Campaigns
Related: About this forum2022 US Senate Election cycle is more Democratic friendly than the 2020 US Senate Election cycle.
In 2020
D to R
AL(Jones-D) if Moore-R and Mooney-R does not win the 2020 Republican nomination.
MI(Peters-D)James-R(if Democrats lose the 2020 US Presidential Election in MI.)
Democrats hold onto
DE(Coons-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
MA(Markey-D)
MI(Peters-D) if Democrats win the 2020 US Presidential Election in MI.
MN(Smith-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
NM(OPEN Udall-D)Lujan-D
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D)
VA(Warner-D)
Democrats will lose 1 or 2 seats.
Democrats need to win 6 Republican held US Senate seats to secure a majority in the US Senate in 2020.
AZ special(McSally-R)Kelly-D
CO(Gardner-R)Hickenlooper-D
GA regular(Perdue-R)Tomlinson-D
IA(Ernst-R)Greenfield-D
ME(Collins-R)Gideon-D
NC(Tillis-R)Cunningham-D
Democrats are more likely to win AZ,CO,ME and NC..
2022 if a Democrat is in the White House.
Most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats are.
AZ(Kelly-D) if and only if Ducey-R is the Republican Nominee.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) if and only if Amodei-R is the Republican Nominee.
NH(Hassan-D) if Sununu-R or Ayotte-R run.
Democrats will hold on to
CA(Harris-D)
CO(Bennet-D) if Bennet-D retires(Griswold-D or Neguse-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D) if Blumenthal-D retires(Himes-D or Hayes-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
NY(Schumer-D) if Schumer-D retires(Ocasio Cortez-D or Suozzi-D )
OR(Wyden-D) if Wyden-D retires(Brown-D or Read-D)
VT(Leahy-D) if Leahy-D retires(Zuckerman-D or Donovan-D)
WA(Murray-D) if Murray-D retires(Delbene-D, Jayapal-D or Schrier-D)
Democrats need to win 4 Republican held US Senate seats in 2022 to secure a majority in 2022.
PA(Toomey-R) Fetterman-D
WI(OPEN Johnson-R) Kind-D, Pocan-D, Kaul-D, or Barnes-D.
NC(OPEN Burr-R) Jackson-D or Martin-D
GA(Loeffler-R) Tomlinson-D
FL(Rubio-R) Graham-D
IA(OPEN Grassley-R) Finkenauer-D or Axne-D
OnDoutside
(20,658 posts)winning the White House, to make sure that the new Dem president won't be blocked from fixing all the trumpshit.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)2020 US Presidential Election
Win all of the Clinton 2016 states(232ev) plus
MI(16/248ev),PA(20/268ev)and WI(10/278ev)
AZ(11/243ev),GA(16/259)and NC(15/274ev)
2020 US Senate Election
Win all of the Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2020 except AL(Jones-D) and MI(Peters-D) 45D
Win 5 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2020.
AZ special(McSally-R)Kelly-D
CO(Gardner-R)Hickenlooper-D
GA regular and/or special(Tomlinson-D and/or Tarver-D)
ME(Collins-R)Gideon-D
NC(Tillis-R)Cunningham-D
GA Democrats need Ed Tarver,Jen Jordan or Nikema Williams to enter the 2020 GA US Senate special Election race.
OnDoutside
(20,658 posts)plus Alabama might move depending on the republican candidate, as well as whether Kobach gets the nomination in OK.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)KS has not elected a Democratic US Senators since the 1930's.
OnDoutside
(20,658 posts)Jim Riggins
(23 posts)Please let that buffoon be the nominee. It can't be difficult to beat him in a state that swung hard left in 2018 because of fiscal mismanagement of the previous governor, Brownback. Cut all taxes he said. I'm sure the police and firefighters will take chickens and knitted sweaters for compensation.