Pennsylvania
Related: About this forumPA Supreme Court approves new congressional district map
This was just on the local noon news here.
The map looks good, compact district with few municipalities divided although the City of Pittsburgh is divided about in half. The northern and western part of Allegheney county that were in the old PA-17 being expanded in the new PA-17. This is still probably a swingish district as the northern part of Allegheney county is more conservative.
The new map throws to two R incumbents into the same district that is essentially the Allegheney National Forest and state game lands counties above I-80 and east of Erie.
https://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2022/02/23/pennsylvania-new-congressional-map-state-supreme-court-vote-democratic-republican-districts/stories/202202230100
Deminpenn
(16,317 posts)Here is the map:
?resize=640,417
cilla4progress
(25,919 posts)amirite?
PA!
Deminpenn
(16,317 posts)all of the maps pretty much reflected the state's partisan registration split. This map was submitted by the same group of Dem voters who sued to have the 2018 map declared unconstitutional.
As for the new CDs, PA 17 lost its portion of Butler county and gained part of Allegheny county. PA 1, I believe, picked up a sliver of Montgomery county which might be enough to tip the balance to D if this is true.
Centre county is now part of PA 15. I don't think it's enough to make this district competitive, but that county is the largest population area and likely the only one that's growing.
CD 10 might be more swingy, not good for incumbent insurrectionist Scott Perry.
I'll be intersted to see what happens in PA-11 which is almost entirely Lancaster county. For years now, sprawl has been creeping into Lancaster. It could be on the same path as Chester county.
According to 538, the map produces 8R, 6D, 3 swing.
FakeNoose
(35,702 posts)Now we don't have to waste another 8 years fighting the Repukes like we did after the 2010 census.
Your comment is interesting about Lancaster County. I have a dear old friend in Lancaster for many years. Even though he's a progressive Dem, he's surrounded by "red" everywhere in Lancaster. It's not just that they're conservative Republicans, but they're rabid Trumpers everywhere, even the Amish. Or maybe I should say, especially the Amish. Same friend knows many people in Chester County because he used to work there. Seems Chester is going the other way, becoming more urbanized and "bluer" every year.
BumRushDaShow
(142,423 posts)By: Stephen Caruso - February 23, 2022 11:41 am
Pennsylvanias highest court has picked a map submitted by voters backed by a national group aligned with Democrats to be the commonwealths next congressional map.
In a 5-page order, the state Supreme Court ordered 4-3 that the map, known as the Carter plan, be adopted as soon as possible. An opinion was not immediately available. Four of the courts five liberal justices signed onto the order, while the other, Justice Debra Todd, joined two justices elected as Republicans in dissent.
The map was filed with the court by plaintiffs linked to the National Redistricting Action Fund, a dark money affiliate of National Democratic Redistricting Committee, while the case was argued by Democratic attorney Marc Elias.
https://www.penncapital-star.com/government-politics/pennsylvania-court-picks-national-dems-map-as-new-congressional-plan/
Link to tweet
@marceelias
🚨BREAKING: Pennsylvania Supreme Court ADOPTS new congressional map. Court selects maps put forward by our clients (Carter) as new statewide map!
Proud of the work @EliasLawGroup and @RedistrictFdn did to ensure fair maps in Pennsylvania.
democracydocket.com
🚨 Voting Rights Victory in Pennsylvania
Read about the latest voting rights victory in Carter v. Chapman.
11:29 AM · Feb 23, 2022
If Marc Elias is good with it so am I (and his group was the legal team behind the map that was chosen)!
And as a note to the slur that the Penn Capitol-Star did - the NDRC is Eric Holder's organization that has been dedicated to getting fair districts and not the RW loon gerrymandered crap. We have suffered here in PA for the past 10 years due to their last nonsense. I am hoping that when it comes to the state legislative districts, we can get those fixed too.
This was a bit tricky because PA lost a seat so a decision had to be made as to where. The population loss happened on the western side of the state and a gain in the east. And thankfully, the current map that the state Supreme Court implemented in 2018 already had a good base to start from and really, only needed some tweaking.
The initial analysis basically indicates that with this new map, you have 8 (D) seats + 8 (R) seats + 1 seat that is a mix that would be up for grabs. We are currently 9 (D) - 9 (R) after the 2018 map implementation that finally got rid of the gerrymandered atrocity that had been enacted by the loons after the last census in 2011, and that had 13 (R) - 5 (D) seats.
Deminpenn
(16,317 posts)Legislative Redistricting Committee. The LRC undid a good bit of the extreme gerrymandering the Rs did in 2010 and prior. For example, my HD went from meadering around the Dem areas to now being concentrated in the NE portion of Beaver County. It's still an R district, but not as much as before. Whoever represents it will now have to consider the needs of a much more demographically and economically diverse community all with different and sometimes conflicting needs. The analyses I read concluded Dems might pick up 10 seats or so and perhaps even re-take the state House. If that happened, the House would be almost 50-50 either way.
The new maps passed 4-1 with both Ds, Nordenberg and Senate Majority Leader Ward voting to approve. Ward liked the Senate map and said her duty was to that body. Benninghoff is mad about the House despite it still favoring Rs. I'm sure will object, or has already, but not sure anything will come of it.
Dark n Stormy Knight
(10,029 posts)In two out of three of my districts, US House, PA Senate, PA House, the percentage of Democrats decreased. Not by much, but every little bit helps, or hurts.
Old Map
Democrats: 43.83%
Republicans: 38.58%
Others: 17.58%
New Map
Democrats: 43.78%
Republicans: 38.68%
Others: 17.54%
Old Map:
Democrats: 36.04%
Republicans: 46.52%
Others: 17.44%
New Map
Democrats: 36.78%
Republicans: 45.45%
Others: 17.77%
Old Map
Democrats: 44.37%
Republicans: 37.52%
Others: 18.11%
New Map
Democrats: 43.34%
Republicans: 39.11%
Others: 17.54%
Deminpenn
(16,317 posts)The CD partisan split shouldn't change that much.
On the state House side, my HD became about 6 pts more Dem although still an R majority.