Texas
Related: About this forumDonald Trump Hit by Shock Texas Poll
Donald Trump has a lead of just six points over Joe Biden in a head-to-head presidential matchup between the pair in the traditional Republican stronghold of Texas, according to a new survey.
The poll, conducted by The University of Texas at Tyler, gave Trump 46 percent of the vote and Biden 40 percent in a hypothetical presidential contest in which the rivals are the only candidates. A further six percent replied each of "someone else" and "don't know," while one percent declined to answer the question.
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The University of Texas at Tyler surveyed 1,144 registered Texan voters between June 11 and 20. A subsample of 931 likely voters cut Trump's lead further to just five points in the Lone Star State, with the Republican firebrand having 48 percent of the vote against 43 percent for Biden.
However, Trump's performance with registered voters in Texas improved once independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Libertarian Party's Chase Oliver and Green nominee Jill Stein were also included. In this scenario, Trump led by 46 percent against 38 percent for Biden, 12 percent for Kennedy Jr., three percent for Oliver and one percent for Stein.
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The first Texas poll Ive seen in a while that references likely voters. I truly believe the registered voters polls are misleading.
Can we pick up both Texas and Florida?
🤞
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riversedge
(71,919 posts)I dread seeing this Nov 5!!
Meadowoak
(5,926 posts)Voting for bat shit crazy Kennedy. Trump and Kennedy will battle it out for the bat shit vote. Period.
I call BS.
flying_wahini
(7,630 posts)Never trust a poll.
SARose
(764 posts)Snip
Methodology
The UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,144 registered voters conducted June 11 and 20. The mixed-mode sample includes 224 registered voters surveyed over the phone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ProMark Research and 920 registered voters randomly selected from Dynatas panel of online respondents. The weighted margin of error for the sample of 1,144 registered voters in Texas is +/- 3.7 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval. A likely voter sample of 931 respondents reflects those who said they would definitely vote in November. The weighted margin of error for the likely voter sample is +/- 3.8%.
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https://www.uttyler.edu/academics/colleges-schools/arts-sciences/departments/political-science/pollingcenter/
Harker
(14,582 posts)duckworth969
(965 posts)Theyre pointless and misleading.
Vote Blue!
bucolic_frolic
(45,600 posts)Vogon_Glory
(9,352 posts)That while they still dont like Democrats, that RFK Jr guy is a better choice than Donald John whats-his-name.
LetMyPeopleVote
(151,425 posts)Texas may be in play this cycle
yellowdogintexas
(22,634 posts)they have lists and gorgeous "Texas Votes" postcards.
The lists are comprised of SVDs (Seldom Voting Democrats) to nudge them to vote.
They are really pretty, and definitely will stand out in the mail
https://www.turnoutpac.org/postcards/