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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sun Oct 20, 2019, 07:11 PM Oct 2019

Republican held US Senate seats Democrats are going to win in 2020.

CO(Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D)47D
AZ special(McSally-R vs Kelly-D)48D
NC(Tillis-R vs Cunningham-D/Smith-D)49D
KY(McConnell-R vs McGrath-D)50D
KS(Kobach-R vs Bollier-D)51D
GA(Perdue-R vs Ossoff-D/Tomlinson-D) 53D
IA(Ernst-R vs Greenfield-D/Franken-D) 54D
ME(Collins-R vs Gideon-D)55D
MS(Hyde Smith-R vs Espy-D)56D
SC(Graham-R vs Harrison-D)57D
TX(Cornyn-R vs Hegar-D)58D

3 replies

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Republican held US Senate seats Democrats are going to win in 2020. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Oct 2019 OP

Please be realistic Polybius Oct 2019 #1

Trump's 2016 margin of victory in AL was 10 percent greater than his 2016 margin of victory in MS. nkpolitics1212 Oct 2019 #2

The special election had low turnout Polybius Oct 2019 #3

Polybius

(17,806 posts)

1. Please be realistic

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 07:19 PM

Oct 2019

We are not winning all of them. Mississippi? Come on. And we are losing Alabama, so take that into account.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

2. Trump's 2016 margin of victory in AL was 10 percent greater than his 2016 margin of victory in MS.

Reply to Polybius (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 20, 2019, 08:09 PM

Oct 2019

Espy-D lost to Hyde Smith-R in the 2018 special election runnoff which took place in Nov. 27th, 2018 by a 7 percent margin.
Jones-D only won because the Republicans nominated Moore-R.

Polybius

(17,806 posts)

3. The special election had low turnout

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 21, 2019, 08:39 AM

Oct 2019

With Trump on the ticket in 2020, more Republicans will vote in Mississippi in 2020, so I'd bet it's 10 points this time.

Yes that's true, the only reason. Hopefully Moore gets the nomination again.

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