NC-HD100: Who decides NC legislature's most closely watched race? Key voters for Cotham (R) vs. Sidman (D)

North Carolina House Rep. Tricia Cotham’s political future likely rests in the hands of a few key voter blocs in her redrawn Mecklenburg County district, multiple political experts say.

Cotham is running for reelection for the first time since she switched political parties from Democrat to Republican, a move that gave the GOP a veto-proof supermajority in Raleigh and enabled the passage of new abortion restrictions.

In addition to running in a new party, she’s also running in a new district. House District 105 was redrawn in 2023 to cover parts of south and east Mecklenburg County, including swaths of Mint Hill and Mathews.

Data indicates the district leans Republican, but the controversy surrounding Cotham energized supporters of her Democratic opponent, Nicole Sidman. The election result is expected to influence whether the GOP keeps its supermajority.

Certain “prize constituencies,” especially unaffiliated voters and women, could make the difference for either candidate.




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