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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sun Oct 30, 2022, 06:37 PM Oct 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 is 54.

I think Democrats will come up short in FL(Demings-D) and IA(Franken-D)
Democrats will win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Safe Republican seats
AL(Britt-R) Boyd-D
AK(Murkowski-R or Tshibacka-R) Chesboro-D
AR(Boozman-R) James-D
ID(Crapo-R) Roth-D
IN(Young-R) McDermott-D
KS(Moran-R) Holland-D
KY(Paul-R) Booker-D
LA(Kennedy-R) Chambers-R but will need to keep Kennedy-R below 50 percent in 11/2022.
MO(Schmitt-R) Busch Valentine-D
ND(Hoeven-R) Christiansen-D
OK(Lankford-R) Horn-D
OK(Mullin-R) Horn-D
SC(Scott-R) Matthews-D
SD(Thune-R) Bengs-D
UT(what polititical party will McMullin caucus with.?)

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kelly1mm

(5,122 posts)
1. WI, OH, and NC are a pipe dream. Republicans will probably win NV and PA and if they win both they
Sun Oct 30, 2022, 07:05 PM
Oct 2022

will have 51 Senators and control of the Senate. They have an outside chance of picking up AZ but even Kari Lake cannot pull Masters over the line .... probably.

GA will go to a runoff. If the Republicans already have 51 (like I think they will) then Warnock loses as well. If the Republicans only have 50 and GA will decide control of the Senate, I think we Democrats will be able to mobilize to win the runoff.

PortTack

(34,539 posts)
6. Yes..he has been posting for months.he actually does some asssestment of the polls to come up
Sun Oct 30, 2022, 08:34 PM
Oct 2022

With his analysis…you? Do you do any research, or you’re just guessing.

Ryan in OH and Barnes in WI are toss ups. Not pipe dreams.

rsdsharp

(10,097 posts)
7. Do the polls change hourly? Because on a number of occasions
Sun Oct 30, 2022, 10:04 PM
Oct 2022

he has “predicted” one number the Democrats will hold after the midterms, and less than an hour later, a different number. When asked why, he is universally silent.

By my observation, at one time or another, he has said Democrats will control 50, 51, 52, 54, 56 or 60 seats. I may have missed other numbers. He may as well use a dart board instead of his “analysis.”

kelly1mm

(5,122 posts)
8. it is my opinion based on the trajectory of the polls. Like all
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 12:50 AM
Oct 2022

projections at this point it is all opinion.

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