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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Tue Jun 21, 2022, 03:31 PM Jun 2022

Democrats need to gain as many US Senate seats this year in order to offset losses in 2024.

2022- There are no Trump state Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022. There are 2 Biden state Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022. PA(OPEN Toomey-R) and WI(Johnson-R) Democrats are likely to pick up PA(Fetterman-D) and WI(Barnes-D). Democrats will end up with 52 seats allowing us to ignore Sinema-AZ and Manchin-WV.
2024- There are 3 Trump state Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024. MT(Tester-D),OH(Brown-D) and WV(Manchin-D). Tester and Brown will be saved by high turnout with the Democratic base. If Democrats want to replace Sinema with a Democrat, They have better chance with Kate Gallego-D. The current mayor of Phoenix and Ruben’s ex-wife. AZ will still have a female Democratic US Senator. Democratic will lose 1 seat.
2026- The battleground US Senate seats are going to be in
GA-Ossoff-D if Kemp gets re-elected in 2022 and runs for the US Senate in 2026.
ME-Collins-R if Collins retires and/or Golden is the Democratic nominee.
NC-Tillis-R if Jeff Jackson runs.

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Democrats need to gain as many US Senate seats this year in order to offset losses in 2024. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Jun 2022 OP
You think Manchin will lose in 2024? TwilightZone Jun 2022 #1

TwilightZone

(28,725 posts)
1. You think Manchin will lose in 2024?
Tue Jun 21, 2022, 03:46 PM
Jun 2022

There's not a lot of evidence of that. As of late April, his approval rating was 57% overall and 69% with Republicans. It's up significantly this year.

https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/25/joe-manchins-approach-paying-off/

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