Democrats will definitely end up with 51 to 53 seats in the US Senate after 1/2023.

Democrats are definitely going to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)

OH or WI are the Democrats 52nd seat.
OH and WI are the US Senate seats the Democrats need to win to avoid what happens in the 12/2022 general election runoff in GA and Sinema and Manchin.