21 battlegrounds that will seal Trump's fate Wisconsin counties: Dane, WOW counties, BOW counties

21 battlegrounds that will seal Trump’s fate



https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/21-battlegrounds-trumps-fate-433911

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17. Dane County, Wis.

The state’s second most populous county after Milwaukee County, Madison’s Dane County is reliably liberal and highly motivated this year. As of last week, the county already recorded 72 percent of the total number of votes cast in the county in 2016.

Home to the University of Wisconsin and the state capital, Dane regularly delivers huge Democratic margins — along with Milwaukee County, it helps balance out the conservative vote delivered by the suburban Republican counties outside Milwaukee.

This year, a big Democratic turnout from Dane County will be critical for another reason — Donald Trump’s anticipated strength again in rural Wisconsin, where he won 63 percent in 2016.


18. Wisconsin’s WOW counties

Trump’s 2016 underperformance in the Republican-rich, so-called WOW counties outside Milwaukee (Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington) was obscured by his romp through rural Wisconsin.

He might not have the same luck this time in a state that’s been ravaged by Covid-19, particularly in northern and western Wisconsin. But at least there’s promise for Trump in the early voting numbers in Washington, Ozaukee and Waukesha counties, which have already logged more than 60 percent of their 2016 vote.



19. Wisconsin’s BOW counties

The two presidential campaigns and outside groups plowed more than $20 million into post-Labor Day TV ads to reach northern Wisconsin and the state’s BOW counties (Brown, Outagamie and Winnebago), three population hubs in and around Green Bay.

All three counties voted for Donald Trump in 2016; Winnebago flipped to him after twice voting for Barack Obama. But the Biden campaign sees these working-class voters — in Green Bay, Appleton, Oshkosh and other nearby places — as winnable, and poured at least $3.7 million in ad spending into the Green Bay-Appleton media market over the past two months to prove it.