New Poll: Democrats have a Big Lead in Washington State

By Joel Connelly
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Washington looks like a blue Democrat-leaning state this November with Republicans once more singing the blues, according to a new statewide poll taken this week for the Northwest Progressive Institute.

The survey gives Vice President Kamala Harris a 14-point lead over ex-President Donald Trump in the race for the White House. Harris was the choice of 52 percent of those surveyed, to 35 percent for Trump with 6 percent supporting independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. “Harris has inherited Joe Biden’s support,” said Andrew Villeneuve, executive director of NPI. Eighty-four percent of those surveyed approved of Biden’s decision not to seek reelection.

The contest for governor is closer, but Attorney General Bob Ferguson, a Democrat, has a modest lead over Republican frontrunner ex-U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert. In the four-way August 6 primary, Ferguson is ahead with 39 percent, a slight uptick from a May poll. Reichert is in second place at 28 percent, followed by former Richland School Board member Semi Bird at 10 percent and Democratic State Sen. Mark Mullet trailing at 5 percent. Bird was endorsed last month at a tumultuous Republican state convention.

In a direct matchup, Ferguson enjoys a 49 to 43 percent lead over Reichert, a figure virtually unchanged from his 48-42 percent advantage in the May poll. “Bob Ferguson may not win in a blowout, but our research has consistently shown he has the edge,” said Villeneuve, a backer of the AG. The edge extends to name recognition. Ferguson has won three statewide elections. Reichert, a former King County Sheriff, was elected seven times in Washington’s 8th Congressional District.

https://www.postalley.org/2024/07/27/new-poll-democrats-have-a-big-lead-in-washington-state/