Pennsylvania

RandySF

(66,426 posts) Mon Sep 9, 2024, 04:30 PM Sep 9

Suburbs of small cities like Harrisburg are shifting blue -- and could help Kamala Harris win Pa.

LOWER ALLEN, Pa. — Joseph Swartz began identifying himself as a disaffected Republican in 2008, over what he saw as a more adversarial Sarah Palin-esque brand of GOP politics.

Come 2016, Swartz voted for Hillary Clinton — the first time he ever supported a Democratic presidential candidate.

Soon after, he left the party altogether.

“I didn’t feel good about having to do, you know, sort of, logical gymnastics in order to explain how voting for Republicans is consistent with my Christian faith,” said Swartz, 37. “… I started getting tired of it, and that culminated with leaving the party in 2017.”

Last year, he was the first Democrat elected in nearly two decades to the five-member board of commissioners in Lower Allen, a suburban town of about 20,000 people just south of Harrisburg in Cumberland County.

https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/harrisburg-suburbs-voting-trends-2024-election-trump-harris-20240909.html

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Suburbs of small cities like Harrisburg are shifting blue -- and could help Kamala Harris win Pa. (Original Post) RandySF Sep 9 OP

Now let's hope the south central area votes for badhair77 Sep 9 #1

This is true Wiz Imp Sep 9 #2

badhair77

(4,483 posts)

1. Now let's hope the south central area votes for

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Mon Sep 9, 2024, 04:38 PM

Sep 9

Janelle Stelson so we can get rid of insurrectionist Scott Perry. She has great name recognition so she has a chance.

Wiz Imp

(418 posts)

2. This is true

Reply to RandySF (Original post)

Mon Sep 9, 2024, 06:24 PM

Sep 9

Last edited Mon Sep 9, 2024, 09:20 PM - Edit history (1)

The Towns & Townships on the West Shore of the Susquehanna River (Camp Hill, Mechanicsburg, New Cumberland, Lower Allen, Hampden, etc.) used to be lily white and overwhelmingly Republican. While that area is still majority Republican, it is slowly becoming more Democratic. And in Dauphin County (which has always trended Republican in the areas outside Harrisburg City), last year they elected 2 Democrats for County Commissioners for the first time in forever.

Cumberland County went from 57% Trump/39% Clinton in 2016 to 55% Trump/44% Biden in 2020 to 53% Shapiro/44% Mastroiano in the 2022 Governor election. I drive through Camp Hill quite often and back in 2016, I saw Trump signs all over the place. This year, I'm seeing none. If Harris can gain even 3 or 4 points in Cumberland County above what Biden did in 2020, it will go a long way toward winning the state.

As for Perry Vs Stelson, I think this is the best chance we've had yet to take out Perry. I was disappointed Stelson wasn't on the air with commercials until recently and then her first commercials were rather bland. Hopefully she (or some Democratic PAC) will air some hard hitting anti-Perry aids between now and the election. I think Stelson will actually win in both Dauphin and Cumberland counties, it's the York County part of the District that concerns me and might be enough for Perry to hold on. But, I'm trying to remain cautiously optimistic about that race.

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