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Dem rout is on in MI (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Sep 2022 OP
+1 Meadowoak Sep 2022 #1
Governor Gretchen Whitmer has my vote and donation rogerballard Sep 2022 #2
Tooter blows gas... MiHale Sep 2022 #3
Good to hear! 2naSalit Sep 2022 #4
MAGa repubs DownriverDem Sep 2022 #5
I'm hoping Dems also gain control of at least 1 chamber in the legislature Kaleva Sep 2022 #6
The State Senate is very possible Johnny2X2X Sep 2022 #7
In deep red districts, the Rs will win but the proposals will also pass Kaleva Sep 2022 #8
Kansas Johnny2X2X Sep 2022 #9

Johnny2X2X

(21,758 posts)
7. The State Senate is very possible
Thu Sep 22, 2022, 10:58 AM
Sep 2022

It's all a little hard to predict in MI right now. Redistricting adds some uncertainty, but the districts are in fact more fair. And Roe adds a lot of certainty, it will most certainly help Dems beat the polling, but will it be by 2-3 points or 7-10 points, who knows.

How will this play out in deep Red rural districts?

Johnny2X2X

(21,758 posts)
9. Kansas
Thu Sep 22, 2022, 11:37 AM
Sep 2022

Kansas is deep red, the polling had their abortion ban passing by a couple points, it lost by 17 points. A 20 point flip. If that would have been in November, Democrats would have had wins in Kansas districts they were thought to be 15 point under dogs in.

So some of the crazy rural counties that trump carried like 75-20 in 2020 will probably stay red, but others that are like 60-40 GOP could be in play. I think on the 538 map of Congressional seats, if it's blue, light blue, or a toss up, it's going blue, period. If it's light red it's going blue or is a tossup, and I think a select few deep red districts will go blue too.

Latest Discussions»Region Forums»Michigan»Dem rout is on in MI