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progressoid

(50,753 posts)
Fri Mar 15, 2019, 04:46 PM Mar 2019

Three Iowa house seats supposedly on GOP's hit list.

Republicans are eyeing a path to the House majority that takes them through Trump country.

The GOP has already put 55 districts held by Democrats on its target list for 2020. But Republican hopes are highest in the 31 districts that President Trump carried in 2016. That includes 13 districts where the real estate mogul bested Hillary Clinton by more than 6 points.

Meanwhile, only three GOP lawmakers hold districts where Clinton won in 2016 — Reps. Will Hurd (Texas), John Katko (N.Y.) and Brian Fitzpatrick (Pa.).

Those lawmakers are among 33 Republicans that Democrats are hoping to oust in 2020 as the party looks to expand its nascent House majority.

Republicans need to pick up roughly 20 seats to win back control of the lower chamber.

Here’s a look at where next year’s battles for the House will be fought:

Trump-won districts held by Democrats

...

IA-01 Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-Iowa) ousted two-term former Rep. Rod Blum (R-Iowa) in this northeast Iowa district in November — one of two Iowa districts that Democrats managed to flip in 2018, along with the state’s 3rd District. Still, Trump won there by about 3.5 points two years earlier.

IA-02 Rep. Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa) secured a seventh term in the House last year, beating back a challenge from Republican Christopher Peters. Trump won his southeastern Iowa district two years earlier by a roughly 4-point margin.

IA-03 Rep. Cindy Axne’s (D-Iowa) win over former Rep. David Young (R-Iowa) gave Democrats more good news in the Hawkeye State; it was among key wins there that handed the party three spots in Iowa’s four-member House delegation. Trump won the district in 2016 by 3.5 points.

...



https://thehill.com/homenews/house/434113-the-31-trump-districts-that-will-determine-the-next-house-majority
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Three Iowa house seats supposedly on GOP's hit list. (Original Post) progressoid Mar 2019 OP
Too early to gauge. N/T bobGandolf Mar 2019 #1
I don'yt think Dave is in any trouble rurallib Mar 2019 #2
Yeah, I think they are all pretty safe at this point in the game. progressoid Mar 2019 #3

rurallib

(63,207 posts)
2. I don'yt think Dave is in any trouble
Fri Mar 15, 2019, 05:50 PM
Mar 2019

Although, believe me that guy is out and about constantly. He is always very conscious of how he is sitting.

As for Finkenauer, they'd better find somebody better than that pathetic Blum.

Same in the 3rd. I got the impression that Young's constant lies and his reneging on things like health care took himself down. I suspect he will be back. He was a Grassley minion and studied the master well, but he is not quite as slick.

progressoid

(50,753 posts)
3. Yeah, I think they are all pretty safe at this point in the game.
Fri Mar 15, 2019, 05:59 PM
Mar 2019

Axne has also been out and about a lot. We hardly ever saw Young in his last two years.

Unless something major happens, I expect we'll see all three Democrats back in office in 2020.

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