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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts) Sat Feb 25, 2023, 05:17 AM Feb 2023

Democrats are likely to have a net gain of US Senate seats in 2026.

Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 from vulnerable to safe.
GA(Ossoff-D) if Kemp-R is the Republican nominee.
VA(Warner-D) if Youngkin-R is the Republican nominee.
MI(Peters-D)
NH(Shaheen-D/Pappas-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D/Polis-D/Neguse-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
IL(Durbin-D/Underwood-D)
DE(Coons-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
RI(Reed-D/Magaziner-D)
MA(Markey-D/Pressley-D)
Democrats are favored to win all of these seats.

Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 that Democrats have a chance.
ME(Collins-R) vs Golden-D
NC(Tillis-R) vs Jackson-D

2024
Democrats will hold onto
CA(Schiff-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/Balint-D)
MD(Cardin-D/Sarbanes-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D/Blunt Rochester-D/Carney-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)

4 replies

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Democrats are likely to have a net gain of US Senate seats in 2026. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Feb 2023 OP

Yay! Mike Nelson Feb 2023 #1

The 2026 map is more favorable to Democrats than the 2024 map. nkpolitics1212 Feb 2023 #4

So what about 2028 and 2030? gab13by13 Feb 2023 #2

The Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 from safe to vulnerable are- nkpolitics1212 Feb 2023 #3

Mike Nelson

(10,260 posts)

1. Yay!

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Feb 25, 2023, 06:12 AM

Feb 2023

... I read Youngkin was looking grand in VA and Manchin was finally going down to Republicans in WV. Also, that the "Senate map" was not good for Democrats... this looks much better!

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

4. The 2026 map is more favorable to Democrats than the 2024 map.

Reply to Mike Nelson (Reply #1)

Sat Feb 25, 2023, 01:58 PM

Feb 2023

2024
3 Red state Democratic held US Senate seats.
WV(Manchin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)

Battleground states the Democrats will win.
AZ(Gallego-D) Republican nominee will be Lake-R or Masters.
MI(Slotkin-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
NV(Rosen-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
PA(Casey-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
VA(Kaine-D) Youngkin-R sits out on this race.
WI(Baldwin-D).

2026.
GA(Ossoff-D) GA Democrats will breathe a lot easier if Marjorie Taylor Greene is the Republican nominee. The race will be in a Tossup/Tilt Democratic candidate if Brian Kemp is the Republican nominee.
VA(Warner-D) wins against Youngkin-R.
MI(Peters-D) Does John James-R run for the US House to get back the seat he lost or run for the US Senate? Peters-D will defeat other Republican candidates as well.
NH(Shaheen-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D)
Republican bench in NH,MN,NM,and CO is weak.
Democrats will definitely win OR,IL,DE,NJ,RI,and MA.

gab13by13

(24,821 posts)

2. So what about 2028 and 2030?

Reply to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Feb 25, 2023, 07:34 AM

Feb 2023

Did they cancel the 2024 election?

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)

3. The Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 from safe to vulnerable are-

Reply to gab13by13 (Reply #2)

Sat Feb 25, 2023, 01:09 PM

Feb 2023

HI(Schatz-D)
VT(Welch-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D/Hayes-D).
IL(Duckworth-D)
NY(Schumer-D/AOC)
OR(Wyden-D/Fagan-D)
CO(Bennett-D) The Republican bench is very weak.
WA(Murray-D/Jayapal-D)
NH(Hassan-D) The Republican bench is very weak.
AZ(Kelly-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D) The Republican nominee will be MTG.
All of the Democratic held US Senate up for re-election in 2028 will remain in the Democratic column.
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 that Democrats can pick up.
WI(Johnson-R) vs Kaul-D
NC(Budd-R) vs Nickel-D

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