Campaigns

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sat Jul 16, 2022, 09:10 PM Jul 2022

Which 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee will win by a wider margin?

Murray(WA) or Bennet(CO)?
Ryan(OH) or Beasley(NC)?

Democrats will win
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)

1 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Which 2022 Democratic US Senate nominee will win by a wider margin? (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Jul 2022 OP

Since you asked MyMission Jul 2022 #1

MyMission

(1,999 posts)

1. Since you asked

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Jul 16, 2022, 09:46 PM

Jul 2022

I think NC over Ohio because the 2020 election results were closer in NC, where I live.
If we gain just one point and they lose one, we can win NC, and I'm hoping for several points. Ohio had an 8 point spread, so if we gained 4 and they lost 4 we could win Ohio. Both are possible, but NC was closer. And based on the 2020 numbers, I think Washington will yield a wider margin than Colorado. The numbers below came from Wikipedia election results.

Biden 2020. vs tRump 2020
NC 2,684,292 48.59% – 2,758,775 49.93%
Ohio 2,679,165 45.24% – 3,154,834 53.27%

CO. 1,804,352 55.40% 9 1,364,607 41.90%
WA 2,369,612 57.97% 12 1,584,651 38.77%

There is a good chance purple NC will elect Beasley. In 2020 we reelected both our democratic governor and rethug senator. We went for Obama in 2008 but not 2012.
We shall see, less than 4 months to go.

Reply to this discussion