Ohio
Related: About this forum1.6 million ballots have now been cast in Ohio: 3 takeaways from the state's early voting data
1. Ohio sees robust Republican strength in the early voteThe most immediate takeaway that is inescapable to avoid when looking at Ohio's early voting data is how much stronger the Republican vote is over Democrats in the state. As of Sunday evening, the Ohio Secretary of State's Office recorded 1,637,003 ballots cast statewide. Of these, just under half (786,422) are by voters who are unaffiliated with either party, meaning they did not vote in a recent party primary. Meanwhile, 503,437 Republican-affiliated voters cast ballots in the state, while 341,046 Democratic-affiliated voters cast ballots.
2. Democrats see strength in swing counties and prior northeastern party strongholds.
Although registered Republicans significantly lead the statewide vote over registered Democrats, drilling down county by county reveals a surprising picture: Democrats are leading the vote in most of the state's swing counties, as well as prior Democratic strongholds in the northeastern part of the state that once upon a time made Ohio a swing state on the presidential level.
3. Voters aged 65+ make up almost half the vote
While the Secretary of State's Office does not release much data about voter demographics, the age of voters is one all-important demographic that does get released by the state. And the voters who have shown up so far are substantially older than Ohio's median age of 39.9.
https://www.wlwt.com/article/3-takeaways-from-the-ohio-early-voting-data-in-2024-election/62728586
pat_k
(10,618 posts)I'm not staying on top of this, but the few times I've noticed the breakdown between men and women, the women are early voting in VERY high numbers relative to men. And I suspect if that is the case here, a meaningful number of those republican votes are from women voting for Harris.
Hope22
(2,508 posts)57% vote for womens reproductive rights a year ago. Im sure we will see some Rs voting for Harris and possibly yes on issue 1. That being said with our out of control SOS, verifying that all votes cast were actually voted might come into play. I would think the percentages from last year should be close. I would not put it past them to stuff the ballot box. He meddled with ballot verbiage, voting dates and rules all in plain sight. Who knows what will happen behind closed doors.
imaginary girl
(905 posts)It seems that they are calling voters unaffiliated if they haven't voted in a recent primary ... I think those voters are more likely to vote for democrats since Biden ran unopposed in the primary this year. If we do get the larger slice of those voters, democrats may not be as far behind as these numbers imply.