 30 — show that Scholten had raised more money than King — $776,000 to $509,000 — and that the Democrat had more cash on hand — $254,000 to $117,000.

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Sabato's Crystal Ball, which is based at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, made 17 ratings changes for U.S. House races this week — all of them in favor of Democrats. The handicapper also now lists Iowa's 3rd District race between U.S. Rep. David Young, R-Van Meter, and Democratic challenger Cindy Axne of West Des Moines, as a "Toss-up" from its previous rating of "Leans Republican."

"Democrats are now a little better than 50-50 to win the House. This is the first time this cycle we’ve gone beyond 50-50 odds on a House turnover," Sabato's Crystal Ball said in a special edition on Tuesday.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/24/iowa-4th-district-king-scholten-race-congress-moved-safe-likely-gop-political-handicapper/825620002/