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Related: About this forumDemocrats will retain a majority in the US Senate in 2024.
2022
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 including GA,NV,AZ and NH and pick up PA.
2024
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 except WV. In AZ Sinema gets replaced by Gallego. Tester-MT and Brown-OH remain in the US Senate by a narrow margin.
50-50 VP Harris breaks the Tie Vote.
GreenWave
(9,179 posts)No Mansion?
Then all his slow down the Biden mandate were for naught. And the delayed EpiPen investigation.
If possible grant statehood to DC et alia a priori.
Stop this 50/50 bothsiderism dead in its tracks.
Ilsa
(62,238 posts)We cannot take a chance on losing the senate if a Senate D isn't re-elected in 2024.
magicarpet
(16,513 posts)2024 is not kind to Dems for senate races.
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(snip)
Overall, Democrats are defending 23 seats in 2024 (including Maine and Vermont, held by independents who caucus with Democrats), while Republicans are defending just 11. That includes the likely November 2024 special election in Nebraska after Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE) resigns to become president of the University of Florida. Weve included that race in Map 1.
Map link,..
You can now see the vital importance of whether Democrats are just at 50 seats, or whether they are at 51. Even given the Republicans re-emerging problem of nominating weak candidates in winnable races a problem that bedeviled the party in 2010, 2012, and, it must be said, 2022 youd think, at a bare minimum, Republicans should be able to flip at least a single seat next cycle. That would be all it would take to win the Senate if they flip Georgia next month. But if Warnock holds, the Republicans will need 2 flips to win the Senate. Just based on the map itself, that seems likelier than not, but its harder to just pencil it in as happening. Democrats did better than expected last week, and despite a very tough map, maybe theyll do so again.
(end snip, more at link below...)
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ga-runoff-is-the-opening-battle-of-the-2024-senate-cycle/
global1
(25,921 posts)You must have made over 1000's of predictions in the run up of the midterms. Sometimes multiple contradictory predictions on the same day. We're electioned out.
Predict the weather or something else. Get a life. Play the stock market. Become a day trader. Make yourself some money.
Just stop with these election predictions. Please!!!
MichMan
(13,176 posts)moose65
(3,313 posts)This DU member just flabbergasts me. Multiple posts every single day, sometimes with one post completely contradicting another post that was made 15 minutes earlier. Also, he/she/they never engages with other members in the comments.
I have wondered many times if this is even a real person!
I do wish they would wait at least till the end of the year before they start these daily predictions for 2024