Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 do the Democrats have a better chance of winning?

NC or OH?

NC is less red than OH.
The Democratic nominee in OH(Ryan-D) is a much stronger general election candidate than the Democratic nominee in NC(Beasley-D).

Democrats are most likely going to win-
NY(Schumer-D)37
HI(Schatz-D)38
CA(Padilla-D)39
VT(Welch-D)40
MD(Van Hollen-D)41
OR(Wyden-D)42
IL(Duckworth-D)43
CT(Blumenthal-D)44
WA(Murray-D)45
CO(Bennet-D)46
PA(Fetterman-D)47
NH(Hassan-D)48
AZ(Kelly-D)49
NV(Cortez Masto-D)50
GA(Warnock-D)51
WI(Barnes-D)52

Republican nominee in PA,NH,AZ,NV,GA,and WI are weak and controversial.