Michigan
Related: About this forumDem rout is on in MI
https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/poll-whitmer-nessel-benson-lead-over-republican-challengers/And with abortion rights being on the ballot, these races are going to be blowouts.
Meadowoak
(6,220 posts)rogerballard
(3,839 posts)Tudor Dixon is nuts with zero experience.
MiHale
(10,791 posts)GO DEMS!
2naSalit
(92,752 posts)People are starting to respond to the danger.
DownriverDem
(6,648 posts)have overreached and the voters know it.
Kaleva
(38,175 posts)Johnny2X2X
(21,758 posts)It's all a little hard to predict in MI right now. Redistricting adds some uncertainty, but the districts are in fact more fair. And Roe adds a lot of certainty, it will most certainly help Dems beat the polling, but will it be by 2-3 points or 7-10 points, who knows.
How will this play out in deep Red rural districts?
Kaleva
(38,175 posts)IMHO
Kansas is deep red, the polling had their abortion ban passing by a couple points, it lost by 17 points. A 20 point flip. If that would have been in November, Democrats would have had wins in Kansas districts they were thought to be 15 point under dogs in.
So some of the crazy rural counties that trump carried like 75-20 in 2020 will probably stay red, but others that are like 60-40 GOP could be in play. I think on the 538 map of Congressional seats, if it's blue, light blue, or a toss up, it's going blue, period. If it's light red it's going blue or is a tossup, and I think a select few deep red districts will go blue too.